Weather in Water Mill, NY
Water Mill, Thursday, 5 November, 20:42
Partly cloudy. Feels like 65°. High 70°, low 60°.
Monthly outlook for Water Mill, NY: average high 54.7°, average low 48.2°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 3.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (69.6°), the coolest 14 November (39.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 55.9° | 54.1° | +1° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 52.6° | 50.8° | +1° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 49.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sagaponack (4 mi).
3.22
Water Mill, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 60°.
0.12Water Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 61°, low 50°.
0
Water Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 50°.
0.01Water Mill, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 51°.
0Water Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 49°.
0
Water Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 57°, low 51°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 44°.
0Water Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 41°.
0Water Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 45°, low 40°.
0
Water Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 40°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
0Water Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 47°.
0Water Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 51°, low 47°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 52°.
0Water Mill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 48°.
0.1
Water Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Water Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Water Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Water Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Water Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Water Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Water Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Water Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Water Mill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Water Mill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Water Mill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Water Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Water Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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