Weather in Chapel Hill, MD
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November, 17:53
Mostly clear. Feels like 69°. High 75°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, MD: average high 58°, average low 44.3°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (76.4°), the coolest 16 November (34.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 November – 13 November | 62.8° | 58.3° | +2.5° |
| 14 November – 23 November | 50.1° | 54.3° | -2.4° |
| 24 November – 3 December | at normal | 52.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hybla Valley (6 mi).
0.07
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 62°.
0
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 59°.
0
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 58°, low 47°.
0
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 48°.
0
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 49°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 43°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 49°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 43°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 48°, low 37°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 35°.
0.05Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 39°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 35°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 50°, low 37°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 36°.
0.07Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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