Weather in Tarpon, FL
Tarpon, Wednesday, 14 October, 09:11
Clear. Feels like 77°. High 88°, low 71°.
Monthly outlook for Tarpon, FL: average high 83.3°, average low 70.6°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (89.4°), the coolest 18 October (65.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 October – 23 October | 84.1° | 81.6° | +1.4° |
| 24 October – 2 November | 82° | 79.8° | +1.2° |
| 3 November – 12 November | at normal | 77.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Egypt Lake-Leto (4 mi).
0.11
Tarpon, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 89°, low 69°.
0.35Tarpon, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 88°, low 73°.
0.78Tarpon, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 74°, low 69°.
0
Tarpon, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 66°.
0.04Tarpon, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 69°.
0.01Tarpon, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 72°.
0.01Tarpon, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 73°.
0.01Tarpon, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 85°, low 74°.
0Tarpon, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 70°.
0
Tarpon, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 69°.
0
Tarpon, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 83°, low 66°.
0.32Tarpon, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 71°.
0.04Tarpon, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 72°.
0Tarpon, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 73°.
0.6Tarpon, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 80°, low 75°.
0.04Tarpon, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tarpon, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Tarpon, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Tarpon, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Tarpon, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Tarpon, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Tarpon, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tarpon, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tarpon, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tarpon, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tarpon, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Tarpon, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tarpon, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Tarpon, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarpon, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarpon, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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