Monthly outlook for Independence, NY: average high 59.1°, average low 42.1°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (72.1°), the coolest 18 October (28.3°).
59.1°/42.1°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
59.7°
57.6°
+1.2°
18 October – 27 October
58.1°
53.3°
+2.7°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
50.3°
—
October records over 66 years
80.2°1 October 2019All-time high
21°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Oswayo (14 mi).
Fri, 0965° / 37°0
65 °
Independence, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 1066° / 35°0
66 °
Independence, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 35°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 1154° / 52°0.49
54 °
Independence, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility2.5 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1265° / 54°0.03
65 °
Independence, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1362° / 49°0.09
62 °
Independence, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.6 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 1452° / 36°0
52 °
Independence, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1553° / 38°0
53 °
Independence, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1672° / 47°0.08
72 °
Independence, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind18.2 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1745° / 32°0
45 °
Independence, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind17.9 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1853° / 28°0
53 °
Independence, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 53°, low 28°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind4.3 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 1958° / 38°0
58 °
Independence, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 2057° / 47°0.09
57 °
Independence, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 2163° / 49°0.01
63 °
Independence, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2261° / 48°0
61 °
Independence, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2356° / 39°0.36
56 °
Independence, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind19.6 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2453° / 40°0.09
53 °
Independence, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (1963)
Record low23° (1969)
Sun, 2553° / 40°0.14
53 °
Independence, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (1963)
Record low26° (1962)
Mon, 2652° / 39°0.09
52 °
Independence, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1963)
Record low27° (1987)
Tue, 2752° / 38°0.11
52 °
Independence, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 2852° / 37°0.1
52 °
Independence, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1984)
Record low24° (1976)
Thu, 2950° / 36°0.16
50 °
Independence, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low24° (1965)
Fri, 3051° / 36°0.09
51 °
Independence, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (2024)
Record low22° (2011)
Sat, 3151° / 37°0.12
51 °
Independence, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low22° (2011)
Sun, 0152° / 38°0.11
52 °
Independence, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high68° (1974)
Record low25° (2023)
Mon, 0252° / 38°0.12
52 °
Independence, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (2016)
Record low22° (1993)
Tue, 0351° / 37°0.07
51 °
Independence, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (2015)
Record low26° (1984)
Wed, 0449° / 37°0.11
49 °
Independence, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (2003)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0549° / 36°0.08
49 °
Independence, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low19° (1991)
Fri, 0648° / 35°0.08
48 °
Independence, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low23° (1966)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Independence, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Independence, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.