Weather in Pencil Bluff, AR
Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 22 October, 19:48
Clear. Feels like 63°. High 80°, low 47°.
Monthly outlook for Pencil Bluff, AR: average high 71°, average low 52°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (80.4°), the coolest 23 October (46.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 75.2° | 68.8° | +3.5° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 64.1° | 64.5° | -0.2° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 60.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (12 mi).
0
Pencil Bluff, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 47°.
0Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 47°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 53°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 53°.
0
Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 80°, low 52°.
0Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 57°.
0Pencil Bluff, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 59°.
1.05
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 60°, low 56°.
0.67Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 54°.
0Pencil Bluff, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 53°.
0Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
0Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
0.06Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
1.81Pencil Bluff, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 58°, low 54°.
0.09
Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Pencil Bluff, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Pencil Bluff, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Pencil Bluff, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Pencil Bluff, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Pencil Bluff, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Pencil Bluff, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Pencil Bluff, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Pencil Bluff, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Pencil Bluff, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Pencil Bluff, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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