Monthly outlook for Five Mile Fork, VA: average high 63.9°, average low 50.1°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (83.3°), the coolest 18 October (41.2°).
63.9°/50.1°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
63°
66°
-1.7°
26 October – 4 November
65.4°
63.3°
+1.2°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
58.8°
—
October records over 66 years
95.5°2 October 2019All-time high
32.2°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fredericksburg (4 mi).
Sat, 1764° / 46°0.16
64 °
Five Mile Fork, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.8 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 1856° / 41°0
56 °
Five Mile Fork, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1957° / 42°0
57 °
Five Mile Fork, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.4 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 2066° / 49°0
66 °
Five Mile Fork, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 2163° / 51°0
63 °
Five Mile Fork, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2255° / 44°0
55 °
Five Mile Fork, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 2365° / 49°0
65 °
Five Mile Fork, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2466° / 44°0
66 °
Five Mile Fork, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2555° / 48°0.54
55 °
Five Mile Fork, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 2658° / 53°0.08
58 °
Five Mile Fork, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Tue, 2767° / 53°0
67 °
Five Mile Fork, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 2873° / 54°0
73 °
Five Mile Fork, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 2959° / 53°0.04
59 °
Five Mile Fork, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3065° / 58°0.11
65 °
Five Mile Fork, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 3171° / 55°0.13
71 °
Five Mile Fork, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0164° / 49°0.11
64 °
Five Mile Fork, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1974)
Record low37° (2002)
Mon, 0264° / 49°0.11
64 °
Five Mile Fork, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (1971)
Record low34° (1976)
Tue, 0364° / 47°0.06
64 °
Five Mile Fork, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low34° (2023)
Wed, 0461° / 46°0.13
61 °
Five Mile Fork, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low32° (2006)
Thu, 0561° / 46°0.1
61 °
Five Mile Fork, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (1961)
Record low30° (1991)
Fri, 0661° / 46°0.08
61 °
Five Mile Fork, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low30° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 45°0.11
60 °
Five Mile Fork, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low30° (1962)
Sun, 0860° / 44°0.12
60 °
Five Mile Fork, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (1975)
Record low31° (1967)
Mon, 0960° / 44°0.06
60 °
Five Mile Fork, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low28° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 44°0.14
60 °
Five Mile Fork, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (1975)
Record low33° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 44°0.21
58 °
Five Mile Fork, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low24° (2017)
Thu, 1256° / 43°0.24
56 °
Five Mile Fork, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1987)
Fri, 1355° / 41°0.09
55 °
Five Mile Fork, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low24° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 41°0.06
56 °
Five Mile Fork, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (1985)
Record low23° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Five Mile Fork, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Five Mile Fork, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.