Monthly outlook for Chateaugay, NY: average high 50.8°, average low 37.4°. That is 1.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (63.9°), the coolest 19 October (25.5°).
50.8°/37.4°
Average high / low
−1.2°
Below normal
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
50.5°
54.3°
-2.1°
21 October – 30 October
51.4°
49.8°
+0.9°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
46.7°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
18.1°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Malone (14 mi).
Mon, 1264° / 44°0.13
64 °
Chateaugay, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.7 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 1352° / 46°1.25
52 °
Chateaugay, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NE
Humidity100%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 1450° / 44°0.06
50 °
Chateaugay, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1553° / 37°0
53 °
Chateaugay, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1649° / 38°0.49
49 °
Chateaugay, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 1748° / 34°0.13
48 °
Chateaugay, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1837° / 28°0.1
37 °
Chateaugay, Sunday, 18 October
Snow. High 37°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1940° / 25°0
40 °
Chateaugay, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.4 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 2049° / 38°0
49 °
Chateaugay, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.5 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2158° / 40°0
58 °
Chateaugay, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2262° / 44°0.01
62 °
Chateaugay, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2349° / 41°0.06
49 °
Chateaugay, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2452° / 37°0.01
52 °
Chateaugay, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2551° / 37°0.15
51 °
Chateaugay, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.1 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2636° / 32°0.07
36 °
Chateaugay, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 36°, low 32°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2750° / 37°0.15
50 °
Chateaugay, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (2023)
Record low22° (1976)
Wed, 2849° / 36°0.15
49 °
Chateaugay, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1984)
Record low19° (1976)
Thu, 2947° / 34°0.1
47 °
Chateaugay, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low23° (1965)
Fri, 3047° / 34°0.08
47 °
Chateaugay, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low22° (2020)
Sat, 3149° / 35°0.13
49 °
Chateaugay, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low21° (1988)
Sun, 0149° / 36°0.17
49 °
Chateaugay, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high65° (2024)
Record low22° (1965)
Mon, 0248° / 35°0.19
48 °
Chateaugay, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low18° (1965)
Tue, 0348° / 34°0.12
48 °
Chateaugay, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high68° (1982)
Record low15° (2002)
Wed, 0447° / 34°0.13
47 °
Chateaugay, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low22° (1989)
Thu, 0546° / 34°0.15
46 °
Chateaugay, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low19° (1986)
Fri, 0647° / 35°0.13
47 °
Chateaugay, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (2015)
Record low18° (1962)
Sat, 0745° / 33°0.09
45 °
Chateaugay, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low13° (2002)
Sun, 0843° / 31°0.13
43 °
Chateaugay, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1975)
Record low18° (1992)
Mon, 0944° / 31°0.11
44 °
Chateaugay, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low15° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chateaugay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chateaugay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.