Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 57.8°, average low 45.8°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (68.3°), the coolest 1 November (34.1°).
57.8°/45.8°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
62°
55.9°
+3.4°
10 November – 19 November
50.9°
51.2°
-0.1°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
48.5°
—
October records over 66 years
87.4°2 October 2019All-time high
28.6°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
Sun, 0162° / 34°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.5 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 0266° / 41°0
66 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 0368° / 47°0
68 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 0467° / 48°0
67 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 0565° / 54°0.21
65 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 0668° / 57°0
68 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 0755° / 51°0.03
55 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 51°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0860° / 52°0
60 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 52°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0952° / 49°0
52 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1055° / 41°0
55 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1154° / 44°0
54 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1252° / 46°0
52 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 1350° / 43°0
50 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 1447° / 42°0.05
47 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.8 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1549° / 44°0.06
49 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1651° / 40°0.14
51 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low23° (1967)
Tue, 1750° / 39°0.13
50 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (2024)
Record low24° (2019)
Wed, 1850° / 39°0.08
50 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (1963)
Record low26° (2020)
Thu, 1950° / 39°0.06
50 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low23° (2020)
Fri, 2049° / 38°0.14
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2149° / 38°0.11
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low20° (1987)
Sun, 2247° / 38°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 2347° / 36°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (1992)
Record low15° (2018)
Tue, 2448° / 37°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low19° (1989)
Wed, 2548° / 37°0.14
48 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low23° (2013)
Thu, 2649° / 38°0.22
49 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low25° (1993)
Fri, 2749° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (1986)
Record low24° (1978)
Sat, 2849° / 38°0.16
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 2948° / 37°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low26° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.