Monthly outlook for Elk Neck, MD: average high 63.7°, average low 47.3°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (75.9°), the coolest 18 October (37.7°).
63.7°/47.3°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
61.1°
62.3°
-0.7°
28 October – 6 November
68°
59.5°
+4.8°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
54.8°
—
October records over 66 years
93.7°2 October 2019All-time high
31.6°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aberdeen Proving Ground (10 mi).
Mon, 1963° / 40°0
63 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.6 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 2066° / 47°0
66 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2161° / 47°0
61 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2263° / 45°0
63 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Fri, 2356° / 44°0
56 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.4 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2458° / 40°0
58 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 2561° / 41°0
61 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2665° / 51°0
65 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 2761° / 49°0
61 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2863° / 46°0
63 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2963° / 51°0.78
63 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 3075° / 60°0.02
75 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 60°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 3176° / 59°0
76 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 76°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 0172° / 53°0.1
72 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Mon, 0259° / 46°0
59 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0360° / 47°0.08
60 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low35° (1996)
Wed, 0458° / 46°0.08
58 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1974)
Record low33° (2006)
Thu, 0558° / 46°0.11
58 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low30° (1991)
Fri, 0657° / 45°0.07
57 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low31° (1991)
Sat, 0757° / 45°0.07
57 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low31° (1962)
Sun, 0856° / 44°0.15
56 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low31° (1967)
Mon, 0956° / 44°0.09
56 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low29° (1976)
Tue, 1057° / 44°0.15
57 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low31° (2017)
Wed, 1155° / 43°0.15
55 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low24° (2017)
Thu, 1254° / 42°0.2
54 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low29° (1987)
Fri, 1353° / 41°0.11
53 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Sat, 1453° / 41°0.07
53 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low26° (1986)
Sun, 1554° / 42°0.1
54 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low27° (1967)
Mon, 1653° / 41°0.13
53 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low24° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Neck, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Neck, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.