Monthly outlook for Erie, MI: average high 50.4°, average low 38.5°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (62.5°), the coolest 16 November (29.1°).
50.4°/38.5°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
50.8°
47.5°
+1.9°
22 November – 1 December
49.6°
44.1°
+3.1°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
39.1°
—
November records over 66 years
76.3°1 November 2016All-time high
4.1°13 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Toledo (10 mi).
Fri, 1342° / 33°0
42 °
Erie, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sat, 1445° / 30°0
45 °
Erie, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 1545° / 35°0
45 °
Erie, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Mon, 1649° / 29°0
49 °
Erie, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Tue, 1752° / 32°0
52 °
Erie, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 32°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1855° / 32°0
55 °
Erie, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 55°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1957° / 44°0
57 °
Erie, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.6 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2057° / 46°0
57 °
Erie, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.2 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2160° / 47°0
60 °
Erie, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2263° / 51°0
63 °
Erie, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 2358° / 51°0.01
58 °
Erie, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2459° / 48°1.44
59 °
Erie, Tuesday, 24 November
Heavy rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind23.6 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 2544° / 34°1.23
44 °
Erie, Wednesday, 25 November
Snow. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind19.1 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2637° / 31°0
37 °
Erie, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Fri, 2738° / 30°0
38 °
Erie, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2843° / 31°0.15
43 °
Erie, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low13° (1996)
Sun, 2942° / 31°0.09
42 °
Erie, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low14° (1976)
Mon, 3043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Erie, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1991)
Record low12° (1976)
Tue, 0142° / 30°0.13
42 °
Erie, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low13° (2025)
Wed, 0241° / 29°0.1
41 °
Erie, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low8° (1976)
Thu, 0341° / 29°0.09
41 °
Erie, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low4° (2002)
Fri, 0440° / 29°0.07
40 °
Erie, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1998)
Record low-5° (2002)
Sat, 0540° / 28°0.09
40 °
Erie, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low5° (2025)
Sun, 0639° / 28°0.08
39 °
Erie, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low4° (1964)
Mon, 0738° / 27°0.09
38 °
Erie, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low2° (1972)
Tue, 0838° / 28°0.06
38 °
Erie, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1966)
Record low2° (1977)
Wed, 0939° / 27°0.1
39 °
Erie, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (2023)
Record low-1° (1964)
Thu, 1038° / 27°0.11
38 °
Erie, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1971)
Record low3° (1977)
Fri, 1137° / 26°0.11
37 °
Erie, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high62° (2021)
Record low0° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, MI are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, MI since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.