Monthly outlook for Pablo Keys, FL: average high 79.9°, average low 70.3°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 4.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (87.3°), the coolest 14 October (66°).
79.9°/70.3°
Average high / low
+2.2°
Above normal
9 / 4
Wet days / normal
4.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
79.8°
76.5°
+1.8°
24 October – 2 November
79.9°
74.6°
+2.9°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
72.1°
—
October records over 66 years
89.1°11 October 2018All-time high
45.5°30 October 2017All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Jacksonville Beach (1 mi).
Thu, 1587° / 68°0
87 °
Pablo Keys, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 87°, low 68°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.4 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Fri, 1683° / 69°0.32
83 °
Pablo Keys, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 83°, low 69°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind0.7 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point74°
Sat, 1773° / 67°0.03
73 °
Pablo Keys, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 67°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 1873° / 67°0.04
73 °
Pablo Keys, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 67°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 1974° / 67°0.28
74 °
Pablo Keys, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 67°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19.2 mph NE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Tue, 2084° / 73°0.15
84 °
Pablo Keys, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 84°, low 73°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.9 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Wed, 2178° / 73°2.54
78 °
Pablo Keys, Wednesday, 21 October
Heavy rain. High 78°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.5 mph E
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Thu, 2281° / 72°0.35
81 °
Pablo Keys, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 72°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Fri, 2381° / 74°0.07
81 °
Pablo Keys, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 74°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sat, 2481° / 75°0.1
81 °
Pablo Keys, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 75°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.9 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Sun, 2582° / 73°0.09
82 °
Pablo Keys, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 73°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Mon, 2674° / 69°0.02
74 °
Pablo Keys, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 69°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 2779° / 67°0
79 °
Pablo Keys, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 79°, low 67°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.1 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 2881° / 72°0
81 °
Pablo Keys, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 72°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.2 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 2982° / 72°0
82 °
Pablo Keys, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 72°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3074° / 65°0.06
74 °
Pablo Keys, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high83° (2019)
Record low46° (2017)
Sat, 3174° / 66°0.1
74 °
Pablo Keys, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high87° (2019)
Record low46° (2017)
Sun, 0174° / 65°0.05
74 °
Pablo Keys, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1961)
Record low43° (1993)
Mon, 0274° / 65°0.07
74 °
Pablo Keys, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2015)
Record low47° (2014)
Tue, 0373° / 64°0.06
73 °
Pablo Keys, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2015)
Record low42° (1966)
Wed, 0473° / 63°0.09
73 °
Pablo Keys, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2004)
Record low45° (1966)
Thu, 0572° / 64°0.13
72 °
Pablo Keys, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low45° (1970)
Fri, 0672° / 63°0.13
72 °
Pablo Keys, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (2018)
Record low47° (2021)
Sat, 0772° / 62°0.08
72 °
Pablo Keys, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low49° (2021)
Sun, 0872° / 62°0.04
72 °
Pablo Keys, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low48° (1976)
Mon, 0972° / 63°0.07
72 °
Pablo Keys, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2018)
Record low46° (1991)
Tue, 1072° / 62°0.1
72 °
Pablo Keys, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low45° (1991)
Wed, 1171° / 61°0.05
71 °
Pablo Keys, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (2002)
Record low34° (2025)
Thu, 1271° / 61°0.05
71 °
Pablo Keys, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high81° (2019)
Record low36° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pablo Keys, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pablo Keys, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.