Weather in Bear Creek, AR
Bear Creek, Friday, 16 October, 12:13
Partly cloudy. Feels like 51°. High 61°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, AR: average high 71.7°, average low 52.9°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (78.7°), the coolest 18 October (40.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 69.9° | 68.7° | +0.7° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 74.8° | 64.8° | +5.5° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 60.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Joe (14 mi).
0
Bear Creek, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 58°, low 41°.
0Bear Creek, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 63°, low 40°.
0Bear Creek, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 70°, low 45°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 72°, low 48°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 78°, low 53°.
0Bear Creek, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 79°, low 58°.
0
Bear Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 59°.
0Bear Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 55°.
0Bear Creek, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 55°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 55°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 60°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 61°.
0.16
Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 63°.
0.23Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 76°, low 65°.
0.17
Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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