Monthly outlook for Elm Grove, AR: average high 63.2°, average low 45.5°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (73.8°), the coolest 8 November (38.1°).
63.2°/45.5°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 November – 15 November
63°
61.1°
+1.1°
16 November – 25 November
63.6°
58.2°
+3°
26 November – 5 December
at normal
54.3°
—
November records over 66 years
82.6°3 November 2016All-time high
17.4°13 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Trumann (4 mi).
Sat, 0759° / 40°0
59 °
Elm Grove, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.4 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 0863° / 38°0
63 °
Elm Grove, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 63°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 0968° / 44°0
68 °
Elm Grove, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Tue, 1067° / 51°0
67 °
Elm Grove, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 1171° / 49°0
71 °
Elm Grove, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 71°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.1 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 1262° / 50°0.05
62 °
Elm Grove, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.5 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1353° / 41°0
53 °
Elm Grove, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 1459° / 39°0
59 °
Elm Grove, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1563° / 44°0
63 °
Elm Grove, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1671° / 55°0.1
71 °
Elm Grove, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 1758° / 48°0.02
58 °
Elm Grove, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.7 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1861° / 41°0
61 °
Elm Grove, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1974° / 53°0.2
74 °
Elm Grove, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 53°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 2062° / 48°1.26
62 °
Elm Grove, Friday, 20 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2156° / 40°0
56 °
Elm Grove, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2257° / 42°0.11
57 °
Elm Grove, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1999)
Record low24° (2008)
Mon, 2357° / 42°0.17
57 °
Elm Grove, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low25° (1964)
Tue, 2456° / 42°0.15
56 °
Elm Grove, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low19° (1970)
Wed, 2557° / 41°0.17
57 °
Elm Grove, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1966)
Record low25° (1970)
Thu, 2657° / 43°0.15
57 °
Elm Grove, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high78° (1965)
Record low25° (1977)
Fri, 2757° / 42°0.28
57 °
Elm Grove, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.28 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low24° (2018)
Sat, 2853° / 39°0.19
53 °
Elm Grove, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low24° (2013)
Sun, 2954° / 39°0.15
54 °
Elm Grove, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1970)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 3055° / 40°0.16
55 °
Elm Grove, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high71° (1970)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 0154° / 38°0.1
54 °
Elm Grove, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2018)
Record low22° (1964)
Wed, 0254° / 38°0.08
54 °
Elm Grove, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (1982)
Record low22° (1985)
Thu, 0354° / 40°0.2
54 °
Elm Grove, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2012)
Record low23° (1985)
Fri, 0453° / 39°0.16
53 °
Elm Grove, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low23° (2006)
Sat, 0553° / 37°0.13
53 °
Elm Grove, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low20° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Grove, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Grove, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.