Monthly outlook for Lake Holiday, VA: average high 50.8°, average low 37.2°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (66.2°), the coolest 24 November (30.3°).
50.8°/37.2°
Average high / low
−0.5°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
51.2°
52.6°
-0.8°
21 November – 30 November
50.2°
49.9°
+0.2°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
45.7°
—
November records over 66 years
80.1°6 November 2024All-time high
11.7°17 November 1995All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Winchester (12 mi).
Thu, 1262° / 40°0.02
62 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind5 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 1347° / 37°0
47 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Sat, 1443° / 33°0
43 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 1548° / 37°0
48 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1648° / 37°0
48 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1744° / 35°0.26
44 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.5 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1849° / 40°0.71
49 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1946° / 43°0
46 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2060° / 41°0.01
60 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2158° / 45°0.04
58 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2253° / 38°0.05
53 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.5 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2346° / 33°0
46 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 2444° / 30°0
44 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 2552° / 31°0
52 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 2648° / 35°0
48 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.2 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2751° / 36°0.11
51 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1976)
Record low23° (1977)
Sat, 2850° / 36°0.18
50 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low18° (2014)
Sun, 2948° / 34°0.12
48 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low17° (2014)
Mon, 3047° / 34°0.11
47 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low17° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 33°0.19
47 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low14° (1967)
Wed, 0247° / 32°0.09
47 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (2018)
Record low5° (1967)
Thu, 0347° / 32°0.1
47 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low2° (1971)
Fri, 0447° / 32°0.09
47 °
Lake Holiday, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low10° (1971)
Sat, 0546° / 32°0.12
46 °
Lake Holiday, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high73° (2001)
Record low11° (1974)
Sun, 0646° / 31°0.09
46 °
Lake Holiday, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low9° (2002)
Mon, 0744° / 30°0.1
44 °
Lake Holiday, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low4° (2002)
Tue, 0844° / 31°0.06
44 °
Lake Holiday, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (1980)
Record low13° (2003)
Wed, 0944° / 30°0.17
44 °
Lake Holiday, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low14° (1989)
Thu, 1045° / 31°0.15
45 °
Lake Holiday, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (1966)
Record low8° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Holiday, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Holiday, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.