Monthly outlook for Elk Neck, MD: average high 54.2°, average low 42.6°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 November (64.8°), the coolest 19 November (32.8°).
54.2°/42.6°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
54°
54.3°
-0.2°
18 November – 27 November
54.4°
51.2°
+1.8°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
47.8°
—
November records over 66 years
78.1°1 November 2024All-time high
21.6°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aberdeen Proving Ground (10 mi).
Mon, 0956° / 46°0
56 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.5 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Tue, 1062° / 45°0
62 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 1158° / 45°0
58 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind2.5 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 1259° / 50°0.01
59 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 1350° / 42°0
50 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind19.9 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1445° / 38°0.16
45 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind15.7 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1548° / 42°0
48 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 1654° / 39°0
54 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1750° / 37°0
50 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1849° / 33°0
49 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1949° / 33°0
49 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.5 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2046° / 36°0.01
46 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2156° / 46°0
56 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 2263° / 48°0.11
63 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 2365° / 55°1.21
65 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 23 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind19.6 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2451° / 39°0.13
51 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low24° (1970)
Wed, 2550° / 38°0.11
50 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low22° (1989)
Thu, 2652° / 39°0.15
52 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low28° (2005)
Fri, 2751° / 39°0.09
51 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (1976)
Record low27° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 40°0.17
52 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (2011)
Record low26° (1996)
Sun, 2949° / 38°0.15
49 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low24° (2023)
Mon, 3048° / 37°0.12
48 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 0148° / 37°0.12
48 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (2006)
Record low19° (1967)
Wed, 0247° / 36°0.12
47 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low13° (1967)
Thu, 0348° / 36°0.1
48 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0447° / 35°0.09
47 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low16° (1966)
Sat, 0546° / 35°0.16
46 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low25° (1966)
Sun, 0647° / 35°0.1
47 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low21° (2007)
Mon, 0746° / 35°0.11
46 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low18° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Neck, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Neck, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.