Weather in Conchas Dam, NM
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 18 October, 00:02
Partly cloudy. Feels like 40°. High 75°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 66.8°, average low 49.4°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 4.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (77.8°), the coolest 25 October (37.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 66.3° | 69.6° | -1.8° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 67.5° | 64.9° | +1.5° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 62.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
0
Conchas Dam, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 76°, low 46°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 76°, low 51°.
0.02
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 55°.
0
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 58°.
0.33Conchas Dam, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 71°, low 57°.
0.27Conchas Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 63°, low 51°.
2.8
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Snow. High 46°, low 38°.
0.44Conchas Dam, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 46°, low 41°.
0.16Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 57°, low 47°.
0.01Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
0Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 66°, low 50°.
0Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 68°, low 50°.
0Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 66°, low 52°.
0Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 66°, low 48°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 69°, low 54°.
0.04
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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