Monthly outlook for Rancho San Carlos, AZ: average high 103.9°, average low 88.8°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 August (121°), the coolest 13 August (82.4°).
103.9°/88.8°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
4 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
103.5°
101.9°
+0.9°
19 August – 28 August
104.6°
101.5°
+1.7°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
100.9°
—
August records over 66 years
117.7°7 August 2025All-time high
63°21 August 1979All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Phoenix (5 mi).
Mon, 10121° / 88°0.02
121 °
Rancho San Carlos, Monday, 10 August
Light rain. High 121°, low 88°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.8 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Tue, 11104° / 85°0.03
104 °
Rancho San Carlos, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 104°, low 85°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.5 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 1299° / 88°0.09
99 °
Rancho San Carlos, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 99°, low 88°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity29%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 1397° / 82°0.21
97 °
Rancho San Carlos, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 97°, low 82°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 1497° / 87°0.04
97 °
Rancho San Carlos, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 97°, low 87°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1597° / 90°0
97 °
Rancho San Carlos, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 97°, low 90°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 1699° / 89°0
99 °
Rancho San Carlos, Sunday, 16 August
Overcast. High 99°, low 89°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 17102° / 92°0
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Monday, 17 August
Clear. High 102°, low 92°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Tue, 18105° / 94°0
105 °
Rancho San Carlos, Tuesday, 18 August
Clear. High 105°, low 94°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.7 mph W
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 19103° / 91°0
103 °
Rancho San Carlos, Wednesday, 19 August
Mostly clear. High 103°, low 91°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 20105° / 92°0.02
105 °
Rancho San Carlos, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 105°, low 92°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 21106° / 84°0.17
106 °
Rancho San Carlos, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 106°, low 84°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.2 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Sat, 22102° / 85°0
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Saturday, 22 August
Mostly clear. High 102°, low 85°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sun, 23108° / 94°0.01
108 °
Rancho San Carlos, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 108°, low 94°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Mon, 24103° / 91°0.02
103 °
Rancho San Carlos, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 103°, low 91°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.6 mph N
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 25101° / 79°0.03
101 °
Rancho San Carlos, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high111° (2011)
Record low69° (1990)
Wed, 26102° / 80°0.03
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high102°
Average low80°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high112° (2001)
Record low69° (1960)
Thu, 27102° / 80°0.03
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high102°
Average low80°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high111° (2011)
Record low69° (1992)
Fri, 28103° / 79°0.02
103 °
Rancho San Carlos, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high103°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high113° (2023)
Record low70° (1960)
Sat, 29102° / 79°0.04
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high102°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high112° (2023)
Record low70° (1960)
Sun, 30102° / 80°0.03
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high102°
Average low80°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high110° (2011)
Record low69° (1992)
Mon, 31102° / 80°0.02
102 °
Rancho San Carlos, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high102°
Average low80°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high110° (2011)
Record low68° (1962)
Tue, 01101° / 79°0.04
101 °
Rancho San Carlos, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high110° (1982)
Record low64° (1992)
Wed, 02101° / 79°0.06
101 °
Rancho San Carlos, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low79°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high109° (1982)
Record low63° (1992)
Thu, 03101° / 78°0.01
101 °
Rancho San Carlos, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high109° (2022)
Record low66° (1992)
Fri, 04101° / 78°0.06
101 °
Rancho San Carlos, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high101°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high112° (2020)
Record low64° (1961)
Sat, 05100° / 78°0.08
100 °
Rancho San Carlos, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high113° (2020)
Record low62° (1992)
Sun, 06100° / 78°0.04
100 °
Rancho San Carlos, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high111° (2020)
Record low62° (1970)
Mon, 07100° / 78°0.02
100 °
Rancho San Carlos, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high100°
Average low78°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high110° (1979)
Record low66° (1992)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Rancho San Carlos, AZ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Rancho San Carlos, AZ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.