Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, KY: average high 67.7°, average low 48.1°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (78.3°), the coolest 3 November (40.4°).
67.7°/48.1°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
73°
64.4°
+4.8°
3 November – 12 November
58.8°
59.3°
-0.3°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
55.6°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°3 October 2019All-time high
29.8°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsville (6 mi).
Sun, 2575° / 44°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 75°, low 44°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind0.9 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Mon, 2672° / 43°0
72 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind2.8 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 2773° / 49°0
73 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind1.3 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2872° / 55°0
72 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Thu, 2973° / 50°0
73 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 3078° / 51°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 78°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 3177° / 57°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0176° / 62°0.04
76 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 62°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17.8 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0260° / 43°0.43
60 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind19.5 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 0352° / 40°0.69
52 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind19.2 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 0453° / 47°0.09
53 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.4 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 0561° / 46°0
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 0663° / 48°0
63 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.9 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 0762° / 47°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.9 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0863° / 43°0
63 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0960° / 44°0.17
60 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1059° / 44°0.13
59 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high78° (2020)
Record low26° (2018)
Wed, 1158° / 42°0.13
58 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2010)
Record low24° (2025)
Thu, 1256° / 41°0.07
56 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2010)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1355° / 40°0.07
55 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1978)
Record low18° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 40°0.11
56 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2011)
Record low21° (1986)
Sun, 1556° / 41°0.17
56 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1964)
Record low22° (1969)
Mon, 1656° / 41°0.15
56 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1964)
Record low28° (2018)
Tue, 1756° / 41°0.12
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low24° (1997)
Wed, 1857° / 42°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1957° / 42°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low22° (2022)
Fri, 2056° / 41°0.11
56 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low22° (2022)
Sat, 2154° / 41°0.12
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2254° / 39°0.11
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2010)
Record low19° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, KY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, KY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.