Weather in Mount Carmel, CT
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October, 13:46
Clear. Feels like 52°. High 55°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 60.1°, average low 44.6°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (72°), the coolest 18 October (33.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 57.6° | 59.7° | -1.1° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 64.3° | 56.8° | +4.1° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 52.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 48°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 56°, low 43°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 51°, low 40°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 54°, low 35°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
0
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 46°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
0.39
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 62°, low 50°.
0.86Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Heavy rain. High 72°, low 60°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 57°.
0.05Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 55°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
0.11
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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