Weather in Tolstoy, SD
Tolstoy, Monday, 19 October, 01:01
Mostly clear. Feels like 36°. High 65°, low 35°.
Monthly outlook for Tolstoy, SD: average high 58.8°, average low 40.8°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (73.1°), the coolest 27 October (31.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October – 28 October | 62.6° | 54.7° | +4.4° |
| 29 October – 7 November | 52.5° | 48.2° | +2.4° |
| 8 November – 17 November | at normal | 41.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (12 mi).
0
Tolstoy, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 68°, low 40°.
0Tolstoy, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
0Tolstoy, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 73°, low 51°.
0.02
Tolstoy, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 58°.
0
Tolstoy, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 45°.
0Tolstoy, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 36°.
0Tolstoy, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
0Tolstoy, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
0Tolstoy, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 38°.
0.19Tolstoy, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 58°, low 48°.
0.02
Tolstoy, Friday, 30 October
Light snow. High 50°, low 35°.
0Tolstoy, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 34°.
0Tolstoy, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
0
Tolstoy, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 38°.
0Tolstoy, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 45°.
0.01
Tolstoy, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Tolstoy, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tolstoy, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tolstoy, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tolstoy, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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