Monthly outlook for Erie, ND: average high 53.1°, average low 35.4°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (70.1°), the coolest 28 October (22.4°).
53.1°/35.4°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
2 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
55°
51.2°
+2.1°
30 October – 8 November
50.1°
44.6°
+3°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
37.8°
—
October records over 66 years
89.8°3 October 2025All-time high
9.1°27 October 2001All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Amenia (11 mi).
Wed, 2162° / 40°0
62 °
Erie, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.3 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Thu, 2270° / 42°0
70 °
Erie, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 70°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 2370° / 56°0.04
70 °
Erie, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 2462° / 45°0.1
62 °
Erie, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.7 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2551° / 35°0
51 °
Erie, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2645° / 32°0.01
45 °
Erie, Monday, 26 October
Light snow. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14.7 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Tue, 2733° / 24°0.02
33 °
Erie, Tuesday, 27 October
Light snow. High 33°, low 24°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind15.5 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Wed, 2846° / 22°0
46 °
Erie, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 22°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point4°
Thu, 2945° / 30°0
45 °
Erie, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 3044° / 28°0
44 °
Erie, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 44°, low 28°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.8 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sat, 3139° / 26°0
39 °
Erie, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 39°, low 26°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 0145° / 24°0
45 °
Erie, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 45°, low 24°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Mon, 0253° / 38°0.03
53 °
Erie, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 0357° / 39°0
57 °
Erie, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 0462° / 42°0
62 °
Erie, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0544° / 30°0.04
44 °
Erie, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low14° (2003)
Fri, 0643° / 30°0.05
43 °
Erie, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low4° (1991)
Sat, 0743° / 28°0.05
43 °
Erie, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-4° (1991)
Sun, 0842° / 29°0.05
42 °
Erie, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low2° (2003)
Mon, 0940° / 27°0.04
40 °
Erie, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high61° (2010)
Record low6° (1986)
Tue, 1038° / 26°0.06
38 °
Erie, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high59° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Wed, 1137° / 24°0.02
37 °
Erie, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low-7° (1986)
Thu, 1237° / 24°0.04
37 °
Erie, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high60° (1981)
Record low-6° (1986)
Fri, 1339° / 25°0.03
39 °
Erie, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low-7° (1986)
Sat, 1439° / 26°0.02
39 °
Erie, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high63° (2025)
Record low4° (1995)
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.03
38 °
Erie, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low8° (1997)
Mon, 1638° / 25°0.02
38 °
Erie, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low5° (1978)
Tue, 1736° / 25°0.04
36 °
Erie, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low0° (1997)
Wed, 1836° / 23°0.05
36 °
Erie, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2001)
Record low-1° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.