Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 15 October, 04:34
Clear. Feels like 74°. High 89°, low 72°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 72.2°, average low 51°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (88.7°), the coolest 26 October (42.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 74.2° | 71.4° | +1.6° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 68.9° | 67.3° | +0.9° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 63.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0.12
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 51°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 67°, low 43°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 72°, low 47°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 75°, low 50°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 80°, low 55°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 80°, low 55°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 57°.
0.76Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 66°, low 65°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 44°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 43°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 47°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 69°, low 52°.
0.28
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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