Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 67.9°, average low 51°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (75.3°), the coolest 10 November (47.1°).
67.9°/51°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
5 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
68°
64.9°
+1.7°
7 November – 16 November
67.6°
62.3°
+2.9°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
58.4°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°14 October 2020All-time high
16.9°31 October 1991All-time low
Thu, 2975° / 52°0
75 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 3066° / 52°0.18
66 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 66°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 3171° / 51°0.04
71 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 0169° / 56°0.46
69 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 69°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Mon, 0270° / 54°0.11
70 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14.4 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 0362° / 51°0.07
62 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 51°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind23.5 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 0463° / 47°0
63 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 0564° / 48°0
64 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.4 mph E
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 0664° / 48°0
64 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.3 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 0767° / 52°0.01
67 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 0866° / 54°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0965° / 50°0.01
65 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind19.9 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1071° / 47°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 1170° / 50°0
70 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1268° / 51°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1362° / 36°0.04
62 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (1967)
Record low15° (2014)
Sat, 1461° / 37°0.02
61 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low20° (2000)
Sun, 1560° / 35°0.04
60 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low21° (1997)
Mon, 1661° / 35°0.06
61 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high79° (1967)
Record low19° (1997)
Tue, 1760° / 36°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low17° (2014)
Wed, 1860° / 37°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low17° (2014)
Thu, 1960° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low21° (1962)
Fri, 2060° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high76° (1996)
Record low8° (1962)
Sat, 2159° / 34°0.02
59 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low22° (1962)
Sun, 2259° / 34°0.01
59 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low7° (1972)
Mon, 2357° / 33°0.05
57 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 2457° / 33°0.04
57 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high79° (2017)
Record low8° (1986)
Wed, 2557° / 32°0.02
57 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high76° (1995)
Record low10° (1972)
Thu, 2656° / 31°0.01
56 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low2° (1980)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.