Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 24 October, 05:18
Clear. Feels like 44°. High 82°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 69.9°, average low 49.3°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (81.8°), the coolest 7 November (28.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 October – 2 November | 76.4° | 67.8° | +4.8° |
| 3 November – 12 November | 59.1° | 63.6° | -2.5° |
| 13 November – 22 November | at normal | 60.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 46°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 75°, low 54°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 54°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 78°, low 53°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 80°, low 56°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 59°.
0.1
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 62°.
0.48Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 73°, low 64°.
0.36Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 70°, low 62°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 46°.
0.11Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 42°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 37°.
0Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 28°.
0Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 37°.
0.12
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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