Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, FL: average high 77.8°, average low 68.3°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 November (85.2°), the coolest 15 November (55.6°).
77.8°/68.3°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
77.3°
78°
-0.3°
17 November – 26 November
78.6°
76.9°
+0.9°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
76.3°
—
November records over 66 years
89.1°6 November 2002All-time high
45.5°11 November 2025All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — San Castle (5 mi).
Sun, 0885° / 70°0
85 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 85°, low 70°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind2.4 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Mon, 0982° / 65°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 82°, low 65°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind2.1 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Tue, 1081° / 66°0.05
81 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 81°, low 66°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Wed, 1182° / 67°0.01
82 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Thu, 1276° / 66°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 76°, low 66°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.5 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 1379° / 68°0.02
79 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 68°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind17.3 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 1467° / 63°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 63°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 1565° / 56°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 1672° / 60°0.04
72 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 60°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 1778° / 72°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 72°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.4 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 1879° / 74°0.13
79 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 74°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.3 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 1977° / 73°0.33
77 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 73°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 2079° / 72°0.02
79 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 72°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind22.7 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 2179° / 74°0.33
79 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 74°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.9 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sun, 2279° / 75°0.44
79 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 79°, low 75°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2376° / 66°0.05
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2025)
Record low51° (2024)
Tue, 2477° / 67°0.06
77 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low51° (1970)
Wed, 2577° / 67°0.05
77 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (2018)
Record low48° (1970)
Thu, 2677° / 67°0.03
77 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low58° (2019)
Fri, 2778° / 67°0.03
78 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low51° (1962)
Sat, 2877° / 67°0.04
77 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low47° (2018)
Sun, 2976° / 67°0.07
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1976)
Record low48° (2018)
Mon, 3076° / 67°0.06
76 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (1972)
Record low50° (1963)
Tue, 0176° / 66°0.04
76 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2019)
Record low52° (1969)
Wed, 0276° / 66°0.02
76 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low49° (2020)
Thu, 0376° / 66°0.02
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high85° (2018)
Record low48° (2019)
Fri, 0476° / 66°0.09
76 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high83° (1983)
Record low50° (2019)
Sat, 0576° / 65°0.08
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high85° (2025)
Record low51° (1968)
Sun, 0676° / 65°0.03
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high86° (2016)
Record low50° (1968)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.