Monthly outlook for Erwin, SD: average high 59.9°, average low 44.2°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (80.3°), the coolest 18 October (32.8°).
59.9°/44.2°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
63.6°
58.4°
+2.9°
17 October – 26 October
53.9°
54.4°
-0.3°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
48.8°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°1 October 2023All-time high
7.9°26 October 2020All-time low
Thu, 0873° / 46°0
73 °
Erwin, Thursday, 8 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Fri, 0976° / 49°0
76 °
Erwin, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 76°, low 49°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Sat, 1080° / 65°0
80 °
Erwin, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 80°, low 65°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind21.1 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sun, 1173° / 53°0
73 °
Erwin, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Mon, 1251° / 43°0.05
51 °
Erwin, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 1355° / 41°0
55 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.1 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1457° / 50°0.59
57 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind19.7 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 1556° / 45°0.18
56 °
Erwin, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind19.7 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 1642° / 36°0.64
42 °
Erwin, Friday, 16 October
Snow. High 42°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind18.7 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1741° / 36°0.06
41 °
Erwin, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1853° / 33°0
53 °
Erwin, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1963° / 42°0
63 °
Erwin, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2051° / 39°0
51 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2160° / 38°0
60 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind24 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2257° / 47°0
57 °
Erwin, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind21.4 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2353° / 38°0.07
53 °
Erwin, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low20° (2020)
Sat, 2453° / 38°0.03
53 °
Erwin, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Sun, 2553° / 38°0.04
53 °
Erwin, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Mon, 2653° / 37°0.02
53 °
Erwin, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (1989)
Record low8° (2020)
Tue, 2752° / 37°0.09
52 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low11° (2020)
Wed, 2851° / 36°0.03
51 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low20° (2023)
Thu, 2951° / 36°0.06
51 °
Erwin, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2004)
Record low18° (1991)
Fri, 3049° / 36°0.1
49 °
Erwin, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1965)
Record low16° (1991)
Sat, 3149° / 34°0.06
49 °
Erwin, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low17° (2019)
Sun, 0148° / 34°0.06
48 °
Erwin, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Mon, 0247° / 33°0.04
47 °
Erwin, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low8° (1991)
Tue, 0347° / 34°0.03
47 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low6° (1991)
Wed, 0447° / 32°0.02
47 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (2015)
Record low-4° (1991)
Thu, 0547° / 33°0.04
47 °
Erwin, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low11° (2003)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erwin, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erwin, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.