Weather in Water Mill, NY
Water Mill, Saturday, 17 October, 18:27
Overcast. Feels like 45°. High 59°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Water Mill, NY: average high 57.9°, average low 49.6°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (64°), the coolest 18 October (40.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 57.7° | 59.5° | -1° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 58.3° | 57° | +0.7° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 53.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sagaponack (4 mi).
0
Water Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 52°, low 40°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 50°.
0
Water Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 55°.
0Water Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 50°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 49°.
0Water Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 48°.
0Water Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 50°.
0Water Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 50°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 55°.
0.17
Water Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 50°.
0Water Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 50°, low 43°.
0Water Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 53°, low 44°.
0Water Mill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 59°, low 52°.
0Water Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 56°.
0Water Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 64°, low 58°.
0.1
Water Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Water Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Water Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Water Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Water Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Water Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Water Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Water Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Water Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Water Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Water Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Water Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Water Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Water Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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