Weather in Water Mill, NY
Water Mill, Thursday, 15 October, 14:03
Clear. Feels like 61°. High 62°, low 52°.
Monthly outlook for Water Mill, NY: average high 58°, average low 49.2°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (70°), the coolest 29 October (44.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 58.8° | 60.1° | -0.7° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 56.8° | 57.6° | -0.4° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 54.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sagaponack (4 mi).
0.14
Water Mill, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 70°, low 52°.
0.11Water Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 64°, low 49°.
0Water Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 52°, low 47°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 59°, low 52°.
0
Water Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 52°.
0
Water Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 55°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 52°.
0.05Water Mill, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
0Water Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 46°.
0Water Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 46°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 60°, low 47°.
0
Water Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 48°.
0Water Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 48°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 45°.
0.14Water Mill, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 52°.
0.07Water Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Water Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Water Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Water Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Water Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Water Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Water Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Water Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Water Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Water Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Water Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Water Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Water Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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