Monthly outlook for Model City, NY: average high 62.1°, average low 48.6°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (70.1°), the coolest 19 October (41.5°).
62.1°/48.6°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
63.2°
59.5°
+2.1°
19 October – 28 October
60.2°
55.5°
+2.6°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
52.4°
—
October records over 66 years
84°1 October 2019All-time high
30.7°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Wilson (10 mi).
Sat, 1068° / 46°0
68 °
Model City, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Sun, 1163° / 59°0.23
63 °
Model City, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 63°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 1269° / 58°0.05
69 °
Model City, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Tue, 1368° / 59°0.15
68 °
Model City, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 59°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Wed, 1461° / 52°0.07
61 °
Model City, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 1560° / 43°0
60 °
Model City, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1670° / 56°0.13
70 °
Model City, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 56°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind22.6 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 1754° / 48°0
54 °
Model City, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind20 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1851° / 42°0
51 °
Model City, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 1956° / 42°0
56 °
Model City, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2059° / 42°0
59 °
Model City, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2162° / 44°0
62 °
Model City, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2261° / 47°0
61 °
Model City, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 2362° / 46°0
62 °
Model City, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2462° / 46°0
62 °
Model City, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2555° / 47°0.14
55 °
Model City, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low37° (1962)
Mon, 2654° / 47°0.1
54 °
Model City, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2023)
Record low35° (1976)
Tue, 2755° / 46°0.11
55 °
Model City, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2023)
Record low32° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 45°0.1
54 °
Model City, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1984)
Record low33° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 44°0.1
52 °
Model City, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (2024)
Record low32° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 44°0.11
53 °
Model City, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low36° (1966)
Sat, 3154° / 45°0.12
54 °
Model City, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (2020)
Sun, 0154° / 46°0.12
54 °
Model City, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (1984)
Record low34° (1965)
Mon, 0253° / 45°0.21
53 °
Model City, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low29° (1965)
Tue, 0353° / 44°0.12
53 °
Model City, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (1961)
Record low34° (1991)
Wed, 0452° / 43°0.12
52 °
Model City, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low29° (1991)
Thu, 0552° / 44°0.11
52 °
Model City, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high76° (2022)
Record low29° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 43°0.08
51 °
Model City, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low33° (1991)
Sat, 0750° / 42°0.11
50 °
Model City, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1975)
Record low29° (1992)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Model City, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Model City, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.