Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, FL: average high 76°, average low 66.3°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (80°), the coolest 15 November (55.7°).
76°/66.3°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
8 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
77°
77.2°
-0.1°
23 November – 2 December
74.2°
76.7°
-1.3°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
75.6°
—
November records over 66 years
89.1°6 November 2002All-time high
45.5°11 November 2025All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — San Castle (5 mi).
Sat, 1473° / 57°0
73 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 73°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 1577° / 56°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 77°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 1676° / 65°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 65°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1776° / 69°0.02
76 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 69°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.3 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Wed, 1876° / 67°0.34
76 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 67°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 1977° / 69°0.29
77 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Rain. High 77°, low 69°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind21.5 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Fri, 2078° / 75°0.39
78 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 75°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind23.3 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 2180° / 72°0.14
80 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 72°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind20.3 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Sun, 2279° / 67°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 79°, low 67°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Mon, 2377° / 67°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 67°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2468° / 59°0
68 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.4 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2570° / 58°0.05
70 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2674° / 70°0.07
74 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 70°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind18.4 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Fri, 2777° / 72°0.52
77 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Rain. High 77°, low 72°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sat, 2879° / 73°0.07
79 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 73°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2976° / 67°0.07
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low48° (2018)
Mon, 3076° / 67°0.06
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (1972)
Record low50° (1963)
Tue, 0176° / 66°0.04
76 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2019)
Record low52° (1969)
Wed, 0276° / 66°0.02
76 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low49° (2020)
Thu, 0376° / 66°0.02
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low48° (2019)
Fri, 0476° / 66°0.09
76 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high83° (1983)
Record low50° (2019)
Sat, 0576° / 65°0.08
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high85° (2025)
Record low51° (1968)
Sun, 0676° / 65°0.03
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high86° (2016)
Record low50° (1968)
Mon, 0776° / 65°0.06
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (2025)
Record low45° (2010)
Tue, 0876° / 66°0.03
76 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low46° (2010)
Wed, 0976° / 66°0.06
76 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high85° (2009)
Record low45° (2020)
Thu, 1076° / 66°0.03
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high85° (2009)
Record low45° (2017)
Fri, 1175° / 65°0.04
75 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high86° (2024)
Record low44° (1981)
Sat, 1275° / 64°0.04
75 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (1986)
Record low47° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.