Monthly outlook for Nogal, AR: average high 67.7°, average low 52.5°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (81.4°), the coolest 10 November (39.7°).
67.7°/52.5°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
71.8°
65.8°
+3.4°
8 November – 17 November
60.9°
61.6°
-0.4°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
58.5°
—
October records over 66 years
93°15 October 2015All-time high
29.3°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Conway (6 mi).
Fri, 3075° / 55°0
75 °
Nogal, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.5 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 3176° / 59°0.06
76 °
Nogal, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 59°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Sun, 0175° / 62°1.33
75 °
Nogal, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 75°, low 62°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.9 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Mon, 0277° / 65°0.01
77 °
Nogal, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Tue, 0377° / 67°0.56
77 °
Nogal, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 77°, low 67°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Wed, 0466° / 57°0.08
66 °
Nogal, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 57°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 0562° / 53°0
62 °
Nogal, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 0667° / 47°0
67 °
Nogal, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 0762° / 46°0
62 °
Nogal, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0849° / 48°0.02
49 °
Nogal, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0951° / 45°0.02
51 °
Nogal, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1060° / 40°0
60 °
Nogal, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.2 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1163° / 41°0
63 °
Nogal, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1269° / 46°0
69 °
Nogal, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 1373° / 56°0.02
73 °
Nogal, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1461° / 44°0.11
61 °
Nogal, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (1999)
Record low25° (1986)
Sun, 1560° / 44°0.19
60 °
Nogal, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low24° (2018)
Mon, 1660° / 43°0.19
60 °
Nogal, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low27° (1970)
Tue, 1761° / 44°0.16
61 °
Nogal, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low26° (1997)
Wed, 1861° / 44°0.22
61 °
Nogal, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2025)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1960° / 45°0.13
60 °
Nogal, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low29° (2000)
Fri, 2060° / 44°0.12
60 °
Nogal, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low25° (2022)
Sat, 2159° / 43°0.11
59 °
Nogal, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low27° (2000)
Sun, 2258° / 42°0.12
58 °
Nogal, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low26° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 43°0.14
58 °
Nogal, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low25° (1964)
Tue, 2457° / 41°0.23
57 °
Nogal, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low20° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 41°0.16
58 °
Nogal, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1966)
Record low27° (1975)
Thu, 2657° / 43°0.17
57 °
Nogal, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high79° (1965)
Record low28° (1977)
Fri, 2757° / 42°0.25
57 °
Nogal, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1989)
Record low23° (1975)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nogal, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nogal, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.