Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 65.9°, average low 47°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (74°), the coolest 8 November (39.9°).
65.9°/47°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
1 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
64.7°
64°
+0.4°
11 November – 20 November
68.1°
60.7°
+4.1°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
55.7°
—
November records over 66 years
83.8°8 November 2006All-time high
-2.4°29 November 1976All-time low
Mon, 0263° / 48°0
63 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind25.3 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 0362° / 42°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 0466° / 43°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 66°, low 43°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.2 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Thu, 0562° / 43°0
62 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Fri, 0664° / 42°0
64 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 0757° / 40°0.02
57 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.5 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0859° / 40°0
59 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.2 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 0970° / 44°0
70 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 70°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Tue, 1074° / 50°0
74 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 1169° / 50°0
69 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 1267° / 47°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 1369° / 49°0
69 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.4 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1467° / 50°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 1567° / 53°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 1669° / 54°0
69 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind23.1 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1760° / 36°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low17° (2014)
Wed, 1860° / 37°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low17° (2014)
Thu, 1960° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low21° (1962)
Fri, 2060° / 35°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high76° (1996)
Record low8° (1962)
Sat, 2159° / 34°0.02
59 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low22° (1962)
Sun, 2259° / 34°0.01
59 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high74° (2006)
Record low7° (1972)
Mon, 2357° / 33°0.05
57 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 2457° / 33°0.04
57 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high79° (2017)
Record low8° (1986)
Wed, 2557° / 32°0.02
57 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high76° (1995)
Record low10° (1972)
Thu, 2656° / 31°0.01
56 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low2° (1980)
Fri, 2753° / 30°0.03
53 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high78° (2017)
Record low7° (1992)
Sat, 2853° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2014)
Record low4° (1976)
Sun, 2954° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1966)
Record low-2° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low3° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.