Monthly outlook for Elk Neck, MD: average high 58.8°, average low 44.2°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (70.5°), the coolest 17 November (34.8°).
58.8°/44.2°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
62.8°
57.6°
+2.9°
12 November – 21 November
52.2°
52.7°
-0.2°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
50.1°
—
November records over 66 years
78.1°1 November 2024All-time high
21.6°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aberdeen Proving Ground (10 mi).
Tue, 0369° / 41°0
69 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility6.0 mi
Dew point54°
Wed, 0469° / 45°0
69 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.8 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Thu, 0570° / 59°0.09
70 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 0664° / 59°1.74
64 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 59°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind0.7 mph E
Humidity98%
Visibility1.2 mi
Dew point64°
Sat, 0765° / 58°0.04
65 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 0861° / 47°0
61 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0956° / 46°1.28
56 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 9 November
Heavy rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 1052° / 44°0
52 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1155° / 42°0
55 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 55°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1259° / 42°0
59 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.8 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 1351° / 39°0
51 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.9 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1457° / 37°0
57 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.3 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1551° / 37°0
51 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1646° / 36°0
46 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1750° / 35°0
50 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1853° / 40°0.06
53 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2024)
Record low27° (2014)
Thu, 1952° / 40°0.1
52 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low24° (2014)
Fri, 2052° / 40°0.07
52 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1985)
Record low28° (2022)
Sat, 2151° / 39°0.09
51 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 2250° / 39°0.11
50 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low23° (2018)
Mon, 2350° / 38°0.07
50 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low22° (2018)
Tue, 2451° / 39°0.13
51 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low24° (1970)
Wed, 2550° / 38°0.11
50 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low22° (1989)
Thu, 2652° / 39°0.15
52 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low28° (2005)
Fri, 2751° / 39°0.09
51 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (1976)
Record low27° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 40°0.17
52 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (2011)
Record low26° (1996)
Sun, 2949° / 38°0.15
49 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low24° (2023)
Mon, 3048° / 37°0.12
48 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 0148° / 37°0.12
48 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (2006)
Record low19° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Neck, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Neck, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.