Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, MD: average high 62.4°, average low 45.7°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (82.7°), the coolest 22 October (36.8°).
62.4°/45.7°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
63.6°
62.2°
+0.7°
25 October – 3 November
60.5°
59.3°
+0.7°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
54.7°
—
October records over 66 years
90.7°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Reisterstown (10 mi).
Fri, 1683° / 59°0.2
83 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 83°, low 59°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Sat, 1764° / 43°0
64 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.6 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 1855° / 38°0
55 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1960° / 41°0
60 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 2063° / 46°0
63 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.6 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2161° / 44°0
61 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.6 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2257° / 37°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2362° / 42°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2463° / 44°0
63 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2559° / 45°0
59 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10.7 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2659° / 45°0
59 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2764° / 44°0
64 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2869° / 50°0
69 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2957° / 50°1.08
57 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 3054° / 47°0.07
54 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.2 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3159° / 44°0.05
59 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low29° (2011)
Sun, 0160° / 45°0.07
60 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (1974)
Record low34° (2002)
Mon, 0260° / 45°0.13
60 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high78° (1971)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 0359° / 44°0.07
59 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0457° / 42°0.09
57 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1974)
Record low29° (2006)
Thu, 0557° / 42°0.11
57 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1961)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0656° / 42°0.07
56 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (1967)
Sat, 0755° / 41°0.07
55 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low28° (1962)
Sun, 0855° / 40°0.18
55 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0955° / 40°0.07
55 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1056° / 40°0.15
56 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low28° (2017)
Wed, 1154° / 40°0.16
54 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1252° / 39°0.2
52 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (1964)
Record low26° (1987)
Fri, 1351° / 37°0.1
51 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.