Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November, 09:05
Overcast. Feels like 54°. High 65°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 54.5°, average low 40.4°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (71.5°), the coolest 13 November (27.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 November – 12 November | 58.4° | 53.1° | +2.9° |
| 13 November – 22 November | 48.2° | 48.3° | -0° |
| 23 November – 2 December | at normal | 46° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 71°, low 46°.
0.02
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 52°.
0.63Lake Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 64°, low 57°.
0.14Lake Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 63°, low 51°.
0.18Lake Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 56°, low 45°.
0
Lake Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 35°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 32°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 39°.
0.12
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 43°, low 33°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 40°, low 28°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 48°, low 29°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 54°, low 32°.
0.09Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
0.69Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
0.01Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0.07
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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