Monthly outlook for Mount Carmel, AR: average high 76.9°, average low 55.9°. That is 4.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (85.7°), the coolest 18 October (43.7°).
76.9°/55.9°
Average high / low
+4.5°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
74.8°
69.7°
+2.8°
27 October – 5 November
80.5°
65.8°
+8.2°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
61.2°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°2 October 2019All-time high
30.2°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Diaz (12 mi).
Sun, 1865° / 44°0
65 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.2 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 1970° / 46°0
70 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 70°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 2073° / 47°0
73 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.8 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 2175° / 50°0.02
75 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind1.9 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 2276° / 51°0
76 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 76°, low 51°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 2380° / 53°0
80 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5 mph E
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2481° / 55°0
81 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 55°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2581° / 58°0
81 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 58°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2682° / 58°0
82 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 58°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2778° / 63°0
78 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 63°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2872° / 55°0
72 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2983° / 65°0
83 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 65°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 3086° / 65°0
86 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 86°, low 65°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.4 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 3184° / 70°0.23
84 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 84°, low 70°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sun, 0180° / 68°0.13
80 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 68°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0265° / 49°0.1
65 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low34° (1966)
Tue, 0364° / 48°0.1
64 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low27° (1966)
Wed, 0464° / 49°0.09
64 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0563° / 48°0.13
63 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2017)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0663° / 46°0.13
63 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low32° (1967)
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.12
63 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (1999)
Record low26° (1993)
Sun, 0863° / 47°0.04
63 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low24° (1991)
Mon, 0964° / 47°0.13
64 °
Mount Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (2022)
Record low21° (1991)
Tue, 1062° / 47°0.08
62 °
Mount Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low25° (1991)
Wed, 1161° / 45°0.11
61 °
Mount Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (1989)
Record low27° (2025)
Thu, 1259° / 43°0.07
59 °
Mount Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1359° / 42°0.09
59 °
Mount Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1460° / 44°0.12
60 °
Mount Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1999)
Record low23° (1986)
Sun, 1559° / 44°0.15
59 °
Mount Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low26° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mount Carmel, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mount Carmel, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.