Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 61.3°, average low 45.3°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 November (69.8°), the coolest 7 November (38.6°).
61.3°/45.3°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
1 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
63.9°
63.6°
+0.2°
13 November – 22 November
57°
60.2°
-1.7°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
54.8°
—
November records over 66 years
83.8°8 November 2006All-time high
-2.4°29 November 1976All-time low
Wed, 0465° / 43°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.1 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Thu, 0562° / 43°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Fri, 0661° / 40°0
61 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sat, 0762° / 39°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0866° / 39°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0970° / 53°0
70 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 53°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 1066° / 54°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1165° / 52°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1261° / 47°0
61 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.1 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1351° / 46°0.08
51 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1453° / 46°0
53 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 1557° / 47°0
57 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind25.7 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 1660° / 45°0
60 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind25.7 mph W
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Tue, 1762° / 41°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.4 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Wed, 1860° / 43°0
60 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.1 mph E
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1960° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low21° (1962)
Fri, 2060° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high76° (1996)
Record low8° (1962)
Sat, 2159° / 34°0.02
59 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low22° (1962)
Sun, 2259° / 34°0.01
59 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low7° (1972)
Mon, 2357° / 33°0.05
57 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 2457° / 33°0.04
57 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high79° (2017)
Record low8° (1986)
Wed, 2557° / 32°0.02
57 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high76° (1995)
Record low10° (1972)
Thu, 2656° / 31°0.01
56 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low2° (1980)
Fri, 2753° / 30°0.03
53 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high78° (2017)
Record low7° (1992)
Sat, 2853° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2014)
Record low4° (1976)
Sun, 2954° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1966)
Record low-2° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low3° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low10° (1996)
Wed, 0254° / 30°0.03
54 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high72° (1995)
Record low12° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.