Weather in Mount Carmel, AR
Mount Carmel, Friday, 16 October, 03:57
Overcast. Feels like 65°. High 69°, low 53°.
Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, AR: average high 73.6°, average low 52.7°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (83.7°), the coolest 18 October (45.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 74.9° | 70° | +2.7° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 71.5° | 66.3° | +2.9° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 61.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Diaz (12 mi).
0
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
0Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 72°, low 46°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 75°, low 48°.
0Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 77°, low 51°.
0Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 81°, low 55°.
0Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 58°.
0Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 59°.
0.01
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 59°.
0Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 49°.
0.57Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
0.33Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 66°, low 58°.
0.01Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 79°, low 55°.
0Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 71°, low 45°.
0.18
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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