Monthly outlook for Provincetown, MA: average high 54.6°, average low 47.2°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (60°), the coolest 20 October (41°).
54.6°/47.2°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
55.9°
55.5°
+0.2°
30 October – 8 November
52.3°
53.3°
-0.6°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
50.3°
—
October records over 66 years
71.4°1 October 2010All-time high
36.9°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Truro (8 mi).
Wed, 2155° / 44°0
55 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind28.1 mph NE
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 2257° / 46°0.11
57 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind26.4 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Fri, 2352° / 47°0
52 °
Provincetown, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind25.5 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sat, 2452° / 48°0
52 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 52°, low 48°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 2557° / 51°0
57 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 2660° / 53°0
60 °
Provincetown, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 2759° / 56°0
59 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind23.9 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2858° / 45°0.07
58 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind32.5 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2951° / 43°0
51 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind20.9 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 3057° / 50°0.04
57 °
Provincetown, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.6 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 3148° / 42°0.01
48 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind33.9 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0155° / 47°0
55 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind28.2 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0253° / 49°0
53 °
Provincetown, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind23.6 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 0349° / 47°0
49 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 47°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind15.8 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 0452° / 49°0
52 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 49°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0553° / 48°0.17
53 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low34° (1965)
Fri, 0653° / 48°0.15
53 °
Provincetown, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (2022)
Record low37° (1987)
Sat, 0753° / 47°0.07
53 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2022)
Record low35° (2002)
Sun, 0852° / 46°0.15
52 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (2022)
Record low35° (2002)
Mon, 0951° / 46°0.12
51 °
Provincetown, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1989)
Record low32° (1976)
Tue, 1052° / 46°0.19
52 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (2020)
Record low33° (2017)
Wed, 1152° / 46°0.13
52 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2022)
Record low32° (2017)
Thu, 1251° / 44°0.16
51 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low33° (1976)
Fri, 1350° / 44°0.21
50 °
Provincetown, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (1975)
Record low27° (2019)
Sat, 1449° / 44°0.11
49 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1989)
Record low28° (1986)
Sun, 1550° / 44°0.12
50 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (2008)
Record low31° (2018)
Mon, 1650° / 44°0.16
50 °
Provincetown, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high60° (1989)
Record low32° (1967)
Tue, 1749° / 43°0.16
49 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1849° / 43°0.1
49 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high59° (2021)
Record low33° (2020)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Provincetown, MA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Provincetown, MA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.