Monthly outlook for Excelsior, AR: average high 85.2°, average low 60.3°. That is 6.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (94.5°), the coolest 19 October (43.4°).
85.2°/60.3°
Average high / low
+6.5°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
87.9°
74.5°
+7.4°
18 October – 27 October
80.6°
70.6°
+5.6°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
66.3°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°11 October 1963All-time high
27.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fort Smith (11 mi).
Fri, 0989° / 60°0
89 °
Excelsior, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 89°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Sat, 1085° / 59°0
85 °
Excelsior, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 85°, low 59°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind2.6 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Sun, 1186° / 62°0
86 °
Excelsior, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 62°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Mon, 1288° / 67°0
88 °
Excelsior, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 88°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Tue, 1387° / 72°0.02
87 °
Excelsior, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 72°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point72°
Wed, 1495° / 74°0
95 °
Excelsior, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 95°, low 74°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Thu, 1591° / 73°0
91 °
Excelsior, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 91°, low 73°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Fri, 1693° / 65°0
93 °
Excelsior, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 93°, low 65°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1774° / 56°0
74 °
Excelsior, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 56°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 1868° / 47°0
68 °
Excelsior, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.1 mph E
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1976° / 43°0
76 °
Excelsior, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 76°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2082° / 53°0
82 °
Excelsior, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 82°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2184° / 58°0.09
84 °
Excelsior, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2286° / 59°0
86 °
Excelsior, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 86°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.5 mph E
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 2387° / 60°0
87 °
Excelsior, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 87°, low 60°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.7 mph W
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2469° / 53°0.17
69 °
Excelsior, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high86° (2003)
Record low37° (1981)
Sun, 2569° / 52°0.13
69 °
Excelsior, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low37° (1982)
Mon, 2669° / 51°0.11
69 °
Excelsior, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2014)
Record low39° (1994)
Tue, 2768° / 51°0.16
68 °
Excelsior, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low38° (2012)
Wed, 2868° / 50°0.16
68 °
Excelsior, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low34° (2017)
Thu, 2968° / 50°0.13
68 °
Excelsior, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Fri, 3068° / 51°0.19
68 °
Excelsior, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low32° (1993)
Sat, 3168° / 51°0.26
68 °
Excelsior, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0167° / 50°0.18
67 °
Excelsior, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Mon, 0265° / 48°0.07
65 °
Excelsior, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2012)
Record low28° (1991)
Tue, 0365° / 48°0.15
65 °
Excelsior, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low23° (1991)
Wed, 0465° / 48°0.19
65 °
Excelsior, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low22° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 48°0.21
65 °
Excelsior, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high82° (2017)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0665° / 46°0.11
65 °
Excelsior, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low31° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Excelsior, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Excelsior, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.