Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 58.1°, average low 42°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (70.2°), the coolest 25 October (32.8°).
58.1°/42°
Average high / low
+0.8°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
60.3°
57.8°
+1.4°
4 November – 13 November
54.4°
53.8°
+0.3°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
49.5°
—
October records over 66 years
87.4°2 October 2019All-time high
28.6°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
Mon, 2668° / 34°0
68 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 68°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2753° / 39°0
53 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Wed, 2857° / 36°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind1.6 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 2962° / 45°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 3070° / 49°0
70 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 3158° / 45°0
58 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0157° / 42°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0263° / 45°0
63 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 0351° / 45°0
51 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind18.4 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 0446° / 44°1.68
46 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind22.9 mph NE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 0551° / 44°0.03
51 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16.2 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 0659° / 40°0
59 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 0756° / 41°0
56 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.1 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0857° / 43°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0957° / 47°0.69
57 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind21 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1054° / 43°0.15
54 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low26° (2017)
Wed, 1153° / 42°0.15
53 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1252° / 41°0.15
52 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low26° (2019)
Fri, 1350° / 40°0.21
50 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Sat, 1450° / 40°0.09
50 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (1993)
Record low24° (2019)
Sun, 1551° / 40°0.12
51 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1993)
Record low24° (1967)
Mon, 1651° / 40°0.14
51 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low23° (1967)
Tue, 1750° / 39°0.13
50 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (2024)
Record low24° (2019)
Wed, 1850° / 39°0.08
50 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (1963)
Record low26° (2020)
Thu, 1950° / 39°0.06
50 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low23° (2020)
Fri, 2049° / 38°0.14
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2149° / 38°0.11
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low20° (1987)
Sun, 2247° / 38°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 2347° / 36°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (1992)
Record low15° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.