Weather in Elk Neck, MD
Elk Neck, Thursday, 12 November, 11:59
Overcast. Feels like 63°. High 63°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Elk Neck, MD: average high 56.9°, average low 41.6°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (68.5°), the coolest 14 November (36.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 54.8° | 52.7° | +1.2° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 60.3° | 50.1° | +5.6° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 46.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aberdeen Proving Ground (10 mi).
0.1
Elk Neck, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
0Elk Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 37°.
0
Elk Neck, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 42°.
0
Elk Neck, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 48°, low 38°.
0Elk Neck, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 38°.
0Elk Neck, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 56°, low 37°.
0Elk Neck, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 58°, low 39°.
0Elk Neck, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 64°, low 41°.
0Elk Neck, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 45°.
0Elk Neck, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.
0Elk Neck, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 49°.
0Elk Neck, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 68°, low 52°.
0.28Elk Neck, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
0Elk Neck, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 49°, low 38°.
0Elk Neck, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
0.17Elk Neck, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elk Neck, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elk Neck, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elk Neck, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elk Neck, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elk Neck, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elk Neck, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Elk Neck, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Elk Neck, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Elk Neck, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elk Neck, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Elk Neck, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Elk Neck, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Elk Neck, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Neck, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Neck, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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