Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November, 13:08
Clear. Feels like 56°. High 58°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 46.9°, average low 34.9°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (58.2°), the coolest 24 November (27.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 November – 20 November | 47° | 49° | -1.1° |
| 21 November – 30 November | 46.8° | 46.5° | +0.2° |
| 1 December – 10 December | at normal | 42° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0.31
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 53°, low 45°.
0.2Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 35°.
0
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 32°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 37°.
0
Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 33°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 30°.
0.05Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 36°.
0.24Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Rain. High 46°, low 41°.
0.18Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 37°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 36°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 40°.
0Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 32°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 28°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 46°, low 29°.
0Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 31°.
0.13
Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Carmel, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Carmel, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Carmel, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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