Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 68.1°, average low 47.1°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (79.2°), the coolest 26 October (35.7°).
68.1°/47.1°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
4 / 2
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
68.3°
70.8°
-1.4°
25 October – 3 November
67.8°
65.9°
+1.1°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
63.4°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°14 October 2020All-time high
16.9°31 October 1991All-time low
Fri, 1664° / 44°0
64 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point23°
Sat, 1765° / 40°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point21°
Sun, 1871° / 39°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity28%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Mon, 1973° / 49°0
73 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 2076° / 55°0.02
76 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2169° / 58°0.07
69 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.7 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2264° / 60°0.68
64 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 64°, low 60°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2365° / 53°1.23
65 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 23 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind32.1 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2467° / 48°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2551° / 38°0.11
51 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Snow. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind20.9 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2665° / 36°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2773° / 44°0
73 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 73°, low 44°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind26.5 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2867° / 42°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 67°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Thu, 2971° / 50°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 3079° / 52°0
79 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 79°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3165° / 40°0.06
65 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low17° (1991)
Sun, 0164° / 40°0.02
64 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high82° (1994)
Record low7° (1991)
Mon, 0264° / 39°0.05
64 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high80° (2005)
Record low10° (1991)
Tue, 0363° / 39°0.04
63 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high80° (1988)
Record low12° (1991)
Wed, 0463° / 39°0.06
63 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low4° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 38°0.02
65 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low17° (1986)
Fri, 0666° / 40°0.01
66 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low25° (1993)
Sat, 0765° / 40°0.05
65 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (2012)
Record low27° (2000)
Sun, 0865° / 40°0.02
65 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high84° (2006)
Record low10° (2000)
Mon, 0963° / 40°0.01
63 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2006)
Record low11° (2000)
Tue, 1064° / 38°0.01
64 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high77° (2007)
Record low20° (2000)
Wed, 1162° / 37°0.02
62 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (1986)
Thu, 1261° / 36°0.03
61 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high81° (1973)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 1362° / 36°0.04
62 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (1967)
Record low15° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.