Monthly outlook for Essex, NY: average high 51.2°, average low 37.3°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (65.4°), the coolest 12 November (25.2°).
51.2°/37.3°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
4 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
57.7°
49.4°
+4.6°
9 November – 18 November
40.5°
44.1°
-2°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
40.5°
—
October records over 66 years
81.5°4 October 2023All-time high
25.3°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Westport (7 mi).
Sat, 3149° / 30°0
49 °
Essex, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Sun, 0157° / 28°0
57 °
Essex, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 28°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.5 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 0263° / 35°0
63 °
Essex, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind2.5 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 0362° / 44°0
62 °
Essex, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 0465° / 52°0
65 °
Essex, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0564° / 51°0
64 °
Essex, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 0659° / 56°0.5
59 °
Essex, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 59°, low 56°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind4.9 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 0754° / 40°0.08
54 °
Essex, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0844° / 33°0
44 °
Essex, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.8 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 0940° / 31°0
40 °
Essex, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.2 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1041° / 33°0.02
41 °
Essex, Tuesday, 10 November
Light snow. High 41°, low 33°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.8 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 1140° / 27°0.07
40 °
Essex, Wednesday, 11 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 27°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1241° / 25°0
41 °
Essex, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 41°, low 25°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Fri, 1341° / 32°0.03
41 °
Essex, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 1440° / 36°0.02
40 °
Essex, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.14
44 °
Essex, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high61° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1643° / 31°0.11
43 °
Essex, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low17° (1967)
Tue, 1742° / 31°0.1
42 °
Essex, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low17° (1972)
Wed, 1842° / 31°0.07
42 °
Essex, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (2021)
Record low23° (2020)
Thu, 1942° / 31°0.07
42 °
Essex, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high59° (1985)
Record low18° (1986)
Fri, 2042° / 31°0.13
42 °
Essex, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low17° (1986)
Sat, 2140° / 29°0.12
40 °
Essex, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high57° (1991)
Record low13° (1987)
Sun, 2240° / 29°0.09
40 °
Essex, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (1999)
Record low7° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 29°0.1
40 °
Essex, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low12° (1972)
Tue, 2440° / 29°0.06
40 °
Essex, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low15° (1971)
Wed, 2540° / 29°0.12
40 °
Essex, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low12° (2013)
Thu, 2640° / 30°0.16
40 °
Essex, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low14° (1978)
Fri, 2740° / 29°0.14
40 °
Essex, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low11° (1978)
Sat, 2841° / 30°0.15
41 °
Essex, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Essex, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Essex, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.