Monthly outlook for Mud Lake, AR: average high 71.5°, average low 53.9°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (78.3°), the coolest 6 November (44.2°).
71.5°/53.9°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
73.9°
67.9°
+3.3°
4 November – 13 November
67.5°
63.1°
+2.5°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
60°
—
October records over 66 years
93.9°2 October 2019All-time high
31.3°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Widener (12 mi).
Mon, 2677° / 50°0
77 °
Mud Lake, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 50°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Tue, 2778° / 47°0
78 °
Mud Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 2877° / 55°0
77 °
Mud Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.8 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 2978° / 56°0
78 °
Mud Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 78°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3.4 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Fri, 3077° / 55°0.02
77 °
Mud Lake, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.2 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 3175° / 62°0.08
75 °
Mud Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 62°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.6 mph E
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 0162° / 61°2.77
62 °
Mud Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 61°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Mon, 0267° / 60°0
67 °
Mud Lake, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 0370° / 56°0
70 °
Mud Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 70°, low 56°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 0470° / 61°0
70 °
Mud Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 61°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 0560° / 50°0
60 °
Mud Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0663° / 44°0
63 °
Mud Lake, Friday, 6 November
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 0771° / 51°0
71 °
Mud Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.1 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0876° / 60°0
76 °
Mud Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 60°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 0964° / 48°0
64 °
Mud Lake, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1063° / 48°0.08
63 °
Mud Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2002)
Record low28° (1991)
Wed, 1162° / 47°0.11
62 °
Mud Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1989)
Record low28° (2025)
Thu, 1260° / 45°0.09
60 °
Mud Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (1985)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 1360° / 44°0.06
60 °
Mud Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high76° (1978)
Record low18° (2019)
Sat, 1461° / 46°0.13
61 °
Mud Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low25° (1986)
Sun, 1561° / 46°0.13
61 °
Mud Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high77° (2025)
Record low25° (2018)
Mon, 1660° / 45°0.19
60 °
Mud Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low30° (2019)
Tue, 1761° / 46°0.13
61 °
Mud Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low28° (2022)
Wed, 1861° / 46°0.22
61 °
Mud Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2025)
Record low25° (2014)
Thu, 1961° / 47°0.13
61 °
Mud Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low28° (2022)
Fri, 2060° / 46°0.16
60 °
Mud Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1973)
Record low27° (2022)
Sat, 2159° / 45°0.11
59 °
Mud Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low27° (2022)
Sun, 2258° / 44°0.13
58 °
Mud Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low25° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 44°0.19
58 °
Mud Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low27° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mud Lake, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mud Lake, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.