Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, KY: average high 58.4°, average low 39.9°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (68.5°), the coolest 14 November (28.9°).
58.4°/39.9°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
0 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
5 November – 14 November
57.4°
58.3°
-0.5°
15 November – 24 November
60.1°
55.2°
+2.7°
25 November – 4 December
at normal
52.1°
—
November records over 66 years
83.5°1 November 2016All-time high
16.2°30 November 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsville (6 mi).
Fri, 0660° / 47°0
60 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sat, 0755° / 39°0
55 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0857° / 36°0
57 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.6 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 0962° / 39°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.1 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 1065° / 43°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.5 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1163° / 44°0
63 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 1250° / 38°0
50 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1345° / 29°0
45 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 45°, low 29°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 1448° / 29°0
48 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 48°, low 29°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 1553° / 31°0
53 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Mon, 1657° / 38°0
57 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.5 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1759° / 39°0
59 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1862° / 41°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.5 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1965° / 44°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2065° / 49°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2154° / 41°0.12
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2254° / 39°0.11
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2010)
Record low19° (1964)
Mon, 2354° / 39°0.14
54 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low20° (1970)
Tue, 2454° / 39°0.13
54 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low17° (1970)
Wed, 2555° / 40°0.13
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 40°0.14
55 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1965)
Record low21° (1977)
Fri, 2754° / 40°0.31
54 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.31 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high74° (1990)
Record low24° (2018)
Sat, 2852° / 37°0.25
52 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low19° (2018)
Sun, 2951° / 36°0.1
51 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1970)
Record low20° (1976)
Mon, 3052° / 38°0.26
52 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (2006)
Record low16° (1976)
Tue, 0151° / 36°0.18
51 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high68° (1970)
Record low18° (1964)
Wed, 0251° / 36°0.12
51 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (1982)
Record low21° (2024)
Thu, 0351° / 37°0.12
51 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low19° (1985)
Fri, 0450° / 37°0.2
50 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low22° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, KY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, KY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.