Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, AR: average high 54.5°, average low 38.7°. That is 2.6° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (71.3°), the coolest 22 November (22°).
54.5°/38.7°
Average high / low
−2.6°
Below normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
58.1°
60°
-1°
17 November – 26 November
48.5°
56.8°
-4.6°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
52.3°
—
November records over 66 years
83.1°18 November 2025All-time high
14°12 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Joe (14 mi).
Sun, 0862° / 38°0
62 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.2 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 0968° / 43°0
68 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.4 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 1069° / 45°0
69 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind0.8 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 1171° / 53°0
71 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 1253° / 38°0
53 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1343° / 30°0
43 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 1445° / 26°0
45 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 45°, low 26°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Sun, 1554° / 31°0
54 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1657° / 40°0
57 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1746° / 45°0.14
46 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1849° / 45°0.17
49 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 1957° / 46°0.05
57 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 2054° / 47°0.37
54 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2153° / 31°0.05
53 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Light snow. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2231° / 22°0.01
31 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Light snow. High 31°, low 22°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind18.1 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2357° / 40°0.1
57 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low23° (1970)
Tue, 2455° / 40°0.18
55 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2010)
Record low18° (1970)
Wed, 2555° / 40°0.15
55 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1965)
Record low25° (1975)
Thu, 2655° / 40°0.18
55 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high75° (1965)
Record low24° (2018)
Fri, 2755° / 39°0.21
55 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (1989)
Record low18° (1975)
Sat, 2851° / 37°0.09
51 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low22° (1976)
Sun, 2953° / 38°0.11
53 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1970)
Record low17° (1976)
Mon, 3053° / 37°0.13
53 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2018)
Record low21° (1964)
Tue, 0153° / 37°0.06
53 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (1970)
Record low21° (2020)
Wed, 0253° / 37°0.07
53 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (2021)
Record low15° (1985)
Thu, 0353° / 38°0.13
53 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2021)
Record low20° (1985)
Fri, 0451° / 37°0.09
51 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low25° (2006)
Sat, 0551° / 36°0.09
51 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low19° (2002)
Sun, 0650° / 36°0.11
50 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low10° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.