Monthly outlook for Carlisle, MN: average high 56.5°, average low 46.7°. That is 8.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (65.3°), the coolest 14 November (34.1°).
56.5°/46.7°
Average high / low
+8.1°
Above normal
5 / 3
Wet days / normal
3.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
57.2°
44.3°
+7.2°
9 November – 18 November
55.2°
37.5°
+9.9°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
31.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.9°1 October 2023All-time high
3.7°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Elizabeth (3 mi).
Sat, 3156° / 41°0
56 °
Carlisle, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.4 mph E
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 0165° / 52°0
65 °
Carlisle, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Mon, 0258° / 55°1.84
58 °
Carlisle, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility1.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 0354° / 53°1.28
54 °
Carlisle, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 54°, low 53°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15.4 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility3.9 mi
Dew point53°
Wed, 0453° / 47°0.12
53 °
Carlisle, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0556° / 43°0
56 °
Carlisle, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0657° / 45°0
57 °
Carlisle, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.7 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 0759° / 48°0
59 °
Carlisle, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0860° / 48°0
60 °
Carlisle, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0961° / 49°0
61 °
Carlisle, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.7 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 1060° / 55°0.26
60 °
Carlisle, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.4 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 1160° / 51°0
60 °
Carlisle, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 1258° / 48°0
58 °
Carlisle, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 1350° / 43°0.07
50 °
Carlisle, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind19.5 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 1442° / 34°0.01
42 °
Carlisle, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind18.3 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1538° / 25°0.03
38 °
Carlisle, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low3° (2014)
Mon, 1638° / 25°0.04
38 °
Carlisle, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low1° (1997)
Tue, 1736° / 25°0.04
36 °
Carlisle, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low0° (2005)
Wed, 1836° / 24°0.07
36 °
Carlisle, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high54° (2001)
Record low-2° (1996)
Thu, 1935° / 23°0.07
35 °
Carlisle, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high52° (1989)
Record low3° (1978)
Fri, 2033° / 21°0.06
33 °
Carlisle, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high52° (1962)
Record low1° (1978)
Sat, 2134° / 20°0.03
34 °
Carlisle, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low-7° (1985)
Sun, 2233° / 21°0.03
33 °
Carlisle, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high53° (2006)
Record low-4° (1996)
Mon, 2332° / 20°0.03
32 °
Carlisle, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high54° (2025)
Record low-5° (1989)
Tue, 2433° / 19°0.02
33 °
Carlisle, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high51° (1984)
Record low-15° (1985)
Wed, 2531° / 20°0.05
31 °
Carlisle, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-11° (1977)
Thu, 2629° / 18°0.04
29 °
Carlisle, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high48° (1962)
Record low-17° (1996)
Fri, 2728° / 16°0.04
28 °
Carlisle, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high53° (2017)
Record low-13° (1985)
Sat, 2828° / 16°0.06
28 °
Carlisle, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1962)
Record low-12° (1985)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carlisle, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carlisle, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.