Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 55.2°, average low 38°. That is 1.8° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 November (66.6°), the coolest 24 November (28°).
55.2°/38°
Average high / low
−1.8°
Below normal
2 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
57.8°
60.2°
-1.4°
23 November – 2 December
50.8°
54.8°
-2.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
52.4°
—
November records over 66 years
83.8°8 November 2006All-time high
-2.4°29 November 1976All-time low
Sat, 1458° / 43°0.33
58 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 1551° / 40°0
51 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 1657° / 40°0
57 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 1753° / 43°0
53 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 1860° / 43°0.02
60 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind20.2 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1959° / 40°0
59 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 2066° / 46°0.11
66 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind29.4 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 2157° / 39°0
57 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind28.4 mph W
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Sun, 2251° / 37°0
51 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.2 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 2347° / 32°0
47 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.6 mph E
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2443° / 28°0
43 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 28°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Wed, 2549° / 33°0
49 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2652° / 34°0
52 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2757° / 32°0
57 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 57°, low 32°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 2858° / 37°0
58 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2954° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1966)
Record low-2° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 29°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low3° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 30°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low10° (1996)
Wed, 0254° / 30°0.03
54 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high72° (1995)
Record low12° (1976)
Thu, 0354° / 31°0.04
54 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (1977)
Record low6° (1996)
Fri, 0455° / 29°0.03
55 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high71° (1965)
Record low4° (1971)
Sat, 0554° / 31°0.02
54 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high72° (2021)
Record low7° (1971)
Sun, 0652° / 29°0.02
52 °
Conchas Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high69° (1995)
Record low-12° (2011)
Mon, 0753° / 28°0.02
53 °
Conchas Dam, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (1987)
Record low-4° (2011)
Tue, 0852° / 29°0.03
52 °
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high70° (1970)
Record low3° (1978)
Wed, 0951° / 27°0.02
51 °
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low-22° (1978)
Thu, 1051° / 27°0.02
51 °
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low-1° (1978)
Fri, 1152° / 27°0.03
52 °
Conchas Dam, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high77° (2025)
Record low-5° (1978)
Sat, 1252° / 28°0.01
52 °
Conchas Dam, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high70° (1995)
Record low4° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.