Monthly outlook for Lake Itasca, MN: average high 53.6°, average low 43.3°. That is 7.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 November (63.2°), the coolest 6 November (35.1°).
53.6°/43.3°
Average high / low
+7.9°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
53.4°
41.8°
+6.5°
9 November – 18 November
54°
35.4°
+10.3°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
29.6°
—
October records over 66 years
84°1 October 2023All-time high
11.8°31 October 2002All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — South End (13 mi).
Sat, 3155° / 36°0.12
55 °
Lake Itasca, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 0162° / 48°0
62 °
Lake Itasca, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 0254° / 53°0.34
54 °
Lake Itasca, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 54°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.4 mph E
Humidity99%
Visibility1.6 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 0352° / 45°0.1
52 °
Lake Itasca, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.2 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 0453° / 38°0
53 °
Lake Itasca, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0550° / 38°0
50 °
Lake Itasca, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 0647° / 35°0
47 °
Lake Itasca, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 0753° / 43°0
53 °
Lake Itasca, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0856° / 41°0
56 °
Lake Itasca, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0963° / 45°0
63 °
Lake Itasca, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1058° / 54°0.03
58 °
Lake Itasca, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 54°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 1156° / 53°0.13
56 °
Lake Itasca, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure29.35 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 1251° / 45°0.48
51 °
Lake Itasca, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.18 inHg
Wind9.9 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 1350° / 41°0
50 °
Lake Itasca, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 1445° / 40°0.58
45 °
Lake Itasca, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind15.6 mph E
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1536° / 24°0.04
36 °
Lake Itasca, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high56° (2001)
Record low8° (2014)
Mon, 1636° / 24°0.04
36 °
Lake Itasca, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low2° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 24°0.06
34 °
Lake Itasca, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low-1° (1997)
Wed, 1834° / 22°0.07
34 °
Lake Itasca, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high53° (2001)
Record low-4° (1989)
Thu, 1933° / 21°0.08
33 °
Lake Itasca, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high47° (2009)
Record low-6° (2018)
Fri, 2031° / 20°0.06
31 °
Lake Itasca, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high49° (1962)
Record low-10° (2018)
Sat, 2132° / 18°0.03
32 °
Lake Itasca, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high56° (1990)
Record low-5° (1978)
Sun, 2231° / 19°0.03
31 °
Lake Itasca, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high52° (2006)
Record low-1° (1996)
Mon, 2329° / 19°0.03
29 °
Lake Itasca, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high51° (2025)
Record low-7° (1995)
Tue, 2431° / 17°0.03
31 °
Lake Itasca, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-13° (1985)
Wed, 2529° / 17°0.04
29 °
Lake Itasca, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-13° (1996)
Thu, 2628° / 16°0.04
28 °
Lake Itasca, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-12° (1996)
Fri, 2726° / 15°0.04
26 °
Lake Itasca, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (2017)
Record low-13° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 14°0.05
26 °
Lake Itasca, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-11° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Itasca, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Itasca, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.