Monthly outlook for Black Bear Spring, AZ: average high 61.5°, average low 43.3°. That is 8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (69.5°), the coolest 17 October (36.7°).
61.5°/43.3°
Average high / low
−8°
Below normal
4 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
59.8°
76.9°
-9.5°
21 October – 30 October
64.4°
73.3°
-5°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
70.4°
—
October records over 66 years
93.4°1 October 2024All-time high
29.7°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sierra Vista (12 mi).
Mon, 1260° / 42°0.01
60 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 1358° / 43°0.02
58 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 1461° / 41°0
61 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind2.1 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 1565° / 42°0
65 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 65°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.3 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1648° / 38°0.02
48 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17.6 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1755° / 37°0
55 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.5 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 1861° / 37°0.01
61 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1964° / 44°0
64 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2065° / 45°0
65 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 2166° / 45°0
66 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.5 mph S
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2268° / 46°0
68 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2368° / 49°0
68 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 2470° / 50°0.07
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2566° / 47°0.06
66 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.3 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2649° / 44°0.33
49 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.1 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2772° / 50°0.02
72 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high91° (2024)
Record low31° (2020)
Wed, 2873° / 49°0
73 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high85° (2024)
Record low33° (2020)
Thu, 2972° / 49°0.02
72 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high72°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high85° (2010)
Record low30° (2009)
Fri, 3071° / 48°0.01
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high85° (2001)
Record low30° (1971)
Sat, 3171° / 47°0.01
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high82° (2014)
Record low30° (1972)
Sun, 0171° / 48°0
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation2%
Record high80° (2008)
Record low31° (1972)
Mon, 0271° / 48°0.02
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high82° (2005)
Record low34° (1961)
Tue, 0370° / 47°0.02
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low38° (1961)
Wed, 0470° / 47°0.01
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low35° (2022)
Thu, 0571° / 47°0.01
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high86° (2023)
Record low37° (1970)
Fri, 0671° / 48°0.02
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low34° (1961)
Sat, 0770° / 48°0.02
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low32° (2000)
Sun, 0869° / 46°0.01
69 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high81° (2005)
Record low29° (2000)
Mon, 0969° / 46°0.01
69 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high81° (2005)
Record low30° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Bear Spring, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Bear Spring, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.