Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 69.8°, average low 51.2°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 7 November (83°), the coolest 9 November (43.5°).
69.8°/51.2°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
1 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
70.3°
65.3°
+2.8°
5 November – 14 November
69.1°
63.2°
+3.3°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
59.3°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°14 October 2020All-time high
16.9°31 October 1991All-time low
Tue, 2772° / 52°0
72 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2874° / 51°0
74 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.2 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2974° / 45°0
74 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 3071° / 55°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 3171° / 53°0.02
71 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0172° / 54°0
72 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.1 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0270° / 57°0
70 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind23.4 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 0361° / 52°0
61 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.8 mph E
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 0470° / 51°0
70 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 0571° / 53°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.9 mph E
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 0676° / 55°0
76 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 0783° / 56°0
83 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 83°, low 56°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind23.8 mph SW
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 0860° / 47°0
60 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind34.2 mph W
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 0959° / 44°0.02
59 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 1064° / 45°0
64 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1162° / 37°0.02
62 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (1986)
Thu, 1261° / 36°0.03
61 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high81° (1973)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 1362° / 36°0.04
62 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (1967)
Record low15° (2014)
Sat, 1461° / 37°0.02
61 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low20° (2000)
Sun, 1560° / 35°0.04
60 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low21° (1997)
Mon, 1661° / 35°0.06
61 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high79° (1967)
Record low19° (1997)
Tue, 1760° / 36°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low17° (2014)
Wed, 1860° / 37°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low17° (2014)
Thu, 1960° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low21° (1962)
Fri, 2060° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high76° (1996)
Record low8° (1962)
Sat, 2159° / 34°0.02
59 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low22° (1962)
Sun, 2259° / 34°0.01
59 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low7° (1972)
Mon, 2357° / 33°0.05
57 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 2457° / 33°0.04
57 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high79° (2017)
Record low8° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.