Monthly outlook for Erie, ND: average high 53.3°, average low 38.7°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (68.2°), the coolest 2 November (25.3°).
53.3°/38.7°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
6 / 3
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
60.1°
52.2°
+4.4°
28 October – 6 November
42°
45.8°
-2.1°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
39.2°
—
October records over 66 years
89.8°3 October 2025All-time high
9.1°27 October 2001All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Amenia (11 mi).
Mon, 1963° / 31°0
63 °
Erie, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Tue, 2064° / 41°0
64 °
Erie, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2161° / 47°0
61 °
Erie, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Thu, 2268° / 45°0
68 °
Erie, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 2365° / 55°0.04
65 °
Erie, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind20.7 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 2462° / 41°0.13
62 °
Erie, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind24.1 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2547° / 35°0
47 °
Erie, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 2652° / 37°0
52 °
Erie, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2751° / 38°0.07
51 °
Erie, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.4 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2861° / 47°0.24
61 °
Erie, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind19.4 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2947° / 43°0
47 °
Erie, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 43°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind18.4 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 3041° / 35°0.65
41 °
Erie, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind23 mph N
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 3134° / 32°1.03
34 °
Erie, Saturday, 31 October
Snow. High 34°, low 32°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind27.7 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0134° / 26°0
34 °
Erie, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 34°, low 26°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0236° / 25°0.04
36 °
Erie, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 36°, low 25°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.2 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0344° / 31°0.02
44 °
Erie, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2008)
Record low6° (1991)
Wed, 0444° / 30°0.03
44 °
Erie, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low1° (1991)
Thu, 0544° / 30°0.04
44 °
Erie, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low14° (2003)
Fri, 0643° / 30°0.05
43 °
Erie, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low4° (1991)
Sat, 0743° / 28°0.05
43 °
Erie, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-4° (1991)
Sun, 0842° / 29°0.05
42 °
Erie, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low2° (2003)
Mon, 0940° / 27°0.04
40 °
Erie, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high61° (2010)
Record low6° (1986)
Tue, 1038° / 26°0.06
38 °
Erie, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high59° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Wed, 1137° / 24°0.02
37 °
Erie, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low-7° (1986)
Thu, 1237° / 24°0.04
37 °
Erie, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high60° (1981)
Record low-6° (1986)
Fri, 1339° / 25°0.03
39 °
Erie, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low-7° (1986)
Sat, 1439° / 26°0.02
39 °
Erie, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high63° (2025)
Record low4° (1995)
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.03
38 °
Erie, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low8° (1997)
Mon, 1638° / 25°0.02
38 °
Erie, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low5° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erie, ND are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erie, ND since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.