Weather in Bear Creek, AR
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November, 18:14
Clear. Feels like 38°. High 49°, low 24°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, AR: average high 57.5°, average low 41.3°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (64.2°), the coolest 14 November (24.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 November – 23 November | 56.9° | 57.9° | -0.5° |
| 24 November – 3 December | 58.5° | 53.6° | +2.7° |
| 4 December – 13 December | at normal | 50° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Joe (14 mi).
0
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 27°.
0
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 28°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 32°.
0
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 40°.
0.02
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 50°.
0Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 53°.
0.02Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 51°.
0
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 43°.
0Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 39°.
0.07Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 40°.
0.06Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
1.31Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 50°.
0Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 49°.
0.07Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 50°.
0.13Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bear Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bear Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Bear Creek, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bear Creek, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Creek, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17
Bear Creek, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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