Weather in Bear Creek, AR
Bear Creek, Thursday, 29 October, 06:52
Overcast. Feels like 50°. High 79°, low 52°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, AR: average high 66.3°, average low 51.6°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (78.6°), the coolest 5 November (42.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 October – 7 November | 67.4° | 63.6° | +2.1° |
| 8 November – 17 November | 64.6° | 59.6° | +2.8° |
| 18 November – 27 November | at normal | 56.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Joe (14 mi).
0Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 53°.
0.29
Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 68°, low 56°.
0.15Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 68°, low 58°.
0.01Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 60°.
2.05Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 60°.
0.05Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
0
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
0Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
0Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
0.83Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 52°.
0.01Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 50°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 72°, low 52°.
0Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 73°, low 54°.
0.09
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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