Weather in Tolstoy, SD
Tolstoy, Thursday, 22 October, 13:57
Partly cloudy. Feels like 70°. High 71°, low 42°.
Monthly outlook for Tolstoy, SD: average high 59.6°, average low 40.4°. That is 5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (74.2°), the coolest 29 October (28.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 56.1° | 52.5° | +2° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 65.4° | 46.1° | +10.7° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 40.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (12 mi).
0
Tolstoy, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 55°.
0.03Tolstoy, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 40°.
0.16Tolstoy, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
1.35Tolstoy, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 40°, low 37°.
0.24Tolstoy, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
0
Tolstoy, Wednesday, 28 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 37°.
0
Tolstoy, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 47°, low 29°.
0Tolstoy, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 33°.
0Tolstoy, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 61°, low 37°.
0Tolstoy, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
0
Tolstoy, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 41°.
0Tolstoy, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 39°.
0Tolstoy, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 68°, low 42°.
0Tolstoy, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 47°.
0Tolstoy, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 72°, low 50°.
0.04Tolstoy, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Tolstoy, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Tolstoy, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Tolstoy, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Tolstoy, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Tolstoy, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tolstoy, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tolstoy, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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