Weather in Water Mill, NY
Water Mill, Saturday, 31 October, 23:44
Overcast. Feels like 51°. High 57°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Water Mill, NY: average high 58.7°, average low 50.7°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (68.1°), the coolest 1 November (39.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 61.9° | 56° | +3.3° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 53.3° | 52.4° | +0.5° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 50.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sagaponack (4 mi).
0
Water Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 39°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 42°.
0Water Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 53°.
0
Water Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 64°, low 57°.
0.02
Water Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 60°.
0.02Water Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 61°.
0.64Water Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 63°, low 59°.
0.54Water Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 60°, low 54°.
0.28Water Mill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 52°, low 49°.
0.11Water Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 50°.
0.09Water Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 47°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 47°.
0Water Mill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 49°.
1.67Water Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 59°, low 52°.
0.14Water Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 50°.
0.17
Water Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17
Water Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Water Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Water Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Water Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Water Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Water Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Water Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Water Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Water Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Water Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Water Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Water Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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