Weather in Chapel Hill, FL
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November, 00:34
Fog. Feels like 60°. High 80°, low 58°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, FL: average high 78.2°, average low 69.2°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 November (84.2°), the coolest 15 November (58.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 78° | 77° | +0.5° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 78.5° | 76.5° | +1.1° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 75.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — San Castle (5 mi).
0.04
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 68°.
0.02Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 68°.
0.57Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 75°, low 67°.
1.76Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Heavy rain. High 75°, low 67°.
0.16Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 70°.
0.08Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 74°.
0.3Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 73°.
0.06Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 71°.
0.01Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 72°.
0.02Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 72°.
0.1Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 74°.
0.11Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 82°, low 75°.
0.04Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 84°, low 73°.
0.02Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 67°.
0
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 61°.
0.04
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chapel Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Chapel Hill, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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