Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, FL: average high 81.6°, average low 70.8°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (88.8°), the coolest 17 November (63.7°).
81.6°/70.8°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
82.5°
78.5°
+2.2°
13 November – 22 November
80.2°
77.2°
+1.7°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
76.7°
—
November records over 66 years
89.1°6 November 2002All-time high
45.5°11 November 2025All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — San Castle (5 mi).
Wed, 0489° / 74°0.14
89 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 89°, low 74°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9 mph E
Humidity72%
Visibility5.4 mi
Dew point72°
Thu, 0583° / 69°0
83 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 83°, low 69°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Fri, 0682° / 69°0.09
82 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 69°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point72°
Sat, 0782° / 68°0.04
82 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 68°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Sun, 0882° / 67°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 82°, low 67°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.9 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Mon, 0982° / 67°0.04
82 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 1080° / 75°0.01
80 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 75°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Wed, 1180° / 75°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 80°, low 75°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.2 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 1282° / 75°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 75°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 1385° / 76°0.3
85 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 85°, low 76°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sat, 1483° / 73°0.03
83 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 73°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sun, 1583° / 74°0.02
83 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 74°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Mon, 1676° / 66°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 76°, low 66°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 1776° / 64°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 76°, low 64°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1878° / 68°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 68°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1978° / 68°0.03
78 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2003)
Record low56° (1981)
Fri, 2077° / 68°0.11
77 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (1986)
Record low51° (1968)
Sat, 2176° / 67°0.07
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high83° (1988)
Record low52° (2006)
Sun, 2276° / 67°0.07
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high83° (1965)
Record low49° (2006)
Mon, 2376° / 66°0.05
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2025)
Record low51° (2024)
Tue, 2477° / 67°0.06
77 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low51° (1970)
Wed, 2577° / 67°0.05
77 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (2018)
Record low48° (1970)
Thu, 2677° / 67°0.03
77 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low58° (2019)
Fri, 2778° / 67°0.03
78 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low51° (1962)
Sat, 2877° / 67°0.04
77 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low47° (2018)
Sun, 2976° / 67°0.07
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low48° (2018)
Mon, 3076° / 67°0.06
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (1972)
Record low50° (1963)
Tue, 0176° / 66°0.04
76 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2019)
Record low52° (1969)
Wed, 0276° / 66°0.02
76 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low49° (2020)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.