Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November, 03:08
Fog. Feels like 65°. High 72°, low 59°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 71.4°, average low 52.1°. That is 4.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (77.4°), the coolest 14 November (44.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 November – 10 November | 71.1° | 64.5° | +3.6° |
| 11 November – 20 November | 71.8° | 60.9° | +6.1° |
| 21 November – 30 November | at normal | 57.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0.03
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 59°.
0.67Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 57°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 71°, low 52°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 46°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 64°, low 49°.
0Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 72°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 47°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 76°, low 48°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 56°.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 58°.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 54°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 66°, low 48°.
0Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 69°, low 44°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 75°, low 52°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 75°, low 58°.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.28Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Pencil Bluff, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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