Weather in Water Mill, NY
Water Mill, Friday, 16 October, 21:37
Overcast. Feels like 66°. High 68°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Water Mill, NY: average high 59°, average low 50.4°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (68.2°), the coolest 18 October (40.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 59.7° | 59.8° | -0.1° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 57.9° | 57.3° | +0.4° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 54.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sagaponack (4 mi).
0.21
Water Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 62°, low 42°.
0
Water Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 53°.
0Water Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 55°.
0Water Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 52°.
0.02Water Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 50°.
0
Water Mill, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 51°.
0Water Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 49°.
0Water Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 50°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 56°, low 46°.
0Water Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 48°.
0.11Water Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 53°.
0.16Water Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 55°.
0.28Water Mill, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 58°, low 54°.
0.17Water Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 59°.
0.15
Water Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Water Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Water Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Water Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Water Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Water Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Water Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Water Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Water Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Water Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Water Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Water Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Water Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Water Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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