Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November, 05:41
Clear. Feels like 28°. High 54°, low 28°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 58.9°, average low 42.1°. That is 0° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (73.3°), the coolest 14 November (28.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 November – 23 November | 62.5° | 60.2° | +1.3° |
| 24 November – 3 December | 52.7° | 56.3° | -2° |
| 4 December – 13 December | at normal | 53.2° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0.24
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 51°, low 36°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 40°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 49°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 55°.
0.06Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 49°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 43°.
1.13
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 40°, low 35°.
0.07Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
0.21Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 29 November
Rain. High 47°, low 42°.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Pencil Bluff, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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