Monthly outlook for Figure Five, AR: average high 79.9°, average low 57.3°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (92.7°), the coolest 18 October (41.5°).
79.9°/57.3°
Average high / low
+3.4°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
86.2°
74.8°
+6.3°
17 October – 26 October
69.3°
71°
-0.9°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
66.6°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°11 October 1963All-time high
27.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fort Smith (12 mi).
Thu, 0889° / 57°0
89 °
Figure Five, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 89°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Fri, 0987° / 58°0
87 °
Figure Five, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 87°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Sat, 1083° / 65°0
83 °
Figure Five, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 83°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Sun, 1184° / 61°0
84 °
Figure Five, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Mon, 1287° / 65°0
87 °
Figure Five, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 87°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 1390° / 69°0
90 °
Figure Five, Tuesday, 13 October
Mostly clear. High 90°, low 69°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Wed, 1493° / 70°0
93 °
Figure Five, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 93°, low 70°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 1591° / 71°0
91 °
Figure Five, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 91°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 1671° / 58°0.8
71 °
Figure Five, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 71°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.8 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 1761° / 45°0
61 °
Figure Five, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.7 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1871° / 42°0
71 °
Figure Five, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 71°, low 42°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4 mph N
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1971° / 45°0
71 °
Figure Five, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 71°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2073° / 47°0
73 °
Figure Five, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind3 mph N
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2170° / 53°0
70 °
Figure Five, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 53°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2269° / 55°0
69 °
Figure Five, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2371° / 53°0.12
71 °
Figure Five, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high86° (2003)
Record low38° (1982)
Sat, 2469° / 53°0.17
69 °
Figure Five, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high86° (2003)
Record low37° (1981)
Sun, 2569° / 52°0.13
69 °
Figure Five, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low37° (1982)
Mon, 2669° / 51°0.11
69 °
Figure Five, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2014)
Record low39° (1994)
Tue, 2768° / 51°0.16
68 °
Figure Five, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low38° (2012)
Wed, 2868° / 50°0.16
68 °
Figure Five, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low34° (2017)
Thu, 2968° / 50°0.13
68 °
Figure Five, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Fri, 3068° / 51°0.19
68 °
Figure Five, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low32° (1993)
Sat, 3168° / 51°0.26
68 °
Figure Five, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0167° / 50°0.18
67 °
Figure Five, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Mon, 0265° / 48°0.07
65 °
Figure Five, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2012)
Record low28° (1991)
Tue, 0365° / 48°0.15
65 °
Figure Five, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low23° (1991)
Wed, 0465° / 48°0.19
65 °
Figure Five, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low22° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 48°0.21
65 °
Figure Five, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high82° (2017)
Record low27° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Figure Five, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Figure Five, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.