Monthly outlook for Mount Pilgrim, AR: average high 74.8°, average low 56.4°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (90.2°), the coolest 27 October (46.4°).
74.8°/56.4°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
78.6°
71.8°
+3.8°
24 October – 2 November
68.4°
67.8°
+0.3°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
63.4°
—
October records over 66 years
93°15 October 2015All-time high
29.3°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Conway (13 mi).
Thu, 1590° / 71°0
90 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 90°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Fri, 1675° / 55°0
75 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 75°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 1764° / 50°0
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1865° / 47°0
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 1968° / 48°0
68 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2082° / 52°0
82 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 82°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 2183° / 60°0
83 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 83°, low 60°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 2288° / 63°0
88 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 88°, low 63°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 2387° / 65°0
87 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 87°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 2487° / 65°0.02
87 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 65°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 2565° / 56°0.03
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.5 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2666° / 49°0
66 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NE
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2765° / 46°0
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2856° / 50°0.1
56 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 2971° / 51°0
71 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3068° / 51°0.18
68 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low32° (1980)
Sat, 3168° / 52°0.25
68 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0167° / 50°0.2
67 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Mon, 0265° / 49°0.08
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low32° (1991)
Tue, 0364° / 48°0.1
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low26° (1966)
Wed, 0465° / 48°0.11
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2022)
Record low24° (1991)
Thu, 0564° / 48°0.12
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0664° / 47°0.11
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low31° (1991)
Sat, 0764° / 47°0.1
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0864° / 47°0.04
64 °
Mount Pilgrim, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low26° (1991)
Mon, 0965° / 47°0.14
65 °
Mount Pilgrim, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2022)
Record low21° (1991)
Tue, 1063° / 47°0.09
63 °
Mount Pilgrim, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low27° (1991)
Wed, 1162° / 45°0.09
62 °
Mount Pilgrim, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1989)
Record low30° (1960)
Thu, 1260° / 43°0.07
60 °
Mount Pilgrim, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low20° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Pilgrim, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Pilgrim, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.