Weather in Water Mill, NY
Water Mill, Friday, 23 October, 14:15
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 57°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Water Mill, NY: average high 58.8°, average low 51.9°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (61.7°), the coolest 24 October (41.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 58.7° | 57.9° | +0.4° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 59° | 55.5° | +1.9° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 51.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sagaponack (4 mi).
0
Water Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.
0Water Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 57°, low 46°.
0Water Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 61°, low 49°.
0
Water Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 50°.
0Water Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 50°, low 45°.
0
Water Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 51°.
0Water Mill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 55°.
0Water Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 56°.
0.22
Water Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 60°, low 56°.
0.59Water Mill, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 62°, low 60°.
0.04Water Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 59°.
0.01Water Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
1.18Water Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 57°, low 54°.
0.07Water Mill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 53°.
0.02Water Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 57°.
0.16
Water Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Water Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Water Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Water Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Water Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Water Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Water Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Water Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Water Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Water Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Water Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Water Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Water Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Water Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Water Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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