Monthly outlook for Shelburne Falls, MA: average high 54.8°, average low 37.3°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (68.6°), the coolest 1 November (29.1°).
54.8°/37.3°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
58.2°
50.4°
+4.3°
7 November – 16 November
49°
45.4°
+2°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
41.3°
—
October records over 66 years
81°6 October 2007All-time high
15.1°31 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hawley (8 mi).
Thu, 2969° / 43°0
69 °
Shelburne Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 69°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Fri, 3059° / 44°0
59 °
Shelburne Falls, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.2 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sat, 3150° / 36°0
50 °
Shelburne Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 0157° / 29°0
57 °
Shelburne Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 57°, low 29°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 0263° / 36°0
63 °
Shelburne Falls, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 63°, low 36°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 0356° / 43°0
56 °
Shelburne Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0453° / 37°0
53 °
Shelburne Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.7 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 0559° / 44°0.11
59 °
Shelburne Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0664° / 47°1.09
64 °
Shelburne Falls, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure29.35 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sat, 0746° / 36°0
46 °
Shelburne Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 0848° / 31°0
48 °
Shelburne Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 0951° / 32°0
51 °
Shelburne Falls, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.2 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1053° / 33°0
53 °
Shelburne Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.1 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1153° / 34°0
53 °
Shelburne Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1244° / 41°0.51
44 °
Shelburne Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 44°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1343° / 30°0.17
43 °
Shelburne Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high63° (1964)
Record low8° (2019)
Sat, 1443° / 30°0.14
43 °
Shelburne Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low9° (1986)
Sun, 1544° / 31°0.15
44 °
Shelburne Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1993)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 1644° / 30°0.15
44 °
Shelburne Falls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (2005)
Record low12° (1967)
Tue, 1742° / 29°0.14
42 °
Shelburne Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low6° (1972)
Wed, 1843° / 30°0.1
43 °
Shelburne Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1963)
Record low15° (1997)
Thu, 1942° / 28°0.07
42 °
Shelburne Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low5° (1997)
Fri, 2042° / 28°0.17
42 °
Shelburne Falls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low1° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 28°0.13
41 °
Shelburne Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (1991)
Record low11° (1987)
Sun, 2240° / 27°0.15
40 °
Shelburne Falls, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high58° (1999)
Record low-2° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 26°0.12
40 °
Shelburne Falls, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low-5° (2018)
Tue, 2440° / 27°0.09
40 °
Shelburne Falls, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-6° (1989)
Wed, 2541° / 27°0.17
41 °
Shelburne Falls, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low8° (1989)
Thu, 2642° / 28°0.23
42 °
Shelburne Falls, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low11° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelburne Falls, MA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelburne Falls, MA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.