Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 57.8°, average low 42.7°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (73.8°), the coolest 15 November (32.5°).
57.8°/42.7°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
62.2°
54.5°
+4.3°
13 November – 22 November
50.3°
49.9°
+0.2°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
47.7°
—
November records over 66 years
79°1 November 2024All-time high
14.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
Wed, 0474° / 52°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 74°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0572° / 58°0.15
72 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 72°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 0669° / 62°0.22
69 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 69°, low 62°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.2 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Sat, 0765° / 48°0.11
65 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind5.5 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 0857° / 46°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0952° / 38°0
52 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1061° / 46°0
61 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1156° / 41°0
56 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1246° / 34°0
46 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.1 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Fri, 1349° / 35°0
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.8 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1451° / 34°0
51 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 1542° / 33°0
42 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 1649° / 36°0
49 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.3 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1753° / 33°0
53 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1857° / 40°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1950° / 39°0.06
50 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low23° (2020)
Fri, 2049° / 38°0.14
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2149° / 38°0.11
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low20° (1987)
Sun, 2247° / 38°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 2347° / 36°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (1992)
Record low15° (2018)
Tue, 2448° / 37°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low19° (1989)
Wed, 2548° / 37°0.14
48 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low23° (2013)
Thu, 2649° / 38°0.22
49 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low25° (1993)
Fri, 2749° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (1986)
Record low24° (1978)
Sat, 2849° / 38°0.16
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 2948° / 37°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low26° (2014)
Mon, 3046° / 36°0.14
46 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low24° (2021)
Tue, 0146° / 36°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low21° (1967)
Wed, 0246° / 35°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (1982)
Record low18° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.