Weather in Conchas Dam, NM
Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 20 October, 00:01
Overcast. Feels like 57°. High 79°, low 53°.
Monthly outlook for Conchas Dam, NM: average high 67.5°, average low 52.4°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (78.6°), the coolest 28 October (41.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 October – 29 October | 66.8° | 68.8° | -1.1° |
| 30 October – 8 November | 68.6° | 64.5° | +2.3° |
| 9 November – 18 November | at normal | 61.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
0
Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 78°, low 54°.
0Conchas Dam, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 57°.
0
Conchas Dam, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 58°.
0.73Conchas Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 64°, low 59°.
2.52Conchas Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 56°.
0.17Conchas Dam, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 55°.
0.03Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 43°.
0Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 41°.
0
Conchas Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
0Conchas Dam, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 50°.
0.03Conchas Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 54°.
0Conchas Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 54°.
0Conchas Dam, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 69°, low 52°.
0Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 52°.
0Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 56°.
0.02Conchas Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Conchas Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Conchas Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Conchas Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Conchas Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Conchas Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Conchas Dam, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Conchas Dam, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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