Monthly outlook for Elba, AR: average high 71.6°, average low 53.1°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (89.4°), the coolest 18 October (33.6°).
71.6°/53.1°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
76°
71.8°
+2.3°
20 October – 29 October
64.3°
68.2°
-2.2°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
63.9°
—
October records over 66 years
91.4°11 October 1963All-time high
29.1°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shirley (11 mi).
Sun, 1189° / 55°0
89 °
Elba, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 89°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 1287° / 68°0
87 °
Elba, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 87°, low 68°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Tue, 1387° / 71°0.11
87 °
Elba, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 71°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Wed, 1489° / 73°0.21
89 °
Elba, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 89°, low 73°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Thu, 1582° / 70°0.87
82 °
Elba, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 82°, low 70°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Fri, 1670° / 54°0.78
70 °
Elba, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.7 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1752° / 40°0
52 °
Elba, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind16.8 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1857° / 34°0
57 °
Elba, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1961° / 39°0
61 °
Elba, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2067° / 44°0
67 °
Elba, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2163° / 58°0.84
63 °
Elba, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 63°, low 58°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.5 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 2267° / 51°0.14
67 °
Elba, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2370° / 47°0
70 °
Elba, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2458° / 47°0
58 °
Elba, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.1 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2562° / 42°0
62 °
Elba, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2667° / 52°0.09
67 °
Elba, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2014)
Record low38° (1972)
Tue, 2767° / 51°0.15
67 °
Elba, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high84° (1963)
Record low40° (2012)
Wed, 2866° / 50°0.15
66 °
Elba, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low35° (2017)
Thu, 2966° / 50°0.14
66 °
Elba, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (1971)
Record low31° (2017)
Fri, 3067° / 51°0.17
67 °
Elba, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low33° (1980)
Sat, 3167° / 51°0.2
67 °
Elba, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0165° / 50°0.2
65 °
Elba, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low29° (2023)
Mon, 0264° / 49°0.07
64 °
Elba, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low31° (1991)
Tue, 0363° / 48°0.11
63 °
Elba, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low26° (1991)
Wed, 0463° / 48°0.12
63 °
Elba, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (1978)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0562° / 47°0.14
62 °
Elba, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (1978)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.12
63 °
Elba, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (1999)
Record low33° (1967)
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.12
63 °
Elba, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low27° (1993)
Sun, 0862° / 47°0.03
62 °
Elba, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low24° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elba, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elba, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.