Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 27 October, 05:38
Clear. Feels like 50°. High 78°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 67.9°, average low 53.1°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (81°), the coolest 6 November (43.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 68.9° | 66.5° | +1.3° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 66.1° | 62.6° | +1.9° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 59.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0
Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 80°, low 47°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 57°.
0.01Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 59°.
0.56Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 66°, low 59°.
0.03Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 75°, low 60°.
1.01Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 58°.
1.34Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 56°.
0.32Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 62°, low 53°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 52°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
0Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 46°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
0.06Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 55°.
0.08
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.28Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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