Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October, 11:08
Clear. Feels like 67°. High 71°, low 59°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 66.9°, average low 52.5°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (76.9°), the coolest 12 November (38.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 October – 8 November | 70.3° | 65.4° | +2.7° |
| 9 November – 18 November | 61.2° | 61.6° | -0.2° |
| 19 November – 28 November | at normal | 58.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 55°.
0.04
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 56°.
0.04Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 63°.
0.4Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 68°, low 61°.
0.01Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 56°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 52°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 52°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 53°.
0.06Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
0.2Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 52°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 40°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 64°, low 39°.
0.01Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 51°.
0Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 49°.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.28Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Pencil Bluff, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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