Weather in Conchas Dam, NM
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November, 17:35
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 70°, low 42°.
Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 56.4°, average low 40.1°. That is 1.4° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 November (70°), the coolest 26 November (24.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 61.2° | 60.3° | +0.5° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 48.2° | 55.2° | -3.9° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 52.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
0
Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 41°.
0.3
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 59°, low 47°.
0Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 39°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 44°.
0
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 47°.
0
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 47°.
0.18Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 47°.
0.26Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 63°, low 51°.
0.24Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 37°.
0
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 54°, low 35°.
0.05
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 43°, low 28°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 45°, low 25°.
0Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 32°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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