Monthly outlook for Erie, ND: average high 53.4°, average low 41.4°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (71.5°), the coolest 26 October (29.9°).
53.4°/41.4°
Average high / low
+3.4°
Above normal
7 / 3
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
51.8°
49.2°
+1.4°
2 November – 11 November
56.3°
42.1°
+7.9°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
36.8°
—
October records over 66 years
89.8°3 October 2025All-time high
9.1°27 October 2001All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Amenia (11 mi).
Sat, 2464° / 42°0.06
64 °
Erie, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 2553° / 35°0
53 °
Erie, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Mon, 2644° / 30°0
44 °
Erie, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Tue, 2742° / 34°0.13
42 °
Erie, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2846° / 42°0.26
46 °
Erie, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 46°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.5 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2944° / 34°0.02
44 °
Erie, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.9 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 3048° / 30°0
48 °
Erie, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 3144° / 39°0
44 °
Erie, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.4 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0161° / 38°0
61 °
Erie, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0255° / 45°0.77
55 °
Erie, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.2 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0354° / 52°0.98
54 °
Erie, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind14.8 mph E
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 0453° / 47°0.05
53 °
Erie, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0551° / 43°0.08
51 °
Erie, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.2 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0660° / 43°0
60 °
Erie, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 0765° / 53°0
65 °
Erie, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0842° / 29°0.05
42 °
Erie, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low2° (2003)
Mon, 0940° / 27°0.04
40 °
Erie, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high61° (2010)
Record low6° (1986)
Tue, 1038° / 26°0.06
38 °
Erie, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high59° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Wed, 1137° / 24°0.02
37 °
Erie, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low-7° (1986)
Thu, 1237° / 24°0.04
37 °
Erie, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high60° (1981)
Record low-6° (1986)
Fri, 1339° / 25°0.03
39 °
Erie, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low-7° (1986)
Sat, 1439° / 26°0.02
39 °
Erie, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high63° (2025)
Record low4° (1995)
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.03
38 °
Erie, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low8° (1997)
Mon, 1638° / 25°0.02
38 °
Erie, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low5° (1978)
Tue, 1736° / 25°0.04
36 °
Erie, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low0° (1997)
Wed, 1836° / 23°0.05
36 °
Erie, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2001)
Record low-1° (1996)
Thu, 1936° / 23°0.07
36 °
Erie, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high55° (1989)
Record low-1° (1978)
Fri, 2034° / 21°0.05
34 °
Erie, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high53° (1962)
Record low-5° (1978)
Sat, 2134° / 20°0.02
34 °
Erie, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high54° (1990)
Record low-17° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.