Monthly outlook for Black Bear Spring, AZ: average high 58.8°, average low 41.1°. That is 8.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 1 days and 0.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (64.9°), the coolest 31 October (31°).
58.8°/41.1°
Average high / low
−8.5°
Below normal
5 / 1
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
60.4°
75.3°
-8.2°
26 October – 4 November
56°
71.4°
-8.6°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
69°
—
October records over 66 years
93.4°1 October 2024All-time high
29.7°30 October 1971All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sierra Vista (12 mi).
Sat, 1760° / 37°0.08
60 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 1862° / 41°0.08
62 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 1962° / 48°0.05
62 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Tue, 2065° / 46°0
65 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2161° / 51°0.09
61 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2264° / 47°0.1
64 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 2362° / 41°0
62 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.3 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 2456° / 39°0
56 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.4 mph W
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 2557° / 35°0
57 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.6 mph E
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 2661° / 40°0
61 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 2762° / 43°0
62 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2857° / 39°0
57 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2957° / 42°0.02
57 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.3 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 3048° / 34°0.01
48 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind22.4 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 3151° / 31°0
51 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 51°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0171° / 48°0
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0 in
Chance of precipitation2%
Record high80° (2008)
Record low31° (1972)
Mon, 0271° / 48°0.02
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high82° (2005)
Record low34° (1961)
Tue, 0370° / 47°0.02
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low38° (1961)
Wed, 0470° / 47°0.01
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2025)
Record low35° (2022)
Thu, 0571° / 47°0.01
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high86° (2023)
Record low37° (1970)
Fri, 0671° / 48°0.02
71 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low34° (1961)
Sat, 0770° / 48°0.02
70 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low32° (2000)
Sun, 0869° / 46°0.01
69 °
Black Bear Spring, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high81° (2005)
Record low29° (2000)
Mon, 0969° / 46°0.01
69 °
Black Bear Spring, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high81° (2005)
Record low30° (2000)
Tue, 1069° / 46°0.01
69 °
Black Bear Spring, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high79° (1973)
Record low31° (2000)
Wed, 1168° / 46°0.03
68 °
Black Bear Spring, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high80° (1973)
Record low34° (2012)
Thu, 1267° / 46°0.04
67 °
Black Bear Spring, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high81° (1973)
Record low31° (1982)
Fri, 1367° / 45°0.03
67 °
Black Bear Spring, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high81° (2017)
Record low29° (2018)
Sat, 1468° / 45°0.01
68 °
Black Bear Spring, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high82° (2017)
Record low30° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Bear Spring, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Bear Spring, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.