Monthly outlook for Lake Holiday, VA: average high 55°, average low 36°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (65.3°), the coolest 26 November (27.8°).
55°/36°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
55.8°
51.7°
+2.3°
24 November – 3 December
53.6°
49.1°
+2.5°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
44.7°
—
November records over 66 years
80.1°6 November 2024All-time high
11.7°17 November 1995All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (12 mi).
Sun, 1546° / 39°0
46 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1652° / 37°0
52 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Tue, 1756° / 31°0
56 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Wed, 1861° / 32°0
61 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 61°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.8 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Thu, 1965° / 34°0
65 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 65°, low 34°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.4 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2063° / 42°0
63 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2160° / 42°0
60 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2265° / 40°0
65 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.8 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2346° / 34°0
46 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.1 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2445° / 30°0
45 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Wed, 2546° / 28°0
46 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Thu, 2648° / 28°0
48 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 28°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Fri, 2758° / 37°0
58 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 2862° / 41°0
62 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2961° / 44°0.26
61 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 29 November
Rain. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3047° / 34°0.11
47 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low17° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 33°0.19
47 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low14° (1967)
Wed, 0247° / 32°0.09
47 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (2018)
Record low5° (1967)
Thu, 0347° / 32°0.1
47 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low2° (1971)
Fri, 0447° / 32°0.09
47 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low10° (1971)
Sat, 0546° / 32°0.12
46 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low11° (1974)
Sun, 0646° / 31°0.09
46 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low9° (2002)
Mon, 0744° / 30°0.1
44 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low4° (2002)
Tue, 0844° / 31°0.06
44 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1980)
Record low13° (2003)
Wed, 0944° / 30°0.17
44 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low14° (1989)
Thu, 1045° / 31°0.15
45 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (1966)
Record low8° (1989)
Fri, 1144° / 31°0.15
44 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low5° (1962)
Sat, 1244° / 30°0.07
44 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low5° (1962)
Sun, 1344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low3° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Holiday, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Holiday, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.