Monthly outlook for Bristol, VA: average high 68.1°, average low 49.7°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (81.5°), the coolest 18 October (32°).
68.1°/49.7°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
70.2°
66.4°
+2.1°
19 October – 28 October
64.4°
62.6°
+1°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
60°
—
October records over 66 years
91.6°3 October 2019All-time high
27°28 October 1976All-time low
Sat, 1064° / 51°0.4
64 °
Bristol, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.8 mph E
Humidity89%
Visibility5.4 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 1167° / 56°0.95
67 °
Bristol, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility4.7 mi
Dew point60°
Mon, 1277° / 60°0
77 °
Bristol, Monday, 12 October
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 1377° / 58°0
77 °
Bristol, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 77°, low 58°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 1480° / 60°0.18
80 °
Bristol, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 80°, low 60°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.1 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 1572° / 63°0.07
72 °
Bristol, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 63°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.9 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 1681° / 61°0
81 °
Bristol, Friday, 16 October
Mostly clear. High 81°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.1 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1759° / 39°0.11
59 °
Bristol, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.2 mph W
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1853° / 32°0
53 °
Bristol, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 1964° / 34°0
64 °
Bristol, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 34°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 2068° / 38°0
68 °
Bristol, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2168° / 42°0
68 °
Bristol, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 42°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2261° / 56°0.36
61 °
Bristol, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 2360° / 49°0.56
60 °
Bristol, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 2467° / 45°0
67 °
Bristol, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2562° / 45°0.16
62 °
Bristol, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (2022)
Record low29° (2006)
Mon, 2662° / 46°0.09
62 °
Bristol, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2010)
Record low27° (1962)
Tue, 2761° / 44°0.15
61 °
Bristol, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high76° (1984)
Record low28° (1962)
Wed, 2861° / 45°0.13
61 °
Bristol, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high77° (1991)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2961° / 43°0.12
61 °
Bristol, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (2001)
Fri, 3062° / 42°0.13
62 °
Bristol, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (2017)
Sat, 3162° / 44°0.08
62 °
Bristol, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low32° (1993)
Sun, 0162° / 45°0.08
62 °
Bristol, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low27° (2023)
Mon, 0261° / 43°0.14
61 °
Bristol, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2004)
Record low27° (1993)
Tue, 0360° / 42°0.07
60 °
Bristol, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low27° (1996)
Wed, 0458° / 41°0.12
58 °
Bristol, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low25° (1966)
Thu, 0558° / 41°0.12
58 °
Bristol, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1961)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0658° / 40°0.06
58 °
Bristol, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low25° (1967)
Sat, 0758° / 40°0.12
58 °
Bristol, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low25° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bristol, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bristol, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.