Weather in Chapel Hill, FL
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November, 05:38
Heavy rain. Feels like 78°. High 79°, low 74°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, FL: average high 79.3°, average low 68.2°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (83.6°), the coolest 15 November (57°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 November – 10 November | 80.8° | 78.9° | +1.1° |
| 11 November – 20 November | 76.7° | 77.6° | -0.5° |
| 21 November – 30 November | at normal | 76.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — San Castle (5 mi).
1.85Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 79°, low 70°.
0.26Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 82°, low 70°.
0.09Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 73°.
0
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 84°, low 69°.
0.04Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 69°.
0
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 80°, low 68°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 81°, low 70°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 68°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 79°, low 66°.
0
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 79°, low 68°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 79°, low 71°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 81°, low 73°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 64°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 72°, low 57°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 75°, low 62°.
0.03Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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