Monthly outlook for Provincetown, MA: average high 56.4°, average low 52.2°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (69°), the coolest 18 October (47.4°).
56.4°/52.2°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
56.5°
56.5°
+0°
26 October – 4 November
56.2°
54°
+1.2°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
51.5°
—
October records over 66 years
71.4°1 October 2010All-time high
36.9°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Truro (8 mi).
Sat, 1758° / 49°0.24
58 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind22.3 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 1851° / 47°0
51 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 51°, low 47°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 1954° / 51°0.04
54 °
Provincetown, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 51°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind16.3 mph E
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 2057° / 54°0
57 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind22.2 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2156° / 53°0
56 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind26 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2255° / 52°0.04
55 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind21 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2356° / 53°0.02
56 °
Provincetown, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind18.9 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2453° / 48°0
53 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind25.4 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2554° / 52°0
54 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind18.9 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2654° / 54°0
54 °
Provincetown, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 54°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.5 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2755° / 54°0
55 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 54°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NE
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 2855° / 53°0
55 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2956° / 54°0.03
56 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 54°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3058° / 55°0
58 °
Provincetown, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind19.8 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 3158° / 53°0.08
58 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind26.4 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0155° / 49°0.11
55 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2019)
Record low40° (1992)
Mon, 0254° / 49°0.13
54 °
Provincetown, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1971)
Record low34° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 48°0.22
54 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high63° (1971)
Record low36° (2002)
Wed, 0453° / 48°0.06
53 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (2022)
Record low38° (1989)
Thu, 0553° / 48°0.17
53 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low34° (1965)
Fri, 0653° / 48°0.15
53 °
Provincetown, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (2022)
Record low37° (1987)
Sat, 0753° / 47°0.07
53 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2022)
Record low35° (2002)
Sun, 0852° / 46°0.15
52 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (2022)
Record low35° (2002)
Mon, 0951° / 46°0.12
51 °
Provincetown, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1989)
Record low32° (1976)
Tue, 1052° / 46°0.19
52 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (2020)
Record low33° (2017)
Wed, 1152° / 46°0.13
52 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2022)
Record low32° (2017)
Thu, 1251° / 44°0.16
51 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low33° (1976)
Fri, 1350° / 44°0.21
50 °
Provincetown, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (1975)
Record low27° (2019)
Sat, 1449° / 44°0.11
49 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1989)
Record low28° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Provincetown, MA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Provincetown, MA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.