Monthly outlook for Mount Pilgrim, AR: average high 71.9°, average low 51.3°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (81.5°), the coolest 30 October (41.9°).
71.9°/51.3°
Average high / low
+2.2°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
74.8°
69.2°
+3.1°
31 October – 9 November
67.1°
65°
+1.1°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
60.8°
—
October records over 66 years
93°15 October 2015All-time high
29.3°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Conway (13 mi).
Thu, 2281° / 47°0
81 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 81°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2 mph NE
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Fri, 2379° / 47°0
79 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 79°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 2479° / 55°0
79 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 2576° / 56°0
76 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 56°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 2675° / 57°0
75 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 75°, low 57°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2778° / 56°0
78 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.2 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2868° / 55°0
68 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2963° / 46°0
63 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.4 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 3069° / 42°0
69 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 3175° / 49°0
75 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0166° / 55°0.41
66 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Mon, 0271° / 54°0.17
71 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 0362° / 46°0
62 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.3 mph E
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 0457° / 50°0.46
57 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0572° / 55°0.3
72 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0664° / 47°0.11
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low31° (1991)
Sat, 0764° / 47°0.1
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0864° / 47°0.04
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low26° (1991)
Mon, 0965° / 47°0.14
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2022)
Record low21° (1991)
Tue, 1063° / 47°0.09
63 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low27° (1991)
Wed, 1162° / 45°0.09
62 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1989)
Record low30° (1960)
Thu, 1260° / 43°0.07
60 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 1361° / 43°0.08
61 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (1978)
Record low20° (2019)
Sat, 1461° / 44°0.11
61 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low25° (1986)
Sun, 1560° / 44°0.19
60 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low24° (2018)
Mon, 1660° / 43°0.19
60 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low27° (1970)
Tue, 1761° / 44°0.16
61 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low26° (1997)
Wed, 1861° / 44°0.22
61 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2025)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1960° / 45°0.13
60 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low29° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Pilgrim, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Pilgrim, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.