Weather in Chapel Hill, KY
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October, 19:34
Overcast. Feels like 68°. High 75°, low 56°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, KY: average high 64.2°, average low 50.7°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 10.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (74.8°), the coolest 10 November (40.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 66.1° | 61.4° | +2.6° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 61° | 56.5° | +2.5° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 53.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsville (6 mi).
1.4
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 51°.
0.05Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 49°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 63°.
1.34Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 68°, low 63°.
0
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 69°, low 53°.
0.02Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 53°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 50°.
1.78Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Heavy rain. High 56°, low 47°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
0
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 45°.
0.14Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
3.58Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 58°.
1.79Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 47°.
0.01Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
0.15Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.31Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.25Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, KY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, KY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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