Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Friday, 6 November, 12:50
Overcast. Feels like 63°. High 63°, low 56°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 52.8°, average low 38.3°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (63.1°), the coolest 15 November (24.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 November – 15 November | 49.7° | 51.2° | -0.8° |
| 16 November – 25 November | 58.1° | 47.5° | +5.9° |
| 26 November – 5 December | at normal | 44.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0.04
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 47°.
0.02Lake Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0.02Lake Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 44°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 40°.
0Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
0
Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 38°, low 26°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 38°, low 25°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 43°, low 24°.
0Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 56°, low 32°.
0
Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 40°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
0
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 35°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
0Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
0.13Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Lake Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Lake Carmel, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Lake Carmel, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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