Monthly outlook for Welsh, AR: average high 82.6°, average low 60.1°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (91.2°), the coolest 19 October (49.5°).
82.6°/60.1°
Average high / low
+5.1°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
88.1°
74.4°
+7.6°
17 October – 26 October
73.3°
70.5°
+1.5°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
66.5°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°8 October 1963All-time high
28.6°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Black Springs (15 mi).
Thu, 0888° / 53°0
88 °
Welsh, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 88°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 0988° / 57°0
88 °
Welsh, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 88°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.2 mph E
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sat, 1084° / 65°0
84 °
Welsh, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 84°, low 65°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sun, 1188° / 63°0
88 °
Welsh, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 88°, low 63°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.1 mph W
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1290° / 64°0
90 °
Welsh, Monday, 12 October
Mostly clear. High 90°, low 64°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 1390° / 66°0
90 °
Welsh, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 90°, low 66°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Wed, 1491° / 72°0
91 °
Welsh, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 91°, low 72°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 1588° / 73°0
88 °
Welsh, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 88°, low 73°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Fri, 1688° / 67°0.54
88 °
Welsh, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 88°, low 67°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sat, 1774° / 58°0.22
74 °
Welsh, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 74°, low 58°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 1871° / 53°0
71 °
Welsh, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 1976° / 49°0
76 °
Welsh, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 76°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2080° / 54°0
80 °
Welsh, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 54°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 2174° / 59°0.44
74 °
Welsh, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 74°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Thu, 2266° / 54°1.28
66 °
Welsh, Thursday, 22 October
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.3 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2370° / 54°0.13
70 °
Welsh, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high88° (2024)
Record low40° (1982)
Sat, 2469° / 54°0.09
69 °
Welsh, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high85° (2003)
Record low37° (1981)
Sun, 2569° / 53°0.13
69 °
Welsh, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low39° (1980)
Mon, 2669° / 53°0.09
69 °
Welsh, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low41° (1972)
Tue, 2768° / 52°0.13
68 °
Welsh, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low39° (1997)
Wed, 2867° / 51°0.16
67 °
Welsh, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low34° (2017)
Thu, 2968° / 51°0.2
68 °
Welsh, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low34° (2017)
Fri, 3068° / 52°0.22
68 °
Welsh, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low32° (1993)
Sat, 3168° / 52°0.28
68 °
Welsh, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.28 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0167° / 51°0.15
67 °
Welsh, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low29° (2023)
Mon, 0265° / 49°0.08
65 °
Welsh, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2012)
Record low29° (1991)
Tue, 0365° / 49°0.13
65 °
Welsh, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low25° (1991)
Wed, 0464° / 49°0.19
64 °
Welsh, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0564° / 49°0.13
64 °
Welsh, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (1978)
Record low28° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welsh, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welsh, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.