Weather in Tolstoy, SD
Tolstoy, Friday, 16 October, 16:18
Clear. Feels like 47°. High 50°, low 36°.
Monthly outlook for Tolstoy, SD: average high 60.8°, average low 43.5°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (75.4°), the coolest 26 October (32.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 61.7° | 55.7° | +3.3° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 59.3° | 49.9° | +5.2° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 43.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (12 mi).
0Tolstoy, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 65°, low 39°.
0Tolstoy, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Tolstoy, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 43°.
0Tolstoy, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
0Tolstoy, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 67°, low 46°.
0
Tolstoy, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 50°.
0.12
Tolstoy, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 54°.
0Tolstoy, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 52°, low 45°.
0
Tolstoy, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 41°.
0Tolstoy, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 51°, low 33°.
0Tolstoy, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
0Tolstoy, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 49°.
0Tolstoy, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 47°.
0Tolstoy, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 39°.
0Tolstoy, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 50°.
0.03
Tolstoy, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Tolstoy, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Tolstoy, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tolstoy, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tolstoy, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tolstoy, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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