Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, KY: average high 69.5°, average low 53.7°. That is 5.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (79°), the coolest 7 November (44.7°).
69.5°/53.7°
Average high / low
+5.2°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
68.3°
61.9°
+3.5°
9 November – 18 November
71.5°
56.8°
+8.2°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
54.3°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°3 October 2019All-time high
29.8°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsville (6 mi).
Sat, 3176° / 53°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 0163° / 54°0.18
63 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Mon, 0272° / 56°0
72 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Tue, 0375° / 61°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 61°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.5 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 0466° / 60°0.44
66 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16.7 mph SE
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 0559° / 56°0.17
59 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 56°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind8.1 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 0663° / 48°0
63 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 0764° / 45°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0865° / 46°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0964° / 45°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 1068° / 46°0
68 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1169° / 50°0.11
69 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1274° / 61°0.04
74 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 61°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind19.3 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 1377° / 63°0.06
77 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 63°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 1477° / 67°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 67°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1556° / 41°0.17
56 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1964)
Record low22° (1969)
Mon, 1656° / 41°0.15
56 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1964)
Record low28° (2018)
Tue, 1756° / 41°0.12
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low24° (1997)
Wed, 1857° / 42°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1957° / 42°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low22° (2022)
Fri, 2056° / 41°0.11
56 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low22° (2022)
Sat, 2154° / 41°0.12
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2254° / 39°0.11
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2010)
Record low19° (1964)
Mon, 2354° / 39°0.14
54 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low20° (1970)
Tue, 2454° / 39°0.13
54 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low17° (1970)
Wed, 2555° / 40°0.13
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 40°0.14
55 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1965)
Record low21° (1977)
Fri, 2754° / 40°0.31
54 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.31 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high74° (1990)
Record low24° (2018)
Sat, 2852° / 37°0.25
52 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low19° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, KY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, KY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.