Monthly outlook for Lake Holiday, VA: average high 52.9°, average low 34.2°. That is 1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (67°), the coolest 25 November (19.9°).
52.9°/34.2°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
56.3°
51.7°
+2.6°
24 November – 3 December
47.1°
49.1°
-1.1°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
44.7°
—
November records over 66 years
80.1°6 November 2024All-time high
11.7°17 November 1995All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (12 mi).
Sun, 1546° / 41°0
46 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1652° / 38°0
52 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Tue, 1756° / 32°0
56 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 32°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind2.9 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Wed, 1862° / 32°0
62 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 32°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.3 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Thu, 1967° / 35°0
67 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 35°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2063° / 44°0
63 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2160° / 39°0
60 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2260° / 38°0
60 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2352° / 28°0
52 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 28°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind18.1 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2435° / 24°0
35 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 35°, low 24°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point7°
Wed, 2543° / 20°0
43 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 43°, low 20°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point2°
Thu, 2644° / 25°0
44 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 25°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point5°
Fri, 2755° / 30°0.04
55 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 30°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind19.5 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2859° / 46°0.76
59 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind22.4 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2947° / 38°0
47 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3047° / 34°0.11
47 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low17° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 33°0.19
47 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low14° (1967)
Wed, 0247° / 32°0.09
47 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (2018)
Record low5° (1967)
Thu, 0347° / 32°0.1
47 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low2° (1971)
Fri, 0447° / 32°0.09
47 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low10° (1971)
Sat, 0546° / 32°0.12
46 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low11° (1974)
Sun, 0646° / 31°0.09
46 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low9° (2002)
Mon, 0744° / 30°0.1
44 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low4° (2002)
Tue, 0844° / 31°0.06
44 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1980)
Record low13° (2003)
Wed, 0944° / 30°0.17
44 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low14° (1989)
Thu, 1045° / 31°0.15
45 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (1966)
Record low8° (1989)
Fri, 1144° / 31°0.15
44 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low5° (1962)
Sat, 1244° / 30°0.07
44 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low5° (1962)
Sun, 1344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low3° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Holiday, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Holiday, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.