Weather in Elk Neck, MD
Elk Neck, Friday, 16 October, 06:40
Overcast. Feels like 60°. High 81°, low 60°.
Monthly outlook for Elk Neck, MD: average high 63.4°, average low 49.8°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (80.9°), the coolest 18 October (40.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 62.6° | 62.9° | -0.1° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 64.8° | 60.1° | +2.6° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 55.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aberdeen Proving Ground (10 mi).
0.02
Elk Neck, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
0
Elk Neck, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
0Elk Neck, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
0Elk Neck, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
0
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 53°.
0Elk Neck, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 46°.
0Elk Neck, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
0Elk Neck, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
0.09Elk Neck, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 47°.
1.11Elk Neck, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 58°, low 53°.
0Elk Neck, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 50°.
0Elk Neck, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 54°.
0Elk Neck, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
0.08Elk Neck, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 56°.
0.33Elk Neck, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 72°, low 54°.
0.09
Elk Neck, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elk Neck, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Elk Neck, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Elk Neck, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elk Neck, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elk Neck, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elk Neck, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elk Neck, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elk Neck, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elk Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elk Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2
Elk Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elk Neck, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elk Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Neck, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Neck, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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