Weather in Mount Carmel, AR
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 15 October, 06:55
Partly cloudy. Feels like 71°. High 87°, low 69°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, AR: average high 71.2°, average low 50.7°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (87.5°), the coolest 28 October (42.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 73.8° | 70.5° | +1.8° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 67° | 66.7° | +0.2° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 62° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Diaz (12 mi).
0.02
Mount Carmel, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 53°.
0
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 66°, low 45°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 72°, low 46°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 75°, low 47°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 78°, low 55°.
0
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 78°, low 54°.
0
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 55°.
0.49Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 69°, low 59°.
0.21Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 67°, low 50°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 64°, low 42°.
0
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 44°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 74°, low 48°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 63°, low 53°.
0.19
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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