Monthly outlook for Erwin, SD: average high 60.9°, average low 46.3°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (80°), the coolest 17 October (33.1°).
60.9°/46.3°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
63.2°
57.9°
+3°
18 October – 27 October
56.9°
53.9°
+1.7°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
48.2°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°1 October 2023All-time high
7.9°26 October 2020All-time low
Fri, 0976° / 49°0
76 °
Erwin, Friday, 9 October
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sat, 1080° / 64°0
80 °
Erwin, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 80°, low 64°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind20.2 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 1177° / 56°0
77 °
Erwin, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 56°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind12.3 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 1257° / 49°0.03
57 °
Erwin, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NE
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 1354° / 45°0
54 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1457° / 48°0.21
57 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.8 mph E
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 1568° / 47°0.03
68 °
Erwin, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind24.7 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 1644° / 40°0
44 °
Erwin, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind19.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1752° / 33°0
52 °
Erwin, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1848° / 44°0.08
48 °
Erwin, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16.5 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 1960° / 49°0.01
60 °
Erwin, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.4 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2063° / 45°0
63 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind16.2 mph NW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2167° / 45°0
67 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind23.4 mph NW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2249° / 42°0.04
49 °
Erwin, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind27.4 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2355° / 39°0
55 °
Erwin, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind24.7 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2453° / 38°0.03
53 °
Erwin, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Sun, 2553° / 38°0.04
53 °
Erwin, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Mon, 2653° / 37°0.02
53 °
Erwin, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (1989)
Record low8° (2020)
Tue, 2752° / 37°0.09
52 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low11° (2020)
Wed, 2851° / 36°0.03
51 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low20° (2023)
Thu, 2951° / 36°0.06
51 °
Erwin, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2004)
Record low18° (1991)
Fri, 3049° / 36°0.1
49 °
Erwin, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1965)
Record low16° (1991)
Sat, 3149° / 34°0.06
49 °
Erwin, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low17° (2019)
Sun, 0148° / 34°0.06
48 °
Erwin, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Mon, 0247° / 33°0.04
47 °
Erwin, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low8° (1991)
Tue, 0347° / 34°0.03
47 °
Erwin, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low6° (1991)
Wed, 0447° / 32°0.02
47 °
Erwin, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high68° (2015)
Record low-4° (1991)
Thu, 0547° / 33°0.04
47 °
Erwin, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low11° (2003)
Fri, 0646° / 32°0.03
46 °
Erwin, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low8° (2003)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erwin, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erwin, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.