Weather in Mount Carmel, CT
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November, 17:49
Heavy rain. Feels like 61°. High 66°, low 60°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 54.1°, average low 41.6°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (65.6°), the coolest 15 November (30.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 November – 15 November | 53.2° | 52.7° | +0.3° |
| 16 November – 25 November | 55.5° | 49° | +3.6° |
| 26 November – 5 December | at normal | 46.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
0.03Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 49°.
0
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 47°.
0
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 55°, low 43°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 39°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 34°.
0.06
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 43°, low 33°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 44°, low 31°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 49°, low 35°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 45°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 51°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 51°, low 37°.
0.13
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Mount Carmel, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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