Weather in Lake Carmel, NY
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 31 October, 00:14
Mostly clear. Feels like 44°. High 54°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Lake Carmel, NY: average high 60.9°, average low 46.5°. That is 4.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (67.1°), the coolest 1 November (31.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 62.6° | 54.7° | +4.4° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 58.1° | 49.5° | +4.8° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 46.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
0
Lake Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 31°.
0
Lake Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 42°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
0
Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
0.01
Lake Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 50°.
0.37Lake Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 62°, low 60°.
0.53Lake Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 61°, low 54°.
0Lake Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 52°.
0Lake Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 62°, low 47°.
0Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 59°, low 42°.
0Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
0.05Lake Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 47°.
0Lake Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 45°.
0.11Lake Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 50°.
0.26Lake Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 50°.
0.13
Lake Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Lake Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Lake Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Lake Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Lake Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Lake Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Lake Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Lake Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Lake Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Carmel, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Carmel, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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