Monthly outlook for Monarch, MT: average high 47.4°, average low 30.7°. That is 1.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (74.9°), the coolest 16 October (16.9°).
47.4°/30.7°
Average high / low
−1.7°
Below normal
7 / 5
Wet days / normal
3.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
47.1°
50.8°
-2°
18 October – 27 October
47.8°
48.3°
-0.3°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
42.2°
—
October records over 66 years
78.8°1 October 2011All-time high
-15°10 October 2009All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Neihart (12 mi).
Fri, 0975° / 45°0
75 °
Monarch, Friday, 9 October
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 45°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind17.2 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sat, 1053° / 31°0.52
53 °
Monarch, Saturday, 10 October
Snow. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.7 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility1.6 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 1133° / 29°0.37
33 °
Monarch, Sunday, 11 October
Snow. High 33°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Mon, 1234° / 28°0.27
34 °
Monarch, Monday, 12 October
Snow. High 34°, low 28°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1343° / 27°0
43 °
Monarch, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 43°, low 27°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1447° / 34°0.12
47 °
Monarch, Wednesday, 14 October
Snow. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1534° / 20°0.91
34 °
Monarch, Thursday, 15 October
Snow. High 34°, low 20°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind13.8 mph N
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1637° / 17°0
37 °
Monarch, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 37°, low 17°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 1746° / 26°0
46 °
Monarch, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 46°, low 26°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity104%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1850° / 33°0
50 °
Monarch, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 1949° / 40°0
49 °
Monarch, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.1 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2055° / 43°0
55 °
Monarch, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2151° / 30°0.17
51 °
Monarch, Wednesday, 21 October
Snow. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind17.4 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2245° / 30°0.04
45 °
Monarch, Thursday, 22 October
Snow. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 2336° / 23°0.72
36 °
Monarch, Friday, 23 October
Snow. High 36°, low 23°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.7 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2447° / 31°0.06
47 °
Monarch, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (2007)
Record low2° (2020)
Sun, 2547° / 32°0.04
47 °
Monarch, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low-9° (2020)
Mon, 2646° / 30°0.09
46 °
Monarch, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1986)
Record low2° (2020)
Tue, 2745° / 29°0.05
45 °
Monarch, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low-1° (2023)
Wed, 2845° / 29°0.07
45 °
Monarch, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-9° (2023)
Thu, 2943° / 28°0.06
43 °
Monarch, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high65° (1962)
Record low-3° (1991)
Fri, 3042° / 27°0.03
42 °
Monarch, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (1962)
Record low-6° (1991)
Sat, 3142° / 27°0.06
42 °
Monarch, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high62° (2008)
Record low0° (2002)
Sun, 0142° / 27°0.06
42 °
Monarch, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2025)
Record low-3° (1991)
Mon, 0242° / 27°0.04
42 °
Monarch, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (1981)
Record low-11° (1991)
Tue, 0342° / 28°0.06
42 °
Monarch, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high61° (1962)
Record low-3° (1991)
Wed, 0442° / 28°0.07
42 °
Monarch, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high58° (1976)
Record low-2° (2003)
Thu, 0541° / 27°0.07
41 °
Monarch, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high59° (2010)
Record low-6° (2003)
Fri, 0641° / 26°0.04
41 °
Monarch, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high60° (2010)
Record low0° (2003)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Monarch, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Monarch, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.