Monthly outlook for Arlington, VT: average high 56.6°, average low 40.2°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (70.2°), the coolest 19 October (28°).
56.6°/40.2°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
6 / 6
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
59.6°
55.9°
+2°
19 October – 28 October
51.7°
52.1°
-0.2°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
48.6°
—
October records over 66 years
81.1°4 October 2023All-time high
20.1°31 October 2008All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rupert (13 mi).
Sat, 1060° / 40°0
60 °
Arlington, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.6 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 1165° / 44°0.35
65 °
Arlington, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 1270° / 52°0.82
70 °
Arlington, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind6.9 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1364° / 55°0.7
64 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 64°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind1 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point60°
Wed, 1460° / 51°0.04
60 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.4 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 1558° / 43°0
58 °
Arlington, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1659° / 44°0.73
59 °
Arlington, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 1759° / 37°0.63
59 °
Arlington, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 1840° / 29°0.01
40 °
Arlington, Sunday, 18 October
Snow. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1946° / 28°0
46 °
Arlington, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 2049° / 32°0
49 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.4 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 2153° / 32°0
53 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind3.8 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2255° / 37°0
55 °
Arlington, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2355° / 39°0
55 °
Arlington, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 2452° / 37°0
52 °
Arlington, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2552° / 38°0.12
52 °
Arlington, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1963)
Record low25° (1981)
Mon, 2651° / 38°0.14
51 °
Arlington, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (1963)
Record low25° (2018)
Tue, 2751° / 37°0.16
51 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1963)
Record low23° (1976)
Wed, 2850° / 36°0.17
50 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (1984)
Record low22° (1976)
Thu, 2949° / 34°0.13
49 °
Arlington, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low24° (1965)
Fri, 3049° / 34°0.09
49 °
Arlington, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2024)
Record low23° (2020)
Sat, 3150° / 35°0.1
50 °
Arlington, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low20° (2008)
Sun, 0150° / 36°0.12
50 °
Arlington, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1974)
Record low26° (1965)
Mon, 0250° / 36°0.12
50 °
Arlington, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low17° (1993)
Tue, 0349° / 35°0.15
49 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (1982)
Record low15° (1993)
Wed, 0448° / 35°0.07
48 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1994)
Record low19° (1988)
Thu, 0548° / 35°0.15
48 °
Arlington, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low23° (1965)
Fri, 0647° / 35°0.13
47 °
Arlington, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low23° (1962)
Sat, 0746° / 33°0.08
46 °
Arlington, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (1975)
Record low13° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arlington, VT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arlington, VT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.