Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 17 October, 10:30
Clear. Feels like 51°. High 62°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 74.8°, average low 55.7°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (82.9°), the coolest 18 October (44.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 75.8° | 70.5° | +2.9° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 73.1° | 66.5° | +3.7° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 62.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 72°, low 47°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 73°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 77°, low 51°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 80°, low 54°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 83°, low 58°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 58°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 63°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 56°.
0.37
Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 67°, low 64°.
0.27Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 66°.
0.02Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 66°.
0.23Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 74°, low 58°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 53°.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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