Monthly outlook for Nesconset, NY: average high 64.2°, average low 53.1°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 October (73°), the coolest 19 October (42.9°).
64.2°/53.1°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
67.2°
63°
+2.3°
18 October – 27 October
59.2°
59.7°
-0.3°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
56.9°
—
October records over 66 years
89.6°2 October 2019All-time high
32.7°27 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Smithtown (4 mi).
Fri, 0971° / 52°0
71 °
Nesconset, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 71°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 1063° / 49°0
63 °
Nesconset, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 1163° / 56°0.2
63 °
Nesconset, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Mon, 1265° / 60°0.18
65 °
Nesconset, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 65°, low 60°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1372° / 59°0.12
72 °
Nesconset, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 59°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.9 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 1462° / 53°0
62 °
Nesconset, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1562° / 52°0
62 °
Nesconset, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1672° / 62°0
72 °
Nesconset, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 62°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1769° / 51°0
69 °
Nesconset, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.7 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 1849° / 45°0
49 °
Nesconset, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 1954° / 43°0
54 °
Nesconset, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2062° / 49°0
62 °
Nesconset, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2162° / 52°0
62 °
Nesconset, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2263° / 57°0
63 °
Nesconset, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2365° / 57°0
65 °
Nesconset, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2460° / 50°0.13
60 °
Nesconset, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low34° (1969)
Sun, 2560° / 50°0.14
60 °
Nesconset, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low39° (1962)
Mon, 2658° / 49°0.16
58 °
Nesconset, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low37° (1962)
Tue, 2758° / 49°0.16
58 °
Nesconset, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low33° (1976)
Wed, 2858° / 48°0.17
58 °
Nesconset, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low34° (1976)
Thu, 2957° / 47°0.19
57 °
Nesconset, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1984)
Record low34° (1965)
Fri, 3056° / 46°0.11
56 °
Nesconset, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low36° (2011)
Sat, 3157° / 47°0.06
57 °
Nesconset, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low35° (2020)
Sun, 0158° / 49°0.13
58 °
Nesconset, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low38° (1976)
Mon, 0258° / 48°0.07
58 °
Nesconset, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1971)
Record low32° (1965)
Tue, 0358° / 47°0.11
58 °
Nesconset, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2017)
Record low37° (1996)
Wed, 0456° / 46°0.06
56 °
Nesconset, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low36° (2013)
Thu, 0556° / 47°0.13
56 °
Nesconset, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low37° (1965)
Fri, 0655° / 46°0.1
55 °
Nesconset, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low36° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nesconset, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nesconset, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.