Monthly outlook for Arlington, NY: average high 58.1°, average low 39.3°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (75.6°), the coolest 25 October (30.1°).
58.1°/39.3°
Average high / low
−0.5°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
60.3°
60.3°
-0°
25 October – 3 November
54.5°
56.8°
-1.3°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
52.3°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°6 October 2007All-time high
27.3°28 October 1976All-time low
Fri, 1676° / 53°0.68
76 °
Arlington, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Sat, 1758° / 39°0
58 °
Arlington, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 1856° / 34°0
56 °
Arlington, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind4.8 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 1964° / 40°0
64 °
Arlington, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2065° / 40°0
65 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2161° / 42°0
61 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.1 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2259° / 38°0
59 °
Arlington, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.8 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2352° / 36°0
52 °
Arlington, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind15.4 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2452° / 33°0
52 °
Arlington, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2555° / 30°0
55 °
Arlington, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 55°, low 30°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 2658° / 33°0
58 °
Arlington, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.9 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2757° / 36°0
57 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2858° / 41°0
58 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.5 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2946° / 38°0
46 °
Arlington, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 3053° / 46°0.28
53 °
Arlington, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3156° / 41°0.06
56 °
Arlington, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low27° (2011)
Sun, 0157° / 42°0.1
57 °
Arlington, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (1974)
Record low31° (2011)
Mon, 0257° / 42°0.1
57 °
Arlington, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (1982)
Record low28° (1976)
Tue, 0357° / 41°0.12
57 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low30° (1980)
Wed, 0455° / 40°0.05
55 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1987)
Record low29° (2006)
Thu, 0555° / 40°0.13
55 °
Arlington, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low30° (1962)
Fri, 0653° / 41°0.09
53 °
Arlington, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0753° / 39°0.08
53 °
Arlington, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0852° / 38°0.17
52 °
Arlington, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low27° (2019)
Mon, 0953° / 38°0.09
53 °
Arlington, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1053° / 38°0.13
53 °
Arlington, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Wed, 1151° / 38°0.14
51 °
Arlington, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Thu, 1250° / 37°0.13
50 °
Arlington, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low24° (2019)
Fri, 1348° / 35°0.16
48 °
Arlington, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low22° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arlington, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arlington, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.