Monthly outlook for Frederick, SD: average high 59.7°, average low 41.7°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (86.2°), the coolest 17 October (28.5°).
59.7°/41.7°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
3 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
62.6°
58.9°
+2°
17 October – 26 October
54.9°
54.9°
+0°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
48.7°
—
October records over 66 years
87.1°3 October 2025All-time high
7.3°27 October 2020All-time low
Thu, 0869° / 45°0
69 °
Frederick, Thursday, 8 October
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 0979° / 51°0
79 °
Frederick, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 51°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sat, 1086° / 64°0
86 °
Frederick, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 86°, low 64°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind18.8 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sun, 1162° / 50°0.03
62 °
Frederick, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.6 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 1246° / 38°0.31
46 °
Frederick, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14.6 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1346° / 36°0
46 °
Frederick, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.9 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1463° / 48°0.06
63 °
Frederick, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind20.1 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 1555° / 41°0.11
55 °
Frederick, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind20.2 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1641° / 35°0
41 °
Frederick, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind18.5 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1750° / 29°0
50 °
Frederick, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 29°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sun, 1858° / 37°0
58 °
Frederick, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 1953° / 41°0
53 °
Frederick, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.9 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2052° / 34°0
52 °
Frederick, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2156° / 36°0
56 °
Frederick, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 2260° / 38°0
60 °
Frederick, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2354° / 37°0.04
54 °
Frederick, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low15° (2020)
Sat, 2453° / 37°0.04
53 °
Frederick, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (1989)
Record low12° (2020)
Sun, 2554° / 37°0.04
54 °
Frederick, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high79° (1989)
Record low14° (2020)
Mon, 2654° / 37°0.04
54 °
Frederick, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high74° (1990)
Record low8° (2020)
Tue, 2752° / 36°0.04
52 °
Frederick, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1983)
Record low7° (2020)
Wed, 2851° / 35°0.04
51 °
Frederick, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (2016)
Record low17° (2017)
Thu, 2950° / 35°0.09
50 °
Frederick, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1981)
Record low18° (1991)
Fri, 3049° / 34°0.06
49 °
Frederick, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1965)
Record low14° (1991)
Sat, 3149° / 33°0.06
49 °
Frederick, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (2016)
Record low18° (2002)
Sun, 0148° / 33°0.06
48 °
Frederick, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1990)
Record low13° (1984)
Mon, 0248° / 32°0.02
48 °
Frederick, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low10° (1991)
Tue, 0347° / 32°0.04
47 °
Frederick, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high71° (1978)
Record low6° (1991)
Wed, 0447° / 30°0.02
47 °
Frederick, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low7° (1991)
Thu, 0547° / 31°0.04
47 °
Frederick, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low8° (2003)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Frederick, SD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Frederick, SD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.