Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 61.7°, average low 41.7°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (70.6°), the coolest 21 November (34.7°).
61.7°/41.7°
Average high / low
+0.8°
Above normal
1 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 November – 18 November
65.7°
61.3°
+2.4°
19 November – 28 November
55.2°
57°
-1°
29 November – 8 December
at normal
53.4°
—
November records over 66 years
83.8°8 November 2006All-time high
-2.4°29 November 1976All-time low
Tue, 1071° / 40°0
71 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 71°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind2.9 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 1165° / 42°0
65 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Thu, 1266° / 39°0
66 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 66°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind2.7 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 1368° / 40°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind2.8 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sat, 1461° / 46°0.02
61 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 1568° / 48°0
68 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.6 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1664° / 47°0
64 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1766° / 49°0.01
66 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind21 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1859° / 45°0.04
59 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind29.1 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1959° / 38°0
59 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.8 mph S
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Fri, 2055° / 38°0
55 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind25.5 mph N
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Sat, 2157° / 35°0
57 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Sun, 2249° / 39°0.26
49 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2354° / 42°0.01
54 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2458° / 39°0
58 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2557° / 32°0.02
57 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high76° (1995)
Record low10° (1972)
Thu, 2656° / 31°0.01
56 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high75° (1995)
Record low2° (1980)
Fri, 2753° / 30°0.03
53 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high78° (2017)
Record low7° (1992)
Sat, 2853° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2014)
Record low4° (1976)
Sun, 2954° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1966)
Record low-2° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low3° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low10° (1996)
Wed, 0254° / 30°0.03
54 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high72° (1995)
Record low12° (1976)
Thu, 0354° / 31°0.04
54 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (1977)
Record low6° (1996)
Fri, 0455° / 29°0.03
55 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high71° (1965)
Record low4° (1971)
Sat, 0554° / 31°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high72° (2021)
Record low7° (1971)
Sun, 0652° / 29°0.02
52 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high69° (1995)
Record low-12° (2011)
Mon, 0753° / 28°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (1987)
Record low-4° (2011)
Tue, 0852° / 29°0.03
52 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high70° (1970)
Record low3° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.