Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, AR: average high 56.1°, average low 39.4°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (67.1°), the coolest 14 November (25.4°).
56.1°/39.4°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
57.3°
58.3°
-0.6°
22 November – 1 December
54.1°
54.1°
-0°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
50.8°
—
November records over 66 years
83.1°18 November 2025All-time high
14°12 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Joe (14 mi).
Fri, 1349° / 29°0
49 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sat, 1448° / 25°0
48 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1550° / 31°0.01
50 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 31°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Mon, 1654° / 40°0.01
54 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 1757° / 35°0
57 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1861° / 40°0
61 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1963° / 46°0
63 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2064° / 46°0
64 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2167° / 50°0
67 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 2261° / 55°0.06
61 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 2363° / 51°2.04
63 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind17.6 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 2459° / 43°0
59 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 2555° / 40°0
55 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2643° / 30°0
43 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2744° / 29°0
44 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2851° / 37°0.09
51 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low22° (1976)
Sun, 2953° / 38°0.11
53 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1970)
Record low17° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 37°0.13
53 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2018)
Record low21° (1964)
Tue, 0153° / 37°0.06
53 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (1970)
Record low21° (2020)
Wed, 0253° / 37°0.07
53 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (2021)
Record low15° (1985)
Thu, 0353° / 38°0.13
53 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2021)
Record low20° (1985)
Fri, 0451° / 37°0.09
51 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low25° (2006)
Sat, 0551° / 36°0.09
51 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low19° (2002)
Sun, 0650° / 36°0.11
50 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low10° (2002)
Mon, 0749° / 35°0.05
49 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high70° (1966)
Record low9° (2013)
Tue, 0849° / 35°0.11
49 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low19° (2017)
Wed, 0951° / 35°0.1
51 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low13° (1989)
Thu, 1050° / 34°0.07
50 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low14° (1995)
Fri, 1150° / 34°0.07
50 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (1996)
Record low16° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.