Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November, 11:22
Overcast. Feels like 46°. High 50°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 50.9°, average low 35.7°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (64.8°), the coolest 17 November (29.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 48.9° | 48.6° | +0.1° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 54.1° | 46.2° | +4.4° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 41.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0.57
Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 45°, low 36°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 31°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
0
Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 31°.
0
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 29°.
0
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 51°, low 31°.
0Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 35°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 31°.
0Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 47°.
0.18Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
0Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 45°, low 33°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 31°.
0.17
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Carmel, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Carmel, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Lake Carmel, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Lake Carmel, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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