Monthly outlook for Moravia, NY: average high 55.5°, average low 40.5°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (65.9°), the coolest 19 October (26.7°).
55.5°/40.5°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
4 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
56.8°
58°
-0.7°
19 October – 28 October
53.4°
54.2°
-0.4°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
50.8°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°1 October 2019All-time high
24.8°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Groton (11 mi).
Sat, 1066° / 40°0
66 °
Moravia, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.4 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 1155° / 46°0.73
55 °
Moravia, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.8 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 1261° / 52°0.03
61 °
Moravia, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1365° / 54°0.21
65 °
Moravia, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility3.9 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1453° / 51°0.02
53 °
Moravia, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 1557° / 44°0.01
57 °
Moravia, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.9 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 1660° / 48°0.85
60 °
Moravia, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.8 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 1748° / 37°0.01
48 °
Moravia, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1839° / 28°0.08
39 °
Moravia, Sunday, 18 October
Snow. High 39°, low 28°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.9 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1946° / 27°0
46 °
Moravia, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 46°, low 27°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 2051° / 33°0
51 °
Moravia, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2155° / 34°0
55 °
Moravia, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2257° / 37°0
57 °
Moravia, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2355° / 40°0
55 °
Moravia, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2456° / 37°0
56 °
Moravia, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2554° / 41°0.15
54 °
Moravia, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low29° (2002)
Mon, 2653° / 41°0.15
53 °
Moravia, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low29° (1997)
Tue, 2753° / 40°0.15
53 °
Moravia, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low26° (1976)
Wed, 2853° / 39°0.14
53 °
Moravia, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high74° (1984)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2951° / 38°0.12
51 °
Moravia, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (1989)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 3051° / 38°0.09
51 °
Moravia, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low29° (1990)
Sat, 3152° / 38°0.1
52 °
Moravia, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low26° (2008)
Sun, 0153° / 39°0.12
53 °
Moravia, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1974)
Record low29° (1992)
Mon, 0252° / 39°0.18
52 °
Moravia, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (1982)
Record low25° (1965)
Tue, 0352° / 38°0.09
52 °
Moravia, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1982)
Record low28° (1988)
Wed, 0450° / 38°0.12
50 °
Moravia, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low26° (1991)
Thu, 0550° / 38°0.11
50 °
Moravia, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low23° (1991)
Fri, 0649° / 37°0.12
49 °
Moravia, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
Sat, 0748° / 36°0.1
48 °
Moravia, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low12° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Moravia, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Moravia, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.