Monthly outlook for Watertown, SD: average high 56.8°, average low 41.5°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (76.8°), the coolest 31 October (27.9°).
56.8°/41.5°
Average high / low
+2.3°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
62.6°
54°
+4.8°
26 October – 4 November
47°
48.9°
-1.1°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
42.6°
—
October records over 66 years
85.5°1 October 2023All-time high
7°26 October 2020All-time low
Sat, 1760° / 37°0
60 °
Watertown, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 1862° / 45°0
62 °
Watertown, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 1960° / 43°0
60 °
Watertown, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 2063° / 46°0
63 °
Watertown, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.1 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2167° / 52°0.02
67 °
Watertown, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2269° / 46°0
69 °
Watertown, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 69°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2377° / 57°0.01
77 °
Watertown, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind24.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 2470° / 44°0
70 °
Watertown, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind23.7 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2549° / 42°0
49 °
Watertown, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 2644° / 40°0.89
44 °
Watertown, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2754° / 35°0.04
54 °
Watertown, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2852° / 38°0
52 °
Watertown, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.2 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 2946° / 43°0.51
46 °
Watertown, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 46°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.3 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 3039° / 33°0.09
39 °
Watertown, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 39°, low 33°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 3148° / 28°0
48 °
Watertown, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 28°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0147° / 34°0.05
47 °
Watertown, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low15° (1984)
Mon, 0247° / 33°0.04
47 °
Watertown, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low9° (1991)
Tue, 0346° / 33°0.04
46 °
Watertown, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low7° (1991)
Wed, 0446° / 31°0.02
46 °
Watertown, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low1° (1991)
Thu, 0547° / 33°0.04
47 °
Watertown, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high69° (2016)
Record low11° (2003)
Fri, 0646° / 32°0.03
46 °
Watertown, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low9° (2003)
Sat, 0746° / 31°0.02
46 °
Watertown, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sun, 0845° / 31°0.06
45 °
Watertown, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low7° (2003)
Mon, 0942° / 30°0.08
42 °
Watertown, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Tue, 1040° / 27°0.06
40 °
Watertown, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (2016)
Record low6° (1986)
Wed, 1139° / 26°0.02
39 °
Watertown, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low4° (1986)
Thu, 1239° / 26°0.06
39 °
Watertown, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low-1° (1966)
Fri, 1341° / 28°0.03
41 °
Watertown, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low2° (1986)
Sat, 1441° / 29°0.02
41 °
Watertown, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high65° (2025)
Record low2° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Watertown, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Watertown, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.