Monthly outlook for Ellis Chapel, AR: average high 101.7°, average low 77.2°. That is 7° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 August (110.8°), the coolest 9 August (72.6°).
101.7°/77.2°
Average high / low
+7°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
98.2°
89°
+5.1°
19 August – 28 August
107.5°
89.4°
+10.1°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
87.1°
—
August records over 66 years
108.5°3 August 2011All-time high
56.7°1 August 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hickory Ridge (15 mi).
Mon, 1096° / 76°0
96 °
Ellis Chapel, Monday, 10 August
Clear. High 96°, low 76°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point73°
Tue, 1196° / 76°0
96 °
Ellis Chapel, Tuesday, 11 August
Clear. High 96°, low 76°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point73°
Wed, 1292° / 77°0
92 °
Ellis Chapel, Wednesday, 12 August
Overcast. High 92°, low 77°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point74°
Thu, 13101° / 74°0.07
101 °
Ellis Chapel, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 101°, low 74°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Fri, 14100° / 77°0
100 °
Ellis Chapel, Friday, 14 August
Clear. High 100°, low 77°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Sat, 15102° / 75°0
102 °
Ellis Chapel, Saturday, 15 August
Partly cloudy. High 102°, low 75°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Sun, 16104° / 79°0
104 °
Ellis Chapel, Sunday, 16 August
Clear. High 104°, low 79°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Mon, 17100° / 78°0
100 °
Ellis Chapel, Monday, 17 August
Overcast. High 100°, low 78°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Tue, 1899° / 80°0
99 °
Ellis Chapel, Tuesday, 18 August
Overcast. High 99°, low 80°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.4 mph E
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Wed, 19107° / 78°0
107 °
Ellis Chapel, Wednesday, 19 August
Clear. High 107°, low 78°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Thu, 20111° / 80°0
111 °
Ellis Chapel, Thursday, 20 August
Clear. High 111°, low 80°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 21110° / 83°0.01
110 °
Ellis Chapel, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 110°, low 83°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Sat, 22108° / 77°0.02
108 °
Ellis Chapel, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 108°, low 77°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.3 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sun, 23105° / 76°0
105 °
Ellis Chapel, Sunday, 23 August
Partly cloudy. High 105°, low 76°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Mon, 24104° / 77°0.03
104 °
Ellis Chapel, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 104°, low 77°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.4 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2590° / 72°0.04
90 °
Ellis Chapel, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high90°
Average low72°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high101° (2023)
Record low59° (1966)
Wed, 2690° / 73°0.04
90 °
Ellis Chapel, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high90°
Average low73°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high101° (2000)
Record low60° (1966)
Thu, 2789° / 73°0.08
89 °
Ellis Chapel, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high89°
Average low73°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high101° (2000)
Record low59° (2025)
Fri, 2889° / 72°0.1
89 °
Ellis Chapel, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high89°
Average low72°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high102° (2000)
Record low57° (1967)
Sat, 2988° / 72°0.11
88 °
Ellis Chapel, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high88°
Average low72°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high103° (2000)
Record low57° (1986)
Sun, 3088° / 71°0.09
88 °
Ellis Chapel, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high88°
Average low71°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high104° (2000)
Record low58° (1986)
Mon, 3188° / 71°0.11
88 °
Ellis Chapel, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high88°
Average low71°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high101° (2000)
Record low61° (1988)
Tue, 0187° / 71°0.07
87 °
Ellis Chapel, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low71°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high100° (2000)
Record low57° (2009)
Wed, 0287° / 71°0.14
87 °
Ellis Chapel, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low71°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high99° (2000)
Record low58° (1967)
Thu, 0387° / 71°0.13
87 °
Ellis Chapel, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low71°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high100° (2000)
Record low57° (1974)
Fri, 0486° / 70°0.1
86 °
Ellis Chapel, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low70°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high100° (2000)
Record low54° (1974)
Sat, 0586° / 70°0.04
86 °
Ellis Chapel, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low70°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high98° (1990)
Record low56° (1997)
Sun, 0687° / 68°0.08
87 °
Ellis Chapel, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high99° (1990)
Record low58° (2017)
Mon, 0787° / 69°0.07
87 °
Ellis Chapel, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high98° (1990)
Record low53° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis Chapel, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis Chapel, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.