Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 66.4°, average low 51.6°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (80.2°), the coolest 5 November (44.2°).
66.4°/51.6°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
5 / 2
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
67.7°
68.2°
-0.3°
31 October – 9 November
64.2°
64.1°
+0°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
61°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°14 October 2020All-time high
16.9°31 October 1991All-time low
Thu, 2279° / 58°0
79 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 2373° / 56°0.29
73 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 23 October
Heavy rain. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 2464° / 56°1.05
64 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 64°, low 56°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity74%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 2569° / 54°0.32
69 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 2665° / 48°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.1 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2768° / 47°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind18.7 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2869° / 54°0
69 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.3 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2954° / 49°0.01
54 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.1 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 3056° / 51°0.19
56 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 3168° / 52°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind23.7 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0168° / 51°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0270° / 54°0.43
70 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind21.4 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 0362° / 50°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind29.8 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 0462° / 47°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind22.9 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 0555° / 44°0
55 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0666° / 40°0.01
66 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low25° (1993)
Sat, 0765° / 40°0.05
65 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (2012)
Record low27° (2000)
Sun, 0865° / 40°0.02
65 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high84° (2006)
Record low10° (2000)
Mon, 0963° / 40°0.01
63 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2006)
Record low11° (2000)
Tue, 1064° / 38°0.01
64 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high77° (2007)
Record low20° (2000)
Wed, 1162° / 37°0.02
62 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (1986)
Thu, 1261° / 36°0.03
61 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high81° (1973)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 1362° / 36°0.04
62 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (1967)
Record low15° (2014)
Sat, 1461° / 37°0.02
61 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low20° (2000)
Sun, 1560° / 35°0.04
60 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low21° (1997)
Mon, 1661° / 35°0.06
61 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high79° (1967)
Record low19° (1997)
Tue, 1760° / 36°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low17° (2014)
Wed, 1860° / 37°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low17° (2014)
Thu, 1960° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low21° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.