Weather in Conchas Dam, NM
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November, 02:22
Overcast. Feels like 40°. High 54°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 56.2°, average low 42.4°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (67.4°), the coolest 19 November (35.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 58.7° | 59.3° | -0.3° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 52.1° | 54.2° | -1.2° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 51.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
0
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
0Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
0.25
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Rain. High 67°, low 48°.
0
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 42°.
0Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 42°.
0.01Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
0.04Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 48°.
0Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 67°, low 43°.
0Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 46°.
1.87Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Rain. High 48°, low 42°.
0.93
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Snow. High 40°, low 37°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Clear. High 52°, low 38°.
0.02
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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