Monthly outlook for Elk Neck, MD: average high 59.4°, average low 47.8°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (69.1°), the coolest 1 November (38.3°).
59.4°/47.8°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
64°
58.5°
+3.1°
10 November – 19 November
51.5°
53.5°
-1.1°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
50.8°
—
October records over 66 years
93.7°2 October 2019All-time high
31.6°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aberdeen Proving Ground (10 mi).
Sun, 0164° / 38°0
64 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 0265° / 40°0
65 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Tue, 0366° / 51°0
66 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Wed, 0469° / 55°0
69 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Thu, 0568° / 59°0.22
68 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 68°, low 59°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 0668° / 61°0.89
68 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 68°, low 61°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.7 mph E
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sat, 0769° / 57°1.5
69 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 7 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 57°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sun, 0861° / 47°0.1
61 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind18.6 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0950° / 46°0.01
50 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind17.4 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1050° / 47°0
50 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 47°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1150° / 43°0
50 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind18.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1253° / 43°0
53 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1351° / 41°0.01
51 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 1458° / 50°1
58 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure29.09 inHg
Wind18.4 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 1547° / 44°0.17
47 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind21.1 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1653° / 41°0.13
53 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low24° (1967)
Tue, 1752° / 40°0.07
52 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1987)
Record low28° (1996)
Wed, 1853° / 40°0.06
53 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2024)
Record low27° (2014)
Thu, 1952° / 40°0.1
52 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low24° (2014)
Fri, 2052° / 40°0.07
52 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1985)
Record low28° (2022)
Sat, 2151° / 39°0.09
51 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low25° (2022)
Sun, 2250° / 39°0.11
50 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low23° (2018)
Mon, 2350° / 38°0.07
50 °
Elk Neck, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low22° (2018)
Tue, 2451° / 39°0.13
51 °
Elk Neck, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low24° (1970)
Wed, 2550° / 38°0.11
50 °
Elk Neck, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low22° (1989)
Thu, 2652° / 39°0.15
52 °
Elk Neck, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low28° (2005)
Fri, 2751° / 39°0.09
51 °
Elk Neck, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (1976)
Record low27° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 40°0.17
52 °
Elk Neck, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (2011)
Record low26° (1996)
Sun, 2949° / 38°0.15
49 °
Elk Neck, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low24° (2023)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elk Neck, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elk Neck, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.