Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, KY: average high 63.3°, average low 48°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (76.3°), the coolest 9 November (36.9°).
63.3°/48°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
67.1°
62.8°
+2.4°
7 November – 16 November
57°
57.5°
-0.3°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
55°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°3 October 2019All-time high
29.8°31 October 2023All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Scottsville (6 mi).
Thu, 2976° / 46°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 76°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 3076° / 54°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 54°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 3171° / 59°0
71 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.3 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sun, 0169° / 58°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 58°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0272° / 56°0.1
72 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0365° / 50°0.11
65 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 0455° / 46°0.53
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 0557° / 46°0
57 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.3 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0653° / 48°0.01
53 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 0757° / 48°0.04
57 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0855° / 44°0
55 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0958° / 37°0
58 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1066° / 42°0
66 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.8 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1157° / 43°0.04
57 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.4 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 1249° / 42°0
49 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1355° / 40°0.07
55 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1978)
Record low18° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 40°0.11
56 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2011)
Record low21° (1986)
Sun, 1556° / 41°0.17
56 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1964)
Record low22° (1969)
Mon, 1656° / 41°0.15
56 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1964)
Record low28° (2018)
Tue, 1756° / 41°0.12
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low24° (1997)
Wed, 1857° / 42°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1957° / 42°0.14
57 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low22° (2022)
Fri, 2056° / 41°0.11
56 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low22° (2022)
Sat, 2154° / 41°0.12
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2254° / 39°0.11
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2010)
Record low19° (1964)
Mon, 2354° / 39°0.14
54 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low20° (1970)
Tue, 2454° / 39°0.13
54 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low17° (1970)
Wed, 2555° / 40°0.13
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low20° (1970)
Thu, 2655° / 40°0.14
55 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1965)
Record low21° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, KY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, KY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.