Weather in Conchas Dam, NM
Conchas Dam, Friday, 16 October, 12:42
Clear. Feels like 56°. High 60°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 69.4°, average low 51.1°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (78.6°), the coolest 18 October (39.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 72.6° | 70.5° | +1.2° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 64.1° | 65.3° | -0.7° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 63.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
0Conchas Dam, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 69°, low 41°.
0
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 39°.
0
Conchas Dam, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 49°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 77°, low 53°.
0Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 54°.
0.1
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 61°.
0.61Conchas Dam, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 79°, low 61°.
0.27Conchas Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 59°.
0.15Conchas Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
0.05Conchas Dam, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
0.78Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 59°, low 52°.
0.01Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 53°.
0Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 71°, low 51°.
0.17Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 52°.
0Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 58°, low 46°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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