Monthly outlook for Tarpon, FL: average high 92.6°, average low 80.3°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 13 days and 3.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 August (95.1°), the coolest 10 August (75.8°).
92.6°/80.3°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
6 / 13
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
93.1°
87.5°
+3.1°
18 August – 27 August
91.7°
87.5°
+2.3°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
87°
—
August records over 66 years
98.8°13 August 2023All-time high
68.4°28 August 1984All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tampa (8 mi).
Sun, 0992° / 77°0.07
92 °
Tarpon, Sunday, 9 August
Light rain. High 92°, low 77°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Mon, 1094° / 76°0
94 °
Tarpon, Monday, 10 August
Overcast. High 94°, low 76°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Tue, 1194° / 82°0
94 °
Tarpon, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 94°, low 82°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Wed, 1293° / 83°0
93 °
Tarpon, Wednesday, 12 August
Clear. High 93°, low 83°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point70°
Thu, 1393° / 82°0
93 °
Tarpon, Thursday, 13 August
Clear. High 93°, low 82°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 1493° / 81°0
93 °
Tarpon, Friday, 14 August
Partly cloudy. High 93°, low 81°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 1595° / 80°0.05
95 °
Tarpon, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 80°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sun, 1693° / 81°0.05
93 °
Tarpon, Sunday, 16 August
Light rain. High 93°, low 81°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Mon, 1793° / 80°0.09
93 °
Tarpon, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 93°, low 80°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Tue, 1893° / 78°0.07
93 °
Tarpon, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 93°, low 78°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Wed, 1993° / 82°0
93 °
Tarpon, Wednesday, 19 August
Overcast. High 93°, low 82°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.7 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Thu, 2091° / 82°0
91 °
Tarpon, Thursday, 20 August
Overcast. High 91°, low 82°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.4 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Fri, 2191° / 82°0
91 °
Tarpon, Friday, 21 August
Partly cloudy. High 91°, low 82°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sat, 2291° / 81°0
91 °
Tarpon, Saturday, 22 August
Clear. High 91°, low 81°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sun, 2391° / 81°0
91 °
Tarpon, Sunday, 23 August
Overcast. High 91°, low 81°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2487° / 75°0.25
87 °
Tarpon, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation73%
Record high94° (1987)
Record low72° (1973)
Tue, 2587° / 75°0.19
87 °
Tarpon, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high96° (2023)
Record low72° (1980)
Wed, 2688° / 75°0.2
88 °
Tarpon, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high88°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high95° (2023)
Record low72° (1996)
Thu, 2787° / 75°0.2
87 °
Tarpon, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high95° (2023)
Record low71° (1969)
Fri, 2887° / 75°0.18
87 °
Tarpon, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high94° (2014)
Record low68° (1984)
Sat, 2987° / 75°0.24
87 °
Tarpon, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high93° (2023)
Record low71° (1994)
Sun, 3087° / 75°0.21
87 °
Tarpon, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high94° (2014)
Record low71° (1994)
Mon, 3187° / 75°0.23
87 °
Tarpon, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation75%
Record high94° (2014)
Record low72° (1967)
Tue, 0187° / 75°0.29
87 °
Tarpon, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.29 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high94° (2014)
Record low73° (1968)
Wed, 0287° / 75°0.18
87 °
Tarpon, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high94° (2014)
Record low71° (2010)
Thu, 0387° / 75°0.23
87 °
Tarpon, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high93° (2014)
Record low71° (2010)
Fri, 0487° / 75°0.18
87 °
Tarpon, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high92° (2020)
Record low70° (1967)
Sat, 0587° / 75°0.28
87 °
Tarpon, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.28 in
Chance of precipitation75%
Record high91° (2020)
Record low71° (1967)
Sun, 0687° / 75°0.25
87 °
Tarpon, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low75°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation73%
Record high93° (2023)
Record low71° (1997)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarpon, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarpon, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.