Monthly outlook for Elm Store, AR: average high 71.8°, average low 53°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (87.8°), the coolest 18 October (42.6°).
71.8°/53°
Average high / low
+2.6°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
73.9°
68.4°
+3.1°
25 October – 3 November
68.3°
64.4°
+2.2°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
59.8°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°2 October 2019All-time high
26.6°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gatewood (8 mi).
Fri, 1670° / 52°0.08
70 °
Elm Store, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sat, 1761° / 47°0
61 °
Elm Store, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 1864° / 43°0
64 °
Elm Store, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 1968° / 45°0
68 °
Elm Store, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.1 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2072° / 47°0
72 °
Elm Store, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 72°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.4 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2178° / 57°0
78 °
Elm Store, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 78°, low 57°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2282° / 58°0
82 °
Elm Store, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 82°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 2382° / 68°0
82 °
Elm Store, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 68°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.2 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 2472° / 67°0.69
72 °
Elm Store, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 72°, low 67°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Sun, 2571° / 58°0.19
71 °
Elm Store, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Mon, 2664° / 49°0.28
64 °
Elm Store, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2765° / 43°0
65 °
Elm Store, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2868° / 46°0
68 °
Elm Store, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2973° / 48°0
73 °
Elm Store, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 73°, low 48°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 3069° / 50°0
69 °
Elm Store, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3165° / 49°0.19
65 °
Elm Store, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low27° (2023)
Sun, 0164° / 49°0.22
64 °
Elm Store, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low26° (2023)
Mon, 0263° / 47°0.11
63 °
Elm Store, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low30° (1966)
Tue, 0362° / 46°0.09
62 °
Elm Store, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2003)
Record low25° (1991)
Wed, 0462° / 46°0.12
62 °
Elm Store, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low20° (1991)
Thu, 0560° / 46°0.14
60 °
Elm Store, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (1978)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0660° / 44°0.12
60 °
Elm Store, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0761° / 45°0.13
61 °
Elm Store, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low25° (1993)
Sun, 0861° / 45°0.04
61 °
Elm Store, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low20° (1991)
Mon, 0962° / 45°0.11
62 °
Elm Store, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low20° (1991)
Tue, 1060° / 44°0.12
60 °
Elm Store, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low23° (2018)
Wed, 1158° / 42°0.11
58 °
Elm Store, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (1989)
Record low25° (2025)
Thu, 1257° / 40°0.07
57 °
Elm Store, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (1989)
Record low15° (2019)
Fri, 1357° / 40°0.08
57 °
Elm Store, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low15° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Store, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Store, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.