Weather in Conchas Dam, NM
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November, 15:05
Partly cloudy. Feels like 55°. High 56°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 57.9°, average low 41.6°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (68.4°), the coolest 30 November (34°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 59.7° | 59.3° | +0.3° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 54.9° | 54.2° | +0.4° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 51.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
0
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 44°.
0
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
0Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 63°, low 35°.
0.03
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 49°.
0
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 38°.
0Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 43°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 45°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 44°.
0Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 41°.
0Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 39°.
0Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 34°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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