Weather in Tolstoy, SD
Tolstoy, Friday, 23 October, 17:28
Overcast. Feels like 76°. High 76°, low 57°.
Monthly outlook for Tolstoy, SD: average high 55.6°, average low 42.9°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (75.9°), the coolest 26 October (34.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 54.6° | 51.8° | +1.6° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 57.3° | 45.3° | +6.6° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 40.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (12 mi).
0.03
Tolstoy, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 42°.
0.13Tolstoy, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
0.54
Tolstoy, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 43°, low 35°.
0.15Tolstoy, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
0
Tolstoy, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 54°, low 37°.
0Tolstoy, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 41°.
0Tolstoy, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.
0Tolstoy, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 47°.
0Tolstoy, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
1.43Tolstoy, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 50°, low 48°.
0.06Tolstoy, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
0
Tolstoy, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 39°.
0
Tolstoy, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 51°.
0Tolstoy, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 46°.
0.27Tolstoy, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 52°, low 48°.
0.07Tolstoy, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tolstoy, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Tolstoy, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tolstoy, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tolstoy, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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