Monthly outlook for Provincetown, MA: average high 56.2°, average low 49.8°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 4.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (64.9°), the coolest 25 October (42.8°).
56.2°/49.8°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
4.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
58°
54.3°
+2.1°
4 November – 13 November
53.3°
51.9°
+0.7°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
48.7°
—
October records over 66 years
71.4°1 October 2010All-time high
36.9°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Truro (8 mi).
Mon, 2665° / 46°0
65 °
Provincetown, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 2757° / 46°0
57 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind18.1 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 2850° / 48°0
50 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 50°, low 48°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 2957° / 51°0
57 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind20.8 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3062° / 55°0
62 °
Provincetown, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.7 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 3156° / 52°0
56 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 56°, low 52°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind19.9 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0156° / 52°0
56 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 52°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 0258° / 55°0
58 °
Provincetown, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 0359° / 56°0
59 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 0458° / 56°0
58 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 56°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 0554° / 50°3.7
54 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind49.9 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 0648° / 45°0.13
48 °
Provincetown, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind54.7 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 0756° / 48°0
56 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.5 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 0856° / 47°0.44
56 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind34.7 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0949° / 47°0.08
49 °
Provincetown, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind30 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1052° / 46°0.19
52 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (2020)
Record low33° (2017)
Wed, 1152° / 46°0.13
52 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2022)
Record low32° (2017)
Thu, 1251° / 44°0.16
51 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low33° (1976)
Fri, 1350° / 44°0.21
50 °
Provincetown, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (1975)
Record low27° (2019)
Sat, 1449° / 44°0.11
49 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1989)
Record low28° (1986)
Sun, 1550° / 44°0.12
50 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (2008)
Record low31° (2018)
Mon, 1650° / 44°0.16
50 °
Provincetown, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high60° (1989)
Record low32° (1967)
Tue, 1749° / 43°0.16
49 °
Provincetown, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1849° / 43°0.1
49 °
Provincetown, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high59° (2021)
Record low33° (2020)
Thu, 1949° / 42°0.07
49 °
Provincetown, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high59° (2017)
Record low31° (2020)
Fri, 2049° / 42°0.11
49 °
Provincetown, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high57° (1985)
Record low30° (2008)
Sat, 2148° / 42°0.09
48 °
Provincetown, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high57° (1988)
Record low26° (1987)
Sun, 2247° / 41°0.23
47 °
Provincetown, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high57° (1994)
Record low21° (2018)
Mon, 2347° / 41°0.17
47 °
Provincetown, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high57° (2020)
Record low25° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Provincetown, MA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Provincetown, MA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.