As of 22:45 EST

Weather in Lake Carmel, NY

49°Current weather

Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November, 22:45

Overcast. Feels like 49°. High 58°, low 40°.

Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind2.3 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°

Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 52.3°, average low 37.3°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (63°), the coolest 17 November (28.7°).

52.3°/37.3°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

PeriodForecast highNormalDifference
11 November – 20 November49.1°49°+0°
21 November – 30 November57.8°46.5°+6.3°
1 December – 10 Decemberat normal42°—

November records over 66 years

76.3°6 November 2024All-time high
12.2°24 November 1989All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).

Thu, 1253° / 45°0.57Rain
53 °Rain

Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November

Rain. High 53°, low 45°.

Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind8.6 mph E
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1345° / 36°0.32Rain
45 °Rain

Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November

Rain. High 45°, low 36°.

Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind11.4 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 1441° / 30°0Overcast
41 °Overcast

Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November

Overcast. High 41°, low 30°.

Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1544° / 35°0.04Light rain
44 °Light rain

Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November

Light rain. High 44°, low 35°.

Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1646° / 33°0Overcast
46 °Overcast

Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November

Overcast. High 46°, low 33°.

Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1747° / 29°0Partly cloudy
47 °Partly cloudy

Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November

Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 29°.

Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1850° / 30°0Clear
50 °Clear

Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November

Clear. High 50°, low 30°.

Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1952° / 32°0Clear
52 °Clear

Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November

Clear. High 52°, low 32°.

Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2055° / 33°0Clear
55 °Clear

Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November

Clear. High 55°, low 33°.

Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.5 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2155° / 37°0Overcast
55 °Overcast

Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November

Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.

Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.7 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2255° / 38°0Overcast
55 °Overcast

Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November

Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.

Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2358° / 42°0Overcast
58 °Overcast

Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November

Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.

Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2462° / 42°0Mostly clear
62 °Mostly clear

Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November

Mostly clear. High 62°, low 42°.

Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2563° / 59°0.36Rain
63 °Rain

Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November

Rain. High 63°, low 59°.

Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 2654° / 37°0Clear
54 °Clear

Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November

Clear. High 54°, low 37°.

Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2747° / 34°0.13Climate normal
47 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low22° (1978)
Sat, 2847° / 35°0.17Climate normal
47 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2946° / 33°0.09Climate normal
46 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low13° (2014)
Mon, 3044° / 33°0.14Climate normal
44 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Monday, 30 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low20° (1976)
Tue, 0144° / 32°0.14Climate normal
44 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2001)
Record low17° (1971)
Wed, 0244° / 31°0.11Climate normal
44 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low13° (1971)
Thu, 0343° / 31°0.14Climate normal
43 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Thursday, 3 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1998)
Record low11° (1976)
Fri, 0443° / 30°0.11Climate normal
43 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Friday, 4 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low12° (1989)
Sat, 0541° / 30°0.15Climate normal
41 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Saturday, 5 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high65° (2001)
Record low12° (2025)
Sun, 0643° / 31°0.15Climate normal
43 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Sunday, 6 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low16° (2002)
Mon, 0741° / 29°0.11Climate normal
41 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Monday, 7 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low8° (2002)
Tue, 0840° / 29°0.1Climate normal
40 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 8 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low15° (1976)
Wed, 0941° / 28°0.18Climate normal
41 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 9 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (1991)
Record low11° (1968)
Thu, 1041° / 29°0.12Climate normal
41 °Climate normal

Lake Carmel, Thursday, 10 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (2023)
Record low5° (1968)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.