Weather in Mount Carmel, CT
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November, 06:56
Fog. Feels like 50°. High 73°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 55.5°, average low 42°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (73.1°), the coolest 15 November (31.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 November – 13 November | 60.4° | 53.8° | +3.7° |
| 14 November – 23 November | 47.2° | 49.5° | -1.3° |
| 24 November – 3 December | at normal | 47.5° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
0.11
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 60°.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 70°, low 61°.
0.26Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 68°, low 52°.
0.13Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 43°.
0.02Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 44°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
0
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 43°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 48°, low 33°.
0
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 34°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 47°, low 32°.
0.06Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 33°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 42°, low 32°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 46°, low 32°.
0
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 40°.
0.14Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Mount Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Mount Carmel, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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