Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 57.2°, average low 40.4°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (68.6°), the coolest 13 November (29.6°).
57.2°/40.4°
Average high / low
+2.5°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
61.3°
54.4°
+3.9°
11 November – 20 November
50.2°
49°
+0.6°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
46.5°
—
November records over 66 years
76.3°6 November 2024All-time high
12.2°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
Mon, 0266° / 38°0
66 °
Lake Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 0369° / 39°0
69 °
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 39°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 0466° / 47°0
66 °
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 0566° / 54°0.03
66 °
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.7 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Fri, 0668° / 54°0.04
68 °
Lake Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 0756° / 48°0.19
56 °
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0855° / 42°0
55 °
Lake Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 55°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0956° / 39°0
56 °
Lake Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 1054° / 41°0
54 °
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1157° / 39°0
57 °
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1247° / 35°0
47 °
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1345° / 30°0
45 °
Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.3 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 1452° / 30°0
52 °
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 52°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sun, 1550° / 36°0.09
50 °
Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 1651° / 43°0.08
51 °
Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1748° / 35°0.13
48 °
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (2006)
Record low23° (2019)
Wed, 1849° / 35°0.09
49 °
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1963)
Record low26° (2020)
Thu, 1948° / 35°0.07
48 °
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high62° (1991)
Record low20° (1986)
Fri, 2048° / 35°0.16
48 °
Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low13° (1986)
Sat, 2147° / 34°0.1
47 °
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low17° (1987)
Sun, 2246° / 34°0.13
46 °
Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high62° (2007)
Record low14° (2018)
Mon, 2346° / 33°0.13
46 °
Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1992)
Record low13° (2018)
Tue, 2447° / 34°0.08
47 °
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low12° (1989)
Wed, 2547° / 34°0.13
47 °
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low20° (2005)
Thu, 2648° / 35°0.21
48 °
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low24° (1978)
Fri, 2747° / 34°0.13
47 °
Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low22° (1978)
Sat, 2847° / 35°0.17
47 °
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2946° / 33°0.09
46 °
Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low13° (2014)
Mon, 3044° / 33°0.14
44 °
Lake Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low20° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.