Monthly outlook for Alexandria, VA: average high 64.4°, average low 51.2°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (84°), the coolest 18 October (39.6°).
64.4°/51.2°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
63.8°
64.6°
-0.5°
26 October – 4 November
65.4°
61.8°
+2°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
57.2°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°2 October 2019All-time high
29.3°28 October 1976All-time low
Sat, 1767° / 45°0.06
67 °
Alexandria, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.4 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 1856° / 40°0
56 °
Alexandria, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1957° / 43°0
57 °
Alexandria, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Tue, 2066° / 48°0
66 °
Alexandria, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2163° / 54°0.02
63 °
Alexandria, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2255° / 48°0
55 °
Alexandria, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2366° / 51°0
66 °
Alexandria, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 2466° / 49°0
66 °
Alexandria, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2557° / 51°0.32
57 °
Alexandria, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2658° / 55°0.28
58 °
Alexandria, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 2769° / 52°0
69 °
Alexandria, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2869° / 56°0
69 °
Alexandria, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2961° / 55°0.01
61 °
Alexandria, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 3065° / 57°0.11
65 °
Alexandria, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 3171° / 55°0.2
71 °
Alexandria, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0163° / 48°0.1
63 °
Alexandria, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low35° (2002)
Mon, 0262° / 47°0.11
62 °
Alexandria, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (1971)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 0362° / 46°0.06
62 °
Alexandria, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low33° (2002)
Wed, 0460° / 44°0.12
60 °
Alexandria, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (1974)
Record low30° (2006)
Thu, 0559° / 45°0.09
59 °
Alexandria, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (1961)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 44°0.06
59 °
Alexandria, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0758° / 43°0.09
58 °
Alexandria, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sun, 0858° / 43°0.15
58 °
Alexandria, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low29° (1967)
Mon, 0959° / 43°0.07
59 °
Alexandria, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low26° (1976)
Tue, 1059° / 43°0.13
59 °
Alexandria, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low32° (1973)
Wed, 1157° / 42°0.2
57 °
Alexandria, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1255° / 42°0.22
55 °
Alexandria, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1964)
Record low29° (1987)
Fri, 1354° / 39°0.1
54 °
Alexandria, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Sat, 1455° / 39°0.06
55 °
Alexandria, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low25° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Alexandria, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Alexandria, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.