Weather in Choctaw, AR
Choctaw, Friday, 16 October, 04:07
Overcast. Feels like 62°. High 66°, low 52°.
Monthly outlook for Choctaw, AR: average high 72.3°, average low 52.3°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (82.4°), the coolest 31 October (44.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 74.1° | 69.4° | +2.6° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 69.2° | 65.5° | +2° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 61.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shirley (11 mi).
0
Choctaw, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 64°, low 47°.
0Choctaw, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
0Choctaw, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 71°, low 47°.
0Choctaw, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
0Choctaw, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 77°, low 49°.
0Choctaw, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 81°, low 56°.
0Choctaw, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 82°, low 58°.
0Choctaw, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 58°.
0Choctaw, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 61°.
0.04
Choctaw, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 58°.
0Choctaw, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 48°.
0.9Choctaw, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 59°, low 54°.
0.11Choctaw, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 57°.
0.03Choctaw, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 52°.
0Choctaw, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 69°, low 44°.
0.2
Choctaw, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Choctaw, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Choctaw, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Choctaw, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Choctaw, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Choctaw, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Choctaw, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Choctaw, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Choctaw, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Choctaw, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Choctaw, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Choctaw, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Choctaw, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Choctaw, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Choctaw, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Choctaw, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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