As of 15:40 CST

Weather in Tolstoy, SD

56°

Tolstoy, Monday, 2 November, 15:40

Overcast. Feels like 56°. High 57°, low 51°.

Pressure29.59 inHg

Wind15.8 mph NW

Humidity94%

Visibility3.8 mi

Dew point54°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Tolstoy, SD: average high 53.1°, average low 38.3°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 November (60.2°), the coolest 6 November (29.2°).

53.1°/38.3°

Average high / low

+5.1°

Above normal

2 / 2

Wet days / normal

1.2 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
2 November – 11 November	51.4°	45.3°	+3.4°
12 November – 21 November	55.8°	40.3°	+8.6°
22 November – 1 December	at normal	34.1°	—

November records over 66 years

72.9°4 November 1978All-time high

-12.8°30 November 1964All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lebanon (12 mi).

Tue, 0350° / 43°

50 °

Tolstoy, Tuesday, 3 November

Overcast. High 50°, low 43°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind19.1 mph N

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point40°

Wed, 0447° / 40°

0.11

47 °

Tolstoy, Wednesday, 4 November

Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind16.3 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility3.1 mi

Dew point35°

Thu, 0549° / 34°

49 °

Tolstoy, Thursday, 5 November

Clear. High 49°, low 34°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind8.9 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point34°

Fri, 0647° / 29°

47 °

Tolstoy, Friday, 6 November

Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 29°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind4.5 mph S

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point33°

Sat, 0757° / 36°

57 °

Tolstoy, Saturday, 7 November

Clear. High 57°, low 36°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind27.2 mph NW

Humidity38%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Sun, 0848° / 36°

48 °

Tolstoy, Sunday, 8 November

Clear. High 48°, low 36°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind16.4 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Mon, 0956° / 38°

56 °

Tolstoy, Monday, 9 November

Overcast. High 56°, low 38°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind19.2 mph NW

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Tue, 1052° / 36°

52 °

Tolstoy, Tuesday, 10 November

Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 36°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind8.3 mph SE

Humidity37%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

Wed, 1151° / 37°

51 °

Tolstoy, Wednesday, 11 November

Clear. High 51°, low 37°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind11 mph N

Humidity32%

Visibility—

Dew point19°

Thu, 1251° / 33°

51 °

Tolstoy, Thursday, 12 November

Overcast. High 51°, low 33°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind10.2 mph S

Humidity37%

Visibility—

Dew point21°

Fri, 1357° / 40°

57 °

Tolstoy, Friday, 13 November

Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind9.8 mph E

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Sat, 1452° / 32°

52 °

Tolstoy, Saturday, 14 November

Clear. High 52°, low 32°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind10.9 mph E

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

Sun, 1554° / 40°

54 °

Tolstoy, Sunday, 15 November

Clear. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind7.7 mph W

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Mon, 1660° / 39°

60 °

Tolstoy, Monday, 16 November

Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 39°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind19 mph S

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Tue, 1760° / 49°

60 °

Tolstoy, Tuesday, 17 November

Overcast. High 60°, low 49°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind18.9 mph S

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Wed, 1840° / 25°

0.03

40 °

Tolstoy, Wednesday, 18 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low25°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high56° (2001)

Record low1° (1996)

Thu, 1939° / 26°

0.04

39 °

Tolstoy, Thursday, 19 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high61° (1989)

Record low6° (1978)

Fri, 2037° / 24°

0.02

37 °

Tolstoy, Friday, 20 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high37°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high60° (1962)

Record low-2° (1978)

Sat, 2138° / 24°

0.01

38 °

Tolstoy, Saturday, 21 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high38°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.01 in

Chance of precipitation12%

Record high62° (1960)

Record low0° (1978)

Sun, 2238° / 23°

0.02

38 °

Tolstoy, Sunday, 22 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high38°

Average low23°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high56° (2006)

Record low1° (1970)

Mon, 2335° / 23°

0.02

35 °

Tolstoy, Monday, 23 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high35°

Average low23°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high55° (2017)

Record low-8° (1985)

Tue, 2437° / 22°

0.02

37 °

Tolstoy, Tuesday, 24 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high37°

Average low22°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation10%

Record high62° (1990)

Record low-10° (1985)

Wed, 2535° / 22°

0.03

35 °

Tolstoy, Wednesday, 25 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high35°

Average low22°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high60° (1960)

Record low-3° (1977)

Thu, 2633° / 20°

0.04

33 °

Tolstoy, Thursday, 26 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high33°

Average low20°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high56° (1962)

Record low-8° (1985)

Fri, 2732° / 19°

0.04

32 °

Tolstoy, Friday, 27 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high32°

Average low19°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high60° (2017)

Record low-10° (1985)

Sat, 2833° / 19°

0.03

33 °

Tolstoy, Saturday, 28 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high33°

Average low19°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation13%

Record high51° (2002)

Record low-10° (1985)

Sun, 2933° / 20°

0.02

33 °

Tolstoy, Sunday, 29 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high33°

Average low20°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation8%

Record high53° (2021)

Record low-10° (1985)

Mon, 3032° / 21°

0.05

32 °

Tolstoy, Monday, 30 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high32°

Average low21°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high56° (1995)

Record low-13° (1964)

Tue, 0133° / 20°

0.04

33 °

Tolstoy, Tuesday, 1 December

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high33°

Average low20°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high62° (2021)

Record low-10° (2014)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tolstoy, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tolstoy, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.