Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October, 05:41
Clear. Feels like 46°. High 56°, low 36°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 54.7°, average low 37.6°. That is 0° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (65°), the coolest 8 November (28.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 56.8° | 56° | +0.4° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 51.2° | 51.2° | +0° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 47.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 32°.
0
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 65°, low 42°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
0
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 41°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
0.1
Lake Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 48°.
0.06Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 36°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 51°, low 29°.
0.2Lake Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
0.69Lake Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 58°, low 44°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 43°, low 31°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 29°.
0Lake Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
0.02Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
0.14
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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