Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 31 October, 21:46
Partly cloudy. Feels like 42°. High 55°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 56.1°, average low 43.2°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 5.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (69.7°), the coolest 1 November (32.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 61.1° | 54.7° | +3.6° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 47.9° | 49.5° | -0.9° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 46.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0
Lake Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 61°, low 32°.
0
Lake Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 38°.
0.01
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 45°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
0.13Lake Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 55°.
1.31Lake Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 58°.
0.74Lake Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 61°, low 55°.
0.19Lake Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 58°, low 44°.
0.07Lake Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 43°.
0.05Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 42°.
0.05Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 37°.
0Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 46°, low 34°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 36°.
2.54Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 54°, low 45°.
0.07Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
0.13
Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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