Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, AR: average high 71.6°, average low 54.4°. That is 4.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (78.6°), the coolest 4 November (45.7°).
71.6°/54.4°
Average high / low
+4.2°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
73.9°
65.2°
+4.9°
4 November – 13 November
67.7°
61°
+3.7°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
57.9°
—
October records over 66 years
91.9°11 October 1963All-time high
26.8°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — St. Joe (14 mi).
Mon, 2674° / 48°0
74 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 2773° / 54°0
73 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 2876° / 57°0.02
76 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 2979° / 61°0
79 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3071° / 61°0
71 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 3171° / 61°0.58
71 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0174° / 59°0.44
74 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 74°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Mon, 0278° / 63°0.21
78 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 78°, low 63°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Tue, 0368° / 52°0.1
68 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 0461° / 46°0
61 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.5 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0564° / 46°0
64 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 0669° / 48°0
69 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 0773° / 54°0
73 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0873° / 55°0
73 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 73°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 0967° / 55°0.01
67 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1061° / 44°0.08
61 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low21° (2018)
Wed, 1160° / 42°0.11
60 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1989)
Record low24° (2025)
Thu, 1258° / 41°0.06
58 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low14° (2019)
Fri, 1359° / 41°0.06
59 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low16° (1986)
Sat, 1459° / 43°0.09
59 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low21° (1986)
Sun, 1558° / 42°0.15
58 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low21° (2018)
Mon, 1658° / 42°0.14
58 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2016)
Record low26° (1970)
Tue, 1759° / 42°0.13
59 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low22° (2022)
Wed, 1858° / 42°0.11
58 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (2025)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1959° / 43°0.11
59 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low23° (2022)
Fri, 2058° / 43°0.1
58 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (1989)
Record low22° (2022)
Sat, 2157° / 42°0.07
57 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (2025)
Record low24° (1964)
Sun, 2256° / 41°0.1
56 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low19° (1964)
Mon, 2357° / 40°0.1
57 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low23° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.