Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 60.3°, average low 42.8°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 November (71.6°), the coolest 22 November (34.5°).
60.3°/42.8°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
4 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
65.4°
62.3°
+1.7°
17 November – 26 November
51.8°
58.4°
-3.7°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
53.5°
—
November records over 66 years
83.8°8 November 2006All-time high
-2.4°29 November 1976All-time low
Sun, 0863° / 39°0
63 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.9 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 0966° / 38°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 66°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Tue, 1065° / 43°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind2 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 1167° / 41°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 67°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7 mph E
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1266° / 42°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1365° / 47°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1472° / 48°0
72 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1560° / 49°0
60 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.7 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 1667° / 45°0
67 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1763° / 48°0
63 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1859° / 43°0
59 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1955° / 50°0.35
55 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Rain. High 55°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2053° / 40°0.48
53 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Rain. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind21.2 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2142° / 38°0.13
42 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 2238° / 35°0.37
38 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 38°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2357° / 33°0.05
57 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 2457° / 33°0.04
57 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high79° (2017)
Record low8° (1986)
Wed, 2557° / 32°0.02
57 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high76° (1995)
Record low10° (1972)
Thu, 2656° / 31°0.01
56 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low2° (1980)
Fri, 2753° / 30°0.03
53 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high78° (2017)
Record low7° (1992)
Sat, 2853° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2014)
Record low4° (1976)
Sun, 2954° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1966)
Record low-2° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low3° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low10° (1996)
Wed, 0254° / 30°0.03
54 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high72° (1995)
Record low12° (1976)
Thu, 0354° / 31°0.04
54 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (1977)
Record low6° (1996)
Fri, 0455° / 29°0.03
55 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high71° (1965)
Record low4° (1971)
Sat, 0554° / 31°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high72° (2021)
Record low7° (1971)
Sun, 0652° / 29°0.02
52 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high69° (1995)
Record low-12° (2011)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.