Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 69.3°, average low 48.5°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (77.4°), the coolest 18 October (39.5°).
69.3°/48.5°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
3 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
70.4°
70.5°
-0.1°
26 October – 4 November
67.4°
65.3°
+1.2°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
63.2°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°14 October 2020All-time high
16.9°31 October 1991All-time low
Sat, 1768° / 41°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SW
Humidity30%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point19°
Sun, 1871° / 39°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 71°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Mon, 1977° / 49°0.01
77 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2076° / 54°0.03
76 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2174° / 55°0.09
74 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2277° / 60°0
77 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.8 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 2368° / 62°0.53
68 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 62°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 2471° / 52°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 71°, low 52°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 2560° / 45°0.13
60 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2660° / 42°0
60 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2773° / 45°0
73 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 73°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.6 mph S
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2875° / 52°0
75 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind24.5 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2970° / 49°0
70 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 49°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind29 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 3060° / 43°0
60 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind23.1 mph N
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 3167° / 45°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0164° / 40°0.02
64 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high82° (1994)
Record low7° (1991)
Mon, 0264° / 39°0.05
64 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high80° (2005)
Record low10° (1991)
Tue, 0363° / 39°0.04
63 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high80° (1988)
Record low12° (1991)
Wed, 0463° / 39°0.06
63 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low4° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 38°0.02
65 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low17° (1986)
Fri, 0666° / 40°0.01
66 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low25° (1993)
Sat, 0765° / 40°0.05
65 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (2012)
Record low27° (2000)
Sun, 0865° / 40°0.02
65 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high84° (2006)
Record low10° (2000)
Mon, 0963° / 40°0.01
63 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2006)
Record low11° (2000)
Tue, 1064° / 38°0.01
64 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high77° (2007)
Record low20° (2000)
Wed, 1162° / 37°0.02
62 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low23° (1986)
Thu, 1261° / 36°0.03
61 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high81° (1973)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 1362° / 36°0.04
62 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (1967)
Record low15° (2014)
Sat, 1461° / 37°0.02
61 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low20° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.