Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, AR: average high 74.3°, average low 59°. That is 6.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (79°), the coolest 14 November (51.2°).
74.3°/59°
Average high / low
+6.2°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
73.7°
64.6°
+5.1°
9 November – 18 November
75.3°
60.2°
+8.3°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
56.9°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°2 October 2019All-time high
30.2°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Diaz (12 mi).
Sat, 3173° / 58°0
73 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.5 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 0170° / 54°0.06
70 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.6 mph E
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 0271° / 60°0.02
71 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Tue, 0371° / 64°0.45
71 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 71°, low 64°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 0472° / 60°1.44
72 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 72°, low 60°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 0574° / 54°0
74 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 74°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 0675° / 55°0
75 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 75°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.8 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0776° / 57°0
76 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0876° / 62°0.02
76 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 62°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Mon, 0978° / 66°0.1
78 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 66°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 1076° / 63°0.31
76 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 76°, low 63°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 1178° / 60°0
78 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 78°, low 60°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 1278° / 65°0.07
78 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 65°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 1375° / 61°0.81
75 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 75°, low 61°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind15.7 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 1467° / 51°0
67 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1559° / 44°0.15
59 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low26° (2018)
Mon, 1659° / 43°0.18
59 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (1965)
Record low26° (1970)
Tue, 1760° / 43°0.14
60 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (2016)
Record low25° (1997)
Wed, 1860° / 44°0.17
60 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2025)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1959° / 45°0.15
59 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low29° (2022)
Fri, 2059° / 44°0.13
59 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1989)
Record low24° (2022)
Sat, 2158° / 43°0.08
58 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low25° (2000)
Sun, 2257° / 42°0.13
57 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1999)
Record low25° (2008)
Mon, 2357° / 42°0.13
57 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (1973)
Record low25° (1964)
Tue, 2456° / 42°0.2
56 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2010)
Record low20° (1970)
Wed, 2557° / 41°0.17
57 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (1966)
Record low26° (1970)
Thu, 2656° / 43°0.15
56 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high78° (1965)
Record low27° (1977)
Fri, 2757° / 42°0.25
57 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high74° (1989)
Record low24° (1975)
Sat, 2853° / 38°0.14
53 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low25° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.