Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, CT: average high 58.2°, average low 41.9°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (72.5°), the coolest 15 November (30.4°).
58.2°/41.9°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
61.7°
54.5°
+4°
13 November – 22 November
52.4°
49.9°
+1.4°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
47.7°
—
November records over 66 years
79°1 November 2024All-time high
14.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Haven (8 mi).
Wed, 0473° / 44°0
73 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 73°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Thu, 0569° / 55°0.03
69 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 0665° / 59°1.41
65 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind1.9 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point64°
Sat, 0765° / 53°0.09
65 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.2 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0857° / 41°0
57 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0956° / 36°0
56 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 1060° / 40°0
60 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 1156° / 39°0
56 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1246° / 32°0
46 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Fri, 1353° / 37°0
53 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 1445° / 32°0
45 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Sun, 1548° / 30°0
48 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 1648° / 43°0.3
48 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 1763° / 43°0
63 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1858° / 44°0
58 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1950° / 39°0.06
50 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low23° (2020)
Fri, 2049° / 38°0.14
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2149° / 38°0.11
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low20° (1987)
Sun, 2247° / 38°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low15° (2018)
Mon, 2347° / 36°0.13
47 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high64° (1992)
Record low15° (2018)
Tue, 2448° / 37°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low19° (1989)
Wed, 2548° / 37°0.14
48 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low23° (2013)
Thu, 2649° / 38°0.22
49 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low25° (1993)
Fri, 2749° / 38°0.13
49 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (1986)
Record low24° (1978)
Sat, 2849° / 38°0.16
49 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 2948° / 37°0.08
48 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low26° (2014)
Mon, 3046° / 36°0.14
46 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low24° (2021)
Tue, 0146° / 36°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low21° (1967)
Wed, 0246° / 35°0.13
46 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high59° (1982)
Record low18° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, CT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, CT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.