Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, AR: average high 70°, average low 51.5°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (81.3°), the coolest 6 November (42.1°).
70°/51.5°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
73.2°
66.3°
+3.8°
5 November – 14 November
64.7°
61.6°
+1.7°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
58.5°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°2 October 2019All-time high
30.2°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Diaz (12 mi).
Tue, 2775° / 47°0
75 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Wed, 2878° / 48°0
78 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 78°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 2981° / 57°0
81 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 81°, low 57°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 3077° / 58°0
77 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 3177° / 62°0.23
77 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 77°, low 62°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 0177° / 64°0.07
77 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 64°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 0266° / 62°0.59
66 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 66°, low 62°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Tue, 0365° / 50°0.09
65 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind19.2 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 0459° / 43°0.21
59 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.2 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 0550° / 47°0
50 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 47°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0662° / 42°0
62 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 0764° / 44°0
64 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0871° / 48°0
71 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0970° / 55°0.1
70 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 55°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 1072° / 48°0
72 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1161° / 45°0.11
61 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (1989)
Record low27° (2025)
Thu, 1259° / 43°0.07
59 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1359° / 42°0.09
59 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1460° / 44°0.12
60 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1999)
Record low23° (1986)
Sun, 1559° / 44°0.15
59 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low26° (2018)
Mon, 1659° / 43°0.18
59 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (1965)
Record low26° (1970)
Tue, 1760° / 43°0.14
60 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low25° (1997)
Wed, 1860° / 44°0.17
60 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1959° / 45°0.15
59 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low29° (2022)
Fri, 2059° / 44°0.13
59 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low24° (2022)
Sat, 2158° / 43°0.08
58 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low25° (2000)
Sun, 2257° / 42°0.13
57 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1999)
Record low25° (2008)
Mon, 2357° / 42°0.13
57 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (1973)
Record low25° (1964)
Tue, 2456° / 42°0.2
56 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2010)
Record low20° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.