Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 23 October, 16:10
Clear. Feels like 79°. High 80°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 73.3°, average low 52.8°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (80.8°), the coolest 5 November (43°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 74.7° | 68.3° | +3.6° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 70.8° | 64.1° | +3.7° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 60.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 45°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 45°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 74°, low 53°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 53°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 81°, low 54°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 57°.
0.05
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 58°.
0.77Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 64°, low 59°.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 63°.
1.93Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 73°, low 63°.
0.76Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 75°, low 58°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 69°, low 43°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 46°.
0.07Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 75°, low 52°.
0.07Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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